centralweather44 Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, jcwxguy said: If we could get 3 in Lincoln I would be happy. Don’t think we will end up with that much though unfortunately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 0z GFS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 The RDPS and GFS are holding steady with 5-6" for CR, so that may be a good prediction. Sioux City keeps finding new ways to get screwed. It seems like they've been missed by everything the last couple years. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 KCCI thoughts - 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The RDPS and GFS are holding steady with 5-6" for CR, so that may be a good prediction. Sioux City keeps finding new ways to get screwed. It seems like they've been missed by everything the last couple years. Ottumwa been a nice bullseye in recent years. But were playing catch up this yr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 CMC - 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 UKIE- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sholomar Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Took a little nap and woke up to NOAA adding 2 more inches to our forecast from 7 to 9 inches. Earlier today it was going to be 4-5 inches. (I am in Brookings) Managed to find this graphic they updated... they don't usually make evening updates to maps here in NOAA Sioux Falls like this, usually they'd update sometime between 3-5PM and 3-5AM. Also updated winter storm severity index: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/wssi.php?id=FSD 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 DMX aviation update- .AVIATION.../For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night/ Issued at 1116 PM CST Thu Jan 13 2022 Few changes to previous package. Have increased wind gusts aft 00z for most locations to the 24 to 28kt range for several hours resulting in blowing snow. Vsbys and cigs will continue to drop with cigs already IFR all locations. Per previous package; vsby will drop to under a mile as snow increases aft 14-15z north sites and 18-20z south sites for 3 to 5 hours. A brief period of 1/4sm is possible around KDSM aft 21z, but confidence of occurrence still somewhat limited. Gradual improvement expected aft 06z to 12z as snow tapers and winds begin to slow. /rev 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro crushes C.IA--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 DMX max on Euro- not often that happens this close to the event. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 With the Euro upping the CR/IC corridor to 6+", DVN will almost certainly upgrade us to a warning. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack_GradStudent Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 I am not convinced that the kc metro will see anymore than 3 or 4 inches... issues with warm air, the fact the storm is tracking nearly on top of them which will cause the best lift to be north and east... KC needs to hope for a little comma head developing that would wrap more snow back west.. if that happens a quick 2-3 extra inches could fall... anyone noticed the warming trend for kc, central mo, and stl?? The GFS and the GEFS all went wetter and warmer... thats my thoughts for tonight.. off to bed awaiting a long day tomorrow... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 The Snow God's are going to bless IA with this one...what an impressive mid-lat hybrid clipper...you don't get a set up like this very often that takes such a track. This is a near perfect pivot for C IA and folks nearby...the slow movement and intense rates are going to be quite the wintry scene come later today. Good luck to ya'll out west...meantime, I'll be lucky to get 1-2" and make up for the lost snow pack over the past couple days. Down to 1" of solid crust. I see the 0z Euro followed suit and sorta brings the precip shield farther E into N IL....let's see how this all unfolds...this map is eye candy for IA peeps... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro 24HR Cobb method snowfall ending Sat 6AM- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 0z EPS....9" mean for DSM....7" for @OttumwaSnomow...E IA folks also trending better... @Hawkeye @bud2380and crew should do pretty good with this one... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 06 NAM CRUSH JOB c.IA Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: 06 NAM CRUSH JOB c.IA If this verifies, which is highly unlikely, it'll be like when I first moved here and got 16" in Dec '09. Pivotal has my location more than 16"!❄ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 17" over mby on 3k NAM-- HA!! 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Some of these are doubled up and that is because of 12Z to 12Z is what a snow day is. Official snow depth is taken at 12Z for daily record keeping. So by looking at this list - and if we go midnight to midnight to for a normal snow day like most think- DSM has chance for top 12 to top 8 of all time 2 day snow events. I've personally worked 5 of these events for KDSM . Tomorrow /SAT hopefully makes it 6!!!! Now that I just jynxed that chance of happening- here you go- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Pretty impressive to be in "major" category from a "clipper" ? /\ Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Update from DMX- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 DMX- pretty straight forward other than this- However, a few models, particularly the NAM and Euro do show higher snowfall in the west and an upgrade may be needed should these solutions come to fruition. Overall, no changes to the headlines at this time. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 6z Models for KC and Ohio Valley NAM 3km NAM GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 WWA issued for KC. Given how this Winter has gone up to now this is a win. Lets see if they bump these totals up a little by the end of the day. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Snow is almost here already. Looks like it's about to start in Des Moines already as well. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 SREF averaging 3-5 across the KC area. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 6z Euro zoomed in for KC 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 For a winter lover and transplant from Minny- it's a great day in C.IA. See below- so serene and beautiful out, it's hard to describe - but those here understand the beauty of mother nature other than just the "draw backs". 6 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Some heavy rates in Fargo right now. 4 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 Snow goes all the way back into North Dakota. Awesome 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 I think I’ll be recommending that we send employees to work from home today for the afternoon. Due to safety reasons. Not for my own personal desire to watch the snow… 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 12z HRRR trending higher with totals for the KC area 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 I got snow! Ground is getting white already. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 1.5" in Fargo. I knew the models would bust. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 14, 2022 Report Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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