Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 15 minutes ago, tbone8 said: 15 minutes ago, tbone8 said: 15 minutes ago, tbone8 said: That’s crazy…. And it’s not counting Wed night-Thursday.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 12 minutes ago, Clinton said: 18z NAM Went from 11.2” on the 12z to 2.7” on the 18z. Can’t win this winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, shakjen said: Went from 11.2” on the 12z to 2.7” on the 18z. Can’t win this winter. I'm not giving in just yet. Will wait till 18z tomorrow before I throw in the white flag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS south. Slipping away… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z GFS - first wave looks like it’s a little further north but the 2nd wave gets suppressed to the south due to the high pressure 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: 18z GFS - first wave looks like it’s a little further north but the 2nd wave gets suppressed to the south due to the high pressure 0z models should have a good handle on that second wave. You look good for a warning level snow imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 Champaign, IL looks like a prime spot to be right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Clinton said: 0z models should have a good handle on that second wave. You look good for a warning level snow imo. Yeah but each run they keep getting lower and lower. Yesterday it was showing 22 inches and today maybe 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: Yeah but each run they keep getting lower and lower. Yesterday it was showing 22 inches and today maybe 10 Yep. It’s about trends…and they aren’t good right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: Yeah but each run they keep getting lower and lower. Yesterday it was showing 22 inches and today maybe 10 It hasn't trended the best for ya today but remember where we live, any warning level snow should be considered a win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 I think this will actually wobble quite a bit yet, I just don’t know where. It’s crazy how many people would be happier if it just goes 50-75 miles north. Though the southern suppression trend is a bummer 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 Afternoon AFD hits on what @mlgamerwas talking about with the tight gradient on the NW side. KC peeps need a NW shift on the 0z models tonight to ease some anxiety. Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 000 FXUS63 KEAX 312149 AFDEAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 349 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022 .Discussion... Issued at 342 PM CST MON JAN 31 2022 Key Message: - Winter storm in the form of accumulating snowfall and impacts to travel becoming likely across portions of the area late Tuesday night into Thursday morning. Upper ridge and good mixing has allowed for temperatures to soar into the upper 50s to middle 60s across snow-free areas (40s in the snow cover). With the continued moisture advection tonight, lows will remain well-above normal in the middle 30s to middle 40s across most areas. A cold front will begin to move southward across the CWA Tuesday morning, with a subsequent wind shift and CAA commencing. Scattered showers will develop along/ahead of the front from Tuesday morning into the afternoon, mainly across areas of east central Kansas into central Missouri, keeping most of the KC Metro just north of this zone of shower activity. Temperatures should remain steady or slowly fall during the daylight hours. Continued CAA will bring in colder air through the column, and additional post-frontal precipitation will develop Tuesday evening/night, continuing into Wednesday night. By this time, our forecast area will have a vertical temperature profile supportive of snow as the predominant type of precipitation. Cannot rule out a very brief window of mixed precipitation on the onset across central Missouri, but this is unlikely going to be the main story for this system. Periods of snowfall are expected to continue across the southeast 2/3rds of the CWA during the day Wednesday into Wednesday night. Most accumulating snowfall is expected to end by Thursday morning. A couple important things to note with this system with respect to snowfall: 1) the northern swath of snowfall will experience a sharp gradient of amounts, potentially going from a trace of snow to nearly six inches within a 50 mile line. 2) Any small change in the track will have a profound affect for those near the anticipated gradient (which is currently expected to reside between the Interstate 70 and Highway 36 corridor). Confidence remains that the highest snowfall totals are expected along and southeast of a line from Kirksville to Kansas City, where 6" to 12" are possible. The highest amounts are anticipated over central Missouri, where 10" to 15" of snow remains possible. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 Updated snowfall map from EAX 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 Looks like Thursday North Texans will get to practice their sleet skills. It will switch over to snow Thurs night/Fri. 28/17 Thursday /Mix Sleet-Snow 1-2' (just enough to create a disaster on the road with the newbies. 33/15 Friday /morning snow. It's been a long time since folks have driven on this. Does not bode well in my imagination. Even the Central Hill Country could get into the action. 1 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 KC offices snowfall map closely resembles the NDFD. I think we can do a little better than a 10:1 ratio. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, mlgamer said: Us [im so bored at work omg send help] 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metallica470 Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 hours ago, Jaycee said: Finished wrapping up my move into the south burbs yesterday (Tinley Park). I still have a place in the city but love my new place down here. Only problem is neither the girl I’m living with nor I even have a shovel since we’re both from the city and we now have a massive driveway lol so we’re both a bit nervous! Welcome! I have worked in Tinley for years and just moved to Orland from the West Loop in November. I went the entire month of December without getting a shovel. Finally picked one up at the beginning of January haha 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 24 minutes ago, Clinton said: Updated snowfall map from EAX I will be content with 6-8 but i would greatly prefer 15 lol 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 21z RAP is north but at this range who knows how accurate it may be but have to place our hopes on anything we can get. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tbone8 Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 hours ago, Jaycee said: Finished wrapping up my move into the south burbs yesterday (Tinley Park). I still have a place in the city but love my new place down here. Only problem is neither the girl I’m living with nor I even have a shovel since we’re both from the city and we now have a massive driveway lol so we’re both a bit nervous! Screw the shovel, get a blower... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, Tony said: 21z RAP is north but at this range who knows how accurate it may be but have to place our hopes on anything we can get. At 51 hrs it shows my location having more snow than anyone in KS or MO, so no it is not accurate. (Actually, I've started looking at that and the HRRR as well) 2 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, mlgamer said: At 51 hrs it shows my location having more snow than anyone in KS or MO, so no it is not accurate. (Actually, I've started looking at that and the HRRR as well) And don't forget the RGEM 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 NWS Topeka has issued an updated snow map which did increase snow totals along and north of I-70. Don't quite buy this yet, but we'll see... 1 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 Snow totals shown for Chi/ NW In area though 6pm Wed 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 I’m in the 0-2”. I’ll try to limit my excitement. I would guess closer to 0”. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Report Share Posted January 31, 2022 Same places that got 20-27” last week get more this week. The rich get richer. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 43 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: I’m in the 0-2”. I’ll try to limit my excitement. I would guess closer to 0”. Not to far from T-3” good luck I hope you get it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, GDR said: Not to far from T-3” good luck I hope you get it! Thanks. Most local forecasts say 0”. Only one app I’ve seen says up to an inch. Dry air may be tough to overcome. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 18z Euro took a jump SE. More juiced for mby Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 18z EURO is south. Yikes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, mlgamer said: NWS Topeka has issued an updated snow map which did increase snow totals along and north of I-70. Don't quite buy this yet, but we'll see... Those red uncertainty circles always tend to be around interstates or major cities 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 KC NWS is going to have a tough decision to make. With current trends, I would guess KC and points north will be in a WWA. WSW’s anywhere south and east. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 The SE trend tonight is a big problem, the 18z Euro mean shifted SE at least 40 miles. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 lol I remember looking at this storm last week and north and central WI were getting all the snow and southern WI and northern IL were getting rain on the GFS. Now it's headed straight towards central MO and IL as a ton of snow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 EURO mean is cringe. Unreal how hard it is to get a storm to come together around here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 1/26/2022 at 11:45 AM, gabel23 said: Kiss of death the CPC. " " 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted February 1, 2022 Report Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: " " What the heak does this even mean? I thought we weren’t even in it. I’m confused Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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