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Jan 5th-7th Snowfall Potential (2 Separate Systems) - GL's Lake Effect Machine


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2 minutes ago, someweatherdude said:

Do you know where to look to find KC's latest 1-inch snowfall?  I know KCI got more than an inch over the holidays.  So officially, we have our inch.  But IMBY, we have yet to get an inch.  I've googled it, but can't find it.  

No I've tried to find it also with no luck.  Is the lowest seasonal snowfall total 3.7 inches?

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4 minutes ago, Clinton said:

No I've tried to find it also with no luck.  Is the lowest seasonal snowfall total 3.7 inches?

I actually just found something.  Not sure if it's referring to the first inch or just the first measurable.  But it says January 21, 1980 was our latest first snow.  Lowest season total is 3.9 during 2011-2012 -- my first winter back in KC after living in Chicago.  

Based on current forecasts and the LRC, I could very well make it to January 21st without a decent snowfall.  Even if that technically doesn't break the record, it's still pretty darn bad.  

https://fox4kc.com/weather/when-will-we-see-snow-in-kansas-city/

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Lake effect band has intensified as scheduled.  Another inch or two before the band shifts towards the lakeshore.   Should end up around total of 12" for 30 hour period.  Not too bad for a 4-9 inch forecast.  

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30 minutes ago, someweatherdude said:

I actually just found something.  Not sure if it's referring to the first inch or just the first measurable.  But it says January 21, 1980 was our latest first snow.  Lowest season total is 3.9 during 2011-2012 -- my first winter back in KC after living in Chicago.  

Based on current forecasts and the LRC, I could very well make it to January 21st without a decent snowfall.  Even if that technically doesn't break the record, it's still pretty darn bad.  

https://fox4kc.com/weather/when-will-we-see-snow-in-kansas-city/

I stand corrected.  This will surely happen, right?  Looks like MLK day will be a snow day.    

prateptype_cat.conus.png

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I've seen videos from Barrow, AK in the middle of February and it looks similar to that outside. -17*F.

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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11 minutes ago, westMJim said:

yep, from time to time is sure has. I just did the driveway and there is a good 12+ inches in the back yard.

Just had to drive down to Michigan St to take my wife to get tested.  Absolutely carnage.  Steady heavy snow.  Roads are completely covered.  The hills leading into Downtown GR are causing slide offs and people struggling to get up the hills.  Love it!. 

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9 minutes ago, westMJim said:

yep, from time to time is sure has. I just did the driveway and there is a good 12+ inches in the back yard.

I bet it’s really coming down out your way because it’s been snowing all the way over here in northern St Clair county most of the day from lake Mi effect snow even, just a light dusting but big fluffy flakes. Enjoy your guys snow, it’s about darn time you guys got a decent lake effect event.

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Remember the post I made yesterday about the hellish drive I had back to Fargo from St. Paul yesterday? Well, here is a video from the worst part of my drive. I think this was shortly after I drove through there, as I do recognize some of the cars shown in the video.

 

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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1 hour ago, FAR_Weather said:

Remember the post I made yesterday about the hellish drive I had back to Fargo from St. Paul yesterday? Well, here is a video from the worst part of my drive. I think this was shortly after I drove through there, as I do recognize some of the cars shown in the video.

 

great video of bad winter driving. It's not always snow falling in progress- but blowing snow that causes an ice crust on roadways from friction of tires. another thing that gets overlooked is true "black ice" --- frozen exhaust on the roadways (heavily traveled) --- only happen when temps are -15F or lower. it's scary stuff and can throw you in the ditch on a severe clear / cold day quicker than you think. Only a few on here know what I mean- true black ice is the scariest thing I've seen in severe winter weather. ( going down 694 in Twin Cities-- -25F Jan 94'= clear skies, no snow, only to do a 720 into the guardrail doing 65 mph )

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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22 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

great video of bad winter driving. It's not always snow falling in progress- but blowing snow that causes an ice crust on roadways from friction of tires. another thing that gets overlooked is true "black ice" --- frozen exhaust on the roadways (heavily traveled) --- only happen when temps are -15F or lower. it's scary stuff and can throw you in the ditch on a severe clear / cold day quicker than you think. Only a few on here know what I mean- true black ice is the scariest thing I've seen in severe winter weather. ( going down 694 in Twin Cities-- -25F Jan 94'= clear skies, no snow, only to do a 720 into the guardrail doing 65 mph )

Yup, a lot of the roads in Fargo currently have black ice as a result of exhaust, especially around intersections.

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Some lolipop totals showing up in the U.P/N Wisco and into SW MI where it continues to snow...

Screen Shot 2022-01-07 at 1.22.08 AM.png

 

Eau Claire, MI holds the top of the list so far in SW MI...that lake plume really delivered yesterday...

Screen Shot 2022-01-07 at 1.21.50 AM.png

 

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=100&interval=5&year=2022&month=1&day=6&hour=16&minute=25

 

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7 hours ago, Tom said:

Some lolipop totals showing up in the U.P/N Wisco and into SW MI where it continues to snow...

Screen Shot 2022-01-07 at 1.22.08 AM.png

 

Eau Claire, MI holds the top of the list so far in SW MI...that lake plume really delivered yesterday...

Screen Shot 2022-01-07 at 1.21.50 AM.png

 

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=100&interval=5&year=2022&month=1&day=6&hour=16&minute=25

 

We should continue to do well here in SWMI in this pattern.  Up and down with many cold frontal passages.  No big storms.  But that's usually not what delivers the goods here.  

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  • 3 weeks later...
On 1/6/2022 at 3:17 PM, FAR_Weather said:

Remember the post I made yesterday about the hellish drive I had back to Fargo from St. Paul yesterday? Well, here is a video from the worst part of my drive. I think this was shortly after I drove through there, as I do recognize some of the cars shown in the video.

 

Good vid but it's exaggerated a bit since they kept looping around that same stretch so you see that one semi for instance at various stages of being fetched out of the ditch. It reminded me very much of the highway mayhem I and my family experienced Nov 27th driving Interstates 96 and 69 during that unexpectedly cold (28F) and intense first widespread clipper storm of the season. As mentioned before, there was even a car way off in a ditch apparently hit hard by a full-sized pick up truck (also in same ditch) that was engulfed in flames 5 feet high coming from the engine compartment. Flames-n-snow. Something you don't see every day around these parts.. 

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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