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Jan 14th-16th Potent Hybrid Clipper


Tom

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Just now, FAR_Weather said:

I mean, good for Sioux City who has been shafted the past 4 years. But I'd still like to see some fresh powder in Duluth, even if it's only a couple inches.

Duluth and myself look SOL on this one.  I can't really complain about my snow depth, its about average for the date, but I seem to be on the edge or miss completely on any decent snow systems.  

Eastern ND looks like its getting the flip side of average from last year when they hardly got any snow.   

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At least the GFS and GDPS are still solid for eastern Iowa.  I'm expecting the Euro to look more like the UK, though.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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8 minutes ago, Beltrami Island said:

Duluth and myself look SOL on this one.  I can't really complain about my snow depth, its about average for the date, but I seem to be on the edge or miss completely on any decent snow systems.  

Eastern ND looks like its getting the flip side of average from last year when they hardly got any snow.   

I honestly might just stay home if I get targeted by this. I have seen approximately 2" of our 14" snowpack fall and I'd hate to not see any more.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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I think most of Iowa should get something. If I get shafted again and get a quarter inch I won't be happy. Biggest snowfall I've had so far is 3.5 inches, which is obviously more than many others here. Seems I'm in that weird area so far where I get skirted by the storms that do pass, but not a direct hit. Except, for the December 15th madness. That was crazy! Good luck to everyone and even if it isn't me I hope someone can score big with this! The most beautiful thing about weather is, you always get another shot. 😊

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https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2022011112/150/snku_acc.us_ov.png

Looks like places to the south are in for quite a bit of snow, "Potentially."  EC could get clobbered!

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  • Snow 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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UK and Euro both have Cedar Rapids on the far east edge, very close to getting nothing at all.  It's amazing how quickly one can go from 8-12" to nothing.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Could be a monster storm from the deep south to New England.  The Euro is on board big time.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye said:

Could be a monster storm from the deep south to New England.  The Euro is on board big time.

How about this.....Holy Macro! An explosive just waiting to happen.

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2022_01/69F5C4F0-3AD7-45C9-B275-CB8F13E239F4.thumb.png.c1117209b5f8cbfc4d3c2b8e702eb8c7.png

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2022_01/888784331_GZ_D5_PN_144_0000(10).gif.957e9f3da15ce8a7404988886cbececb.gif

 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Here ya go KC peeps:

Minneapolis, Des Moines and St. Louis are all facing substantial snow accumulations, and Atlanta could pick up its first accumulating snowfall since the winter of 2017-2018.

https://cms.accuweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/SnowStartCentralStates11Jan.jpg?w=632

https://cms.accuweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/SnowMapThuNtToSat11Jan10a.jpg?w=632

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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FGF's take is basically "we don't know"

Quote
.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 219 PM CST Tue Jan 11 2022

NW flow aloft will persist into the weekend and to next week
probably into next month. Weather impacts and challenges in the
extended time frame center on clipper system set to move across the
northern plains Thursday night into Friday. As the clipper moves
through the region from NW to SE a band of snowfall is expected to
develop with the highest amounts just east of the track. Ensemble
solns showing widespread difference on the placement of the band so
sfc low track remains the key to impacts. Where the band does track
here is good indications of at least 2 inches, better than 60
percent, with the chance of 6 inches at 25 percent. Winds at this
point in time do not look problematic while snow is ongoing but may
pick up as the system departs quickly to the southeast Friday
afternoon.

 

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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If the GFS were to verify almost the entire state of Iowa would have warning criteria snow.  Only a few counties along the Mississippi River would likely be advisories instead.  But all 99 counties would be likely to have headlines.  I hope the Euro starts to cave towards the GFS.  

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