Phil Posted January 6, 2022 Report Share Posted January 6, 2022 New year, new thread. Let’s do this. Flying home tomorrow. Unless I’m delayed, I should be back just in time for the snow event. Looks like a general 2-4” east of the BR, maybe 4-6” west. I don’t trust Miller-Bs but guidance has been consistent on this one. Have a chance to crack double digits in seasonal snowfall following the 6.5” of wet cement that fell on the 3rd. Apparently it took some tree limbs down, will have some cleanup to do upon my return. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 Unloading snow here. 1-2”/hr rates. Should continue for another hour or two. Wind also beginning to increase a tad, but still awaiting the stronger CAA. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 Got roughly 2.5-3” last night. Areas with pre-existing snowcover accumulated a bit more. Snow sticks to snow very well. Windy this morning. Had a brief period of blowing snow that reduced visibility, but things have really calmed down now. Hoping for another big snow third week of the month. It is beautiful outside right now. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 No more sunshine and palm trees. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted January 9, 2022 Report Share Posted January 9, 2022 Lol, this thread is dead as a door nail! The title of this thread should be renamed to The Phil Thread. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 9, 2022 Report Share Posted January 9, 2022 The California one can be renamed to the Mr Marine Layer thread 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 9, 2022 Man it’s raw out there today. Mid/upper 30s and rain on top of snowcover. Cold front arrives tonight with 30-40mph gusts and a rapid temp drop. Could stay below freezing for a couple of days with lows in the lower teens. Should kill off the last of the insects and spiders. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2022 Wind is roaring tonight. Walls creaking. Sounds like winter. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2022 A bit nippy up at Canaan Valley tonight. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 11, 2022 Report Share Posted January 11, 2022 We need some East Coast weather nerds here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 @iFred pin this thread? Thx bro Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Winter storm watch for Sunday afternoon/overnight. Complex storm with high bust potential in either direction. Thump of heavy snow on the front end looks like a safe bet. However inland track + screaming easterly LLJ should flip us to ice/mix and then rain. Question is, how long does it take/how much precip falls before sfc temps hit freezing? Dewpoints likely to be in the single digits or teens upon start of precip, so there’s room for some low level wet bulb cooling. But WAA will be going strong and will offset that. So sfc temps probably briefly tank at start of precip before warming quickly after sunset. Historically, the cold wedge tends to overperform most guidance, but with such a prolific LLJ, I’m not sure that’ll be true this time in areas east of the fall line. Also concerned about wind. Only a fraction of the LLJ will mix down due to the presence of a stable layer, but gusts between 40-50mph (from an atypical direction) in conjunction with snow and ice accretion on trees could be problematic. In October, easterly gusts of only 35-40mph caused significant problems here. My hunch is wind will be the x-factor that will lead to more problems than currently advertised by LWX, unless the cold wedge holds stronger than current advertised by guidance. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 16, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2022 Light snow has been falling here for ~ 45mins now. Sticking to everything with temperatures falling back into the low 20s. Heavier snow moving in from the south. Should be here in approximately 30mins. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 Picked up roughly 2-2.5” of fluffy snow before the changeover. A few hours of sleet/ZR and now plain rain. And winds really picking up over the last 20mins. Can hear the roaring in the treetops from inside the house. Unusual direction as well (E/NE). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 Pattern looks really good coming up real legament threat next weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 25, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 25, 2022 Incredible low temp of -31°F occurred in Canaan Valley, WV on Saturday. Only 6° shy of the WV state record of -37°F. Also the coldest temperature ever recorded in Canaan Valley. Previous record was -27°F on Jan 21, 1985. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 25, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro/EPS still bullish on the potential Saturday storm. Not uncommon to get big storms on the tail end of cold/+PNA patterns, so could happen. I really want this one. Bring it home, Euro. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 The snow is coming. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Washington DC missed the brunt of it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 I can see that this topic compares to a cemetery. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 2, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: I can see that this topic compares to a cemetery. Yep it’s a sad state of affairs. Will take a 950mb bomb cyclone to re-animate this zombie. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted February 2, 2022 Report Share Posted February 2, 2022 Miltown Mel is dead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2022 Went from 62 degrees at 4AM to 38 degrees at 5pm (now). All liquid precip here, though. Wintry stuff staying in/west of the mountains. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 13, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2022 Getting a snow/IP mix now with light accumulations beginning. Impressive considering how warm it was in the preceding days. Actually was 55 degrees just a few hours before the precip started. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted February 13, 2022 Report Share Posted February 13, 2022 6 hours ago, Phil said: Getting a snow/IP mix now with light accumulations beginning. Impressive considering how warm it was in the preceding days. Actually was 55 degrees just a few hours before the precip started. Not uncommon for La nina winters we can go from spring to winter in a matter of hours and vice versa lots of swings in both drections with ninas 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted February 16, 2022 Report Share Posted February 16, 2022 The current front moving into North Texas has a decided spring like feel to it. However the low tomorrow night will be 27*. We’ve had an oddball winter and most are ready to be rid of the temps below 40. It’s been damp, cold and yet no rain. We’re ready for some spring rain before the drought hits us. 1 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 17, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Wind advisory issued for tonight. Winds coming from the direction we’re exposed to. Doubt I’ll be getting much sleep tonight. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Martinsburg just gusted to 60mph. Here she comes. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Came in like a brick wall. Pulsing gusts between 50-55mph with calm in between. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 Sustained wind was 51mph at MRB with the pressure surge this morning. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2022 BWI gusted to 64mph this morning. And 65mph in Shady Side Nice blow job. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 19, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2022 Another sharp cold front set to roar through today, with wind advisories issued. Legit snow squall(s) moving into the mountains this AM in association with the front. But downsloping + some loss of upper level forcing will likely cannibalize the squalls before they make it here. For now most guidance suggests a burst of wind towards 18z and a plunge in dewpoints, but no snow squalls of consequence east of the high terrain (with the possible exception of northern MD). Currently 37/21 degrees with bright sunshine and a S/SW wind. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 I can see it's been an active 2022 so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 13 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: I can see it's been an active 2022 so far. Conditions are usually restless/swingy at this time of year. August and September are the boring months unless a tropical system wanders in. Highs may reach the 70s this week. But models hint at another cold shot early next week. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 23, 2022 A lot of wind lately. Roaring again most of last night out of the S/SW. Temps held in the low/mid 60s. Could reach 70+ degrees today before the cold front blows through. And by tomorrow it could be snowing/sleeting, though degree of CAD is questionable. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 23, 2022 It’s 75°F outside. Lol. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted February 24, 2022 Report Share Posted February 24, 2022 8 hours ago, Phil said: It’s 75°F outside. Lol. Record high? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted February 27, 2022 Report Share Posted February 27, 2022 Interesting that Larry Cosgrove is hinting at a humid but not hot summer with a active thunderstorm season base on the idea La nina weakens to neutral to a weak Nino by August. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted March 4, 2022 Report Share Posted March 4, 2022 Haven't yet made it to Page 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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