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2022 Weather. Gonna be rockin’.


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New year, new thread. Let’s do this.

Flying home tomorrow. Unless I’m delayed, I should be back just in time for the snow event.

Looks like a general 2-4” east of the BR, maybe 4-6” west. I don’t trust Miller-Bs but guidance has been consistent on this one.

Have a chance to crack double digits in seasonal snowfall following the 6.5” of wet cement that fell on the 3rd. Apparently it took some tree limbs down, will have some cleanup to do upon my return.

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Unloading snow here. 1-2”/hr rates. Should continue for another hour or two.

Wind also beginning to increase a tad, but still awaiting the stronger CAA.

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Got roughly 2.5-3” last night. Areas with pre-existing snowcover accumulated a bit more. Snow sticks to snow very well.

Windy this morning. Had a brief period of blowing snow that reduced visibility, but things have really calmed down now.

Hoping for another big snow third week of the month. It is beautiful outside right now.

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Man it’s raw out there today. Mid/upper 30s and rain on top of snowcover. Cold front arrives tonight with 30-40mph gusts and a rapid temp drop.

Could stay below freezing for a couple of days with lows in the lower teens. Should kill off the last of the insects and spiders.

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Winter storm watch for Sunday afternoon/overnight. Complex storm with high bust potential in either direction.

Thump of heavy snow on the front end looks like a safe bet. However inland track + screaming easterly LLJ should flip us to ice/mix and then rain. Question is, how long does it take/how much precip falls before sfc temps hit freezing?

Dewpoints likely to be in the single digits or teens upon start of precip, so there’s room for some low level wet bulb cooling. But WAA will be going strong and will offset that. So sfc temps probably briefly tank at start of precip before warming quickly after sunset.

Historically, the cold wedge tends to overperform most guidance, but with such a prolific LLJ, I’m not sure that’ll be true this time in areas east of the fall line.

Also concerned about wind. Only a fraction of the LLJ will mix down due to the presence of a stable layer, but gusts between 40-50mph (from an atypical direction) in conjunction with snow and ice accretion on trees could be problematic. In October, easterly gusts of only 35-40mph caused significant problems here. My hunch is wind will be the x-factor that will lead to more problems than currently advertised by LWX, unless the cold wedge holds stronger than current advertised by guidance.

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Light snow has been falling here for ~ 45mins now. Sticking to everything with temperatures falling back into the low 20s.

Heavier snow moving in from the south. Should be here in approximately 30mins. C7494109-1A46-4E0A-B7C9-9A8F8A90610D.thumb.gif.5c591f8098381844dd24d859a4feac0f.gif

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Picked up roughly 2-2.5” of fluffy snow before the changeover. A few hours of sleet/ZR and now plain rain.

And winds really picking up over the last 20mins. Can hear the roaring in the treetops from inside the house. Unusual direction as well (E/NE).

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