February 2022 Observations and Discussions

[Timmy Supercell]

Yesterday no t'storms at my place but I bet most of Kentucky had one.

At least I had my highest wind of the season last night when the front came through. 

[OmahaSnowFan]

61 at the airport and 59.2 IMBY today. 

Oh and RH down in the mid 20s again.

[SE Wisconsin]

1 hour ago, Madtown said:

Just dumping....snow squall warning

That's a beautiful sight!  Wish we had snow like that in SE WI.  Sigh!

 

[Clinton]

EPS for late next week looks good for this range.  

12z GEFS is a little further SE

[bud2380]

Some flurries just started falling here. 

[Hawkeye]

5 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

Some flurries just started falling here. 

It started as rain here, but it has switched to snow.  The temp just crashed from the upper 30s to lower 30s.

[bud2380]

Snow is picking up now. Still light but the wind is really picking up too and whipping it around. 

[jaster220]

Large area of snow squall warnings NW of Chicago now. Good Luck over there!

[OmahaSnowFan]

The temperature has tanked here. Was 60 at 430p and now it’s dropped all the way to 29.5 degrees at 915.

Winds are howling with gusts up to 35 mph too.

On a side note, I upgraded my weather station Wednesday to the Ambient WS-5000. Love it! Biggest difference so far is the wind measurements. My last station was always too low with wind but the new one has matched the gusts even reported at Eppley.

[FV-Mike]

Just receive a snow squall warning. 

[BrianJK]

Made my way back up to the north woods.  I was shocked at the lack of snow driving through southern and central Wisconsin.  However, once we hit stevens point, not only was there a nice snow pack, but ran into pure whiteout conditions the remainder of the way.  Countless cars in the ditch; some completely upside down.  Eventually they were forced to shut down 39/51.  Once we arrived in Eagle River, it’s just pure deep winter.  Knee high snow and just gorgeous.  Love it up here.  

[jaster220]

SSW, the new tornado warning

Trying to keep Peeps alive during "pile-up wx"

From the LOT wording:

Quote

Reduce your speed and turn on headlights! During snow squalls, the
visibility may suddenly drop to near zero in whiteout conditions.

Serious injuries and deaths may result from people exiting their
vehicles during a snow squall. Drivers may not be able to see you or
to stop! If stopped on the roadway or involved in an accident,
quickly exit your vehicle move as far away from the roadway as
possible ONLY when it is safe to do so. Do not stand along or near
the roadway, since approaching vehicles may be unable to maintain
control.

 

[Hawkeye]

The snow was no big deal, just light.  It added up to a couple tenths, my fifth dusting in the last month.

[jaster220]

They don't close main highways too often in NMI. It's the real deal when they do

 

[Stacsh]

29 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

They don't close main highways too often in NMI. It's the real deal when they do

 

It’s nuts here.  Not going to amount to a lot. But this is the heaviest best snow I’ve seen in along time.  Too bad the radar is out for another week 

[Stacsh]

I can’t see my mailbox at times 

[Tom]

3 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Large area of snow squall warnings NW of Chicago now. Good Luck over there!

Unfortunately, I slept through this and woke up a bit ago...the lined crapped out once it got to me place so I didn't miss much...this reminds me of a night time derecho!  I think this summer we will be seeing a lot of these set ups.

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=75&interval=10&year=2022&month=2&day=18&hour=17&minute=25

3 hours ago, BrianJK said:

Made my way back up to the north woods.  I was shocked at the lack of snow driving through southern and central Wisconsin.  However, once we hit stevens point, not only was there a nice snow pack, but ran into pure whiteout conditions the remainder of the way.  Countless cars in the ditch; some completely upside down.  Eventually they were forced to shut down 39/51.  Once we arrived in Eagle River, it’s just pure deep winter.  Knee high snow and just gorgeous.  Love it up here.  

Take some pics and enjoy the wintry scene....it's on my bucket list to experience a winter up there one of these days and into the U.P.  I love the pines and forests up that way...man, I just had some good ol' memories as a kid pop into my head when we took a family trip up there.  The Great Outdoors!

[Tom]

Gosh, Winter is making a return with a vengeance out across the western high plains....after a fresh deep new snow pack the "Nanook From The North" is making a comeback.  Brutal stretch of cold on tap...

 

 

[Tom]

That squall line from last evening was legit....numerous embedded lightning strikes from that band...#thundersnow

 

 

 

 

Meanwhile, downstate it sorta looked like the Tundra up north...

 

 

 

 

[Bellona]

Huh ..Janssen is my last name. Would be wild if I was somehow related.

[Tom]

Started a thread for the next storm on deck...

 

[Tom]

This will be the final nail in the coffin for the Polar Vortex as the seasons final warming event will finish off in dramatic fashion.  The GEFS have been suggesting a SSW event to take shape about a week ago when I first saw the model sniff it out, then the Euro Op starting seeing it and now all the models are agreeing.  What does this all mean for our weather?  Well, if history is a good guide, then its prob a good bet that we see late season blocking develop and a strong signal that a disruption to the Polar Vortex will keep the colder pattern around for a while longer into MAR/APR. 

Iirc, it was either in 2017 or 2018 when we saw a similar major SSW event take place in FEB that produced a colder MAR/APR pattern over our Sub.  It was one of the years when @CentralNebWeather was experiencing an Easter Sunday snowstorm and some real deal cold in early APR across the central Plains states.  I'm sure Judah Cohen is going to talk about this next week in his Blog.

 

Remember when the Euro was showing the MJO rotating into the warmer phases?  Except for the JMA,  the globals (CFSv2/Euro) are showing a definitive trend towards the NULL phase.  The JMA continues to say it will stay put in Phase 3....

