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PNW February 2022 - Winters Last Stand


The Blob

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Saw some light snow above 700 feet in the Lakemont area tonight. Even some slushy accumulation on cars. 

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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31 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

What happened if I can ask? Glad you're better for sure.

6z GFS in 2 hours.

Highly active with sports in high school, Pole Vaulting especially, but didn't realize problems until years after and hurt myself on the job, it came and went for many years before I started to lose feeling in my legs a few months before surgery in 2018.  I graduated HS in 1996.  It was inevitable according to my doctors.

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EPS weeklies only strengthen the WPAC signal with time. Note the eastward propagation next month.

Ugly situation for the SW US.

E985A53F-FE9A-47A1-9D37-78EF5C1F35AD.thumb.png.97e118edde7f57bdfa65c912f69d0b2d.png

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

EPS weeklies only strengthen the WPAC signal with time.

Note the eastward propagation next month. Ugly situation for the SW US.

E985A53F-FE9A-47A1-9D37-78EF5C1F35AD.thumb.png.97e118edde7f57bdfa65c912f69d0b2d.png

El Niño time

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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5 hours ago, GHweatherