MikeInEverett Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Hopefully we can score something during the second half of the month. Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 I ended October with 4.24" of rain, above average with a mean temp of 57.2 degrees, almost 4 degrees above average. Still not quite as warm as last October. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Nice to have models coming out earlier now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Nice to have models coming out earlier now. Agreed! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 After finishing October with almost 10 inches of rain here... already at .75 for November in the first 8 hours. Seriously wet now. Snoqualmie River at moderate flood stage this morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 I'm thinking this will be a pretty interesting month with a decent chance of very low snow levels at some point. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 We're almost in Nina territory by July in this latest update. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/images3/nino34MonadjPDFC.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Currently snowing and 33 degrees at Stampeded Pass which is just shy of 4000 feet. Pretty good considering the coldest air isn't here yet. I'm glad they finally got that station back online. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Big time thunder and some lightning right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 We're almost in Nina territory by July in this latest update. I'm betting that model has the SSTs falling too slowly. In 1998 the ENSO SSTs crashed in just a couple of months. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Currently snowing and 33 degrees at Stampeded Pass which is just shy of 4000 feet. Pretty good considering the coldest air isn't here yet. I'm glad they finally got that station back online.This is Allison Pass (4400ft) SE of Hope, BC. 6.5" on the ground there. http://images.drivebc.ca/bchighwaycam/pub/cameras/65.jpg 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 This is the most exciting weather we have seen in what 2 years? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 This is the most exciting weather we have seen in what 2 years? Thanksgiving weekend last year was far more exciting than this crap. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Thanksgiving weekend last year was far more exciting than this crap. Last year was so bland, I will take today. Reminded me of California. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Last year was so bland, I will take today. Reminded me of California. Thanksgiving weekend last year was nothing like California. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Thanksgiving weekend last year was nothing like California. I meant the entire winter in general. Just felt like we lived in California. Yucky. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 I meant the entire winter in general. Just felt like we lived in California. Yucky. Agreed. The last few years have been absolutely awful. It's very nice to have cool NW flow back. That is the #1 thing that has been sorely lacking for what seems like an eternity. I really hope we never have to repeat two years this warm ever again. It has been disgusting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 I meant the entire winter in general. Just felt like we lived in California. Yucky. This winter will end up basically the same... despite November. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Despite the earth-shattering cool down, PDX will probably manage 60 again today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Looks like a thoroughly average early November period in the coming days. Still chasing that first freeze, not even sure we'll manage that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Despite the earth-shattering cool down, PDX will probably manage 60 again today.I haven't even considered turning the heat on yet. I'm on the 5th floor so I'm starting to wonder if I can make it till Thanksgiving. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Despite the earth-shattering cool down, PDX will probably manage 60 again today. D**n I'm good! Basically take what used to be the rules for Roseburg's climate and apply them to PDX and you've got a golden forecasting formula! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Looks like a thoroughly average early November period in the coming days. Still chasing that first freeze, not even sure we'll manage that. Yeah, really nothing remarkable about the next week or so. Although I guess seeing average temps and some run of the mill mountain snow showers is a pretty remarkable feat lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 I'm betting that model has the SSTs falling too slowly. In 1998 the ENSO SSTs crashed in just a couple of months.I suspect the CFS is peaking the Niño SSTs too quickly, particularly in Niño 4 and Niño 3.4. A later peak followed by a more rapid midsummer decline is more likely, IMO. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Yeah, really nothing remarkable about the next week or so. Although I guess seeing average temps and some run of the mill mountain snow showers is a pretty remarkable feat lately. Wednesday will be a bit fun to track the freeze potential, as it may be our last shot for awhile in outlying areas. OLM is playing with fire now, heading into November without a freeze for just the 4th time on record. The record latest first freeze date is November 10 there, set last year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Wednesday will be a bit fun to track the freeze potential, as it may be our last shot for awhile in outlying areas. OLM is playing with fire now, heading into November without a freeze for just the 4th time on record. The record latest first freeze date is November 10 there, set last year. I thought OLM was still solidly in the UHI proof -PDO phase though??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 I haven't even considered turning the heat on yet. I'm on the 5th floor so I'm starting to wonder if I can make it till Thanksgiving. I dunno. It's going to be a lot chillier in a couple of days. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Looks like a thoroughly average early November period in the coming days. Still chasing that first freeze, not even sure we'll manage that. I don't think you are really giving this pattern change the recognition it deserves. We are going to have anomalous high heights over the GOA, anomalous low heights over the PNW, and anomalously low 850mb temps. Furthermore the ECMWF looks a bit colder than the GFS overall, with 850s dropping to -4 over SEA on day 9. I'll take it for now. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 62 at PDX now. Staring this incredibly chilly month off on a nice, torchy note! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 62 at PDX now. Staring this incredibly chilly month off on a nice, torchy note! It will get much better. It's only 51 here with strong onshore flow and the air mass isn't even as cold as it's going to get yet. I have no idea how PDX managed the low 60s though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 It will get much better. It's only 51 here with strong onshore flow and the air mass isn't even as cold as it's going to get yet. I have no idea how PDX managed the low 60s though. They really seem to maximize warmth regardless of the pattern lately. Today definitely didn't look like a 62-63 on the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 So to recap... its miserable outside. There is snow in the mountains. Huge deep trough over us while the rest of the country is enjoying enviably beautiful weather. And yet... I still see lots of complaining on here. Like Eeyore. Kicking the dirt and always pouting. Woe is me. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2015 Report Share Posted November 1, 2015 Airport temperatures give me ulcers, just like temperatures everywhere else. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 Looks like a thoroughly average early November period in the coming days. Still chasing that first freeze, not even sure we'll manage that. Nah, first 7-10 days of the month will be below average most places. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 Nah, first 7-10 days of the month will be below average most places.Like your October cold call or actual cold? Fun!!! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 62 at PDX now. Staring this incredibly chilly month off on a nice, torchy note!I don't think it even reached 50 here. It's 45 right now and pouring. Super torchy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 Defense actually stepped up and won a close game. Much nicer going into the bye week at 4-4. Would have been a long 2 weeks if we had to watch Dan Bailey win it with a 55 yard field goal and fall to 3-5. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 High elevations can receive up to just under 8" of snow tonight in a large area of BC. Good for the snow pack! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 Like your October cold call or actual cold? Fun!!! Actual anomalies below average. Soothing. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2015 Report Share Posted November 2, 2015 Actual anomalies below average. Soothing.Not likely. Historical daily averages will be dipping below 50 soon. That's a lot for Redding Jr. (PDX) to keep up with. Don't pressure the little guy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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