 

 

 

 

Edit: Forgot to attach this....stay "warm" my friends....Storm Parade on the LR GEFS even more impressive with the snow potential...

 

[westMJim]

Here at my house I recorded a wind blown 2.7" of snow last night. And there is now 3.5" of snow on the ground. At this time it is clear and 10 

[Clinton]

5 hours ago, Tom said:

This will be the final nail in the coffin for the Polar Vortex as the seasons final warming event will finish off in dramatic fashion.  The GEFS have been suggesting a SSW event to take shape about a week ago when I first saw the model sniff it out, then the Euro Op starting seeing it and now all the models are agreeing.  What does this all mean for our weather?  Well, if history is a good guide, then its prob a good bet that we see late season blocking develop and a strong signal that a disruption to the Polar Vortex will keep the colder pattern around for a while longer into MAR/APR. 

Iirc, it was either in 2017 or 2018 when we saw a similar major SSW event take place in FEB that produced a colder MAR/APR pattern over our Sub.  It was one of the years when @CentralNebWeather was experiencing an Easter Sunday snowstorm and some real deal cold in early APR across the central Plains states.  I'm sure Judah Cohen is going to talk about this next week in his Blog.

 

Remember when the Euro was showing the MJO rotating into the warmer phases?  Except for the JMA,  the globals (CFSv2/Euro) are showing a definitive trend towards the NULL phase.  The JMA continues to say it will stay put in Phase 3....

 

 

 

 

Edit: Forgot to attach this....stay "warm" my friends....Storm Parade on the LR GEFS even more impressive with the snow potential...

 

Look at what the GEFS is picking up on for the first week of March.  If some blocking can show up we could have a large wet slow moving bowling ball type storm.  Maybe something similar to what we saw between Oct 27th-30th.

[Tom]

8 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Look at what the GEFS is picking up on for the first week of March.  If some blocking can show up we could have a large wet slow moving bowling ball type storm.  Maybe something similar to what we saw between Oct 27th-30th.

I fully anticipate bowling balls next month…slow moving and digging storms…can we get a legit CO Low???  

[CentralNebWeather]

15 minutes ago, Tom said:

I fully anticipate bowling balls next month…slow moving and digging storms…can we get a legit CO Low???  

Pleasssssse. 

[CentralNebWeather]

25 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Look at what the GEFS is picking up on for the first week of March.  If some blocking can show up we could have a large wet slow moving bowling ball type storm.  Maybe something similar to what we saw between Oct 27th-30th.

This would be perfect. 

[Clinton]

5 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

This would be perfect. 

7 day precip mean is impressive for this range but it is a LONG ways out so tread lightly.

[CentralNebWeather]

5 minutes ago, Clinton said:

7 day precip mean is impressive for this range but it is a LONG ways out so tread lightly.

I assume we will be missed in all directions with any storm this winter. It is a strategy that has unfortunately been 100% correct. I’ll expect nothing and hopefully be pleasantly surprised. 

[Clinton]

2 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I assume we will be missed in all directions with any storm this winter. It is a strategy that has unfortunately been 100% correct. I’ll expect nothing and hopefully be pleasantly surprised. 

It's amazing how storms will find a way to miss areas that are in drought, I just hope you get some relief before the growing season starts.

[CentralNebWeather]

2 minutes ago, Clinton said:

It's amazing how storms will find a way to miss areas that are in drought, I just hope you get some relief before the growing season starts.

If this continues into summer, food prices will only get higher. I sat by my farmer friend at the JV/Varsity games last night. He said farmers are really concerned about a crop coming up this spring unless the pattern changes. If it remains dry they’ll have to turn on irrigation systems early. Just an added cost to high fertilizer and fuel costs. This is not a good situation for anyone. 

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[OKwx2k4]

3 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

If this continues into summer, food prices will only get higher. I sat by my farmer friend at the JV/Varsity games last night. He said farmers are really concerned about a crop coming up this spring unless the pattern changes. If it remains dry they’ll have to turn on irrigation systems early. Just an added cost to high fertilizer and fuel costs. This is not a good situation for anyone. 

If folks invested in commodities back in say 2019....they'd be sitting perfectly.

I don't think we're looking at a short-term drought over our breadbasket, is what I'm saying.

 

[OmahaSnowFan]

humidity 26% and dew point of 0 degrees.

So sick of the dry air, dry skin, and bloody noses!!

[OmahaSnowFan]

After we get missed to the north and then to the southeast next week, the GFS brings back spring with warm rainers/ hard cutters to open March.

[snowstorm83]

24 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

After we get missed to the north and then to the southeast next week, the GFS brings back spring with warm rainers/ hard cutters to open March.

I just can’t believe how depressing and inactive this winter is. We’re on the south edge of a storm, trends north. On the north edge of a storm, it trends south. This year makes 2019-20 seem amazing lol. Also the wind: 

[Niko]

Here are some pics from the Macomb area: All added up from previous snows

 

 

[OmahaSnowFan]

1 hour ago, snowstorm83 said:

I just can’t believe how depressing and inactive this winter is. We’re on the south edge of a storm, trends north. On the north edge of a storm, it trends south. This year makes 2019-20 seem amazing lol. Also the wind: 

No kidding!

My kids were selling Girl Scout cookies outside Walmart last night from 5-8, when the temp went from 55 to 35 and the winds turned out of the north gusting to 40 mph the last 2 hours. Of course they were on the north side of the building with nowhere to escape the cold/wind.

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[CentralNebWeather]

To say it’s dry is an understatement. Bone dry relative humidity and south winds gusting to 40 MPH. Highway 183 is a major North South road that comes through Holdrege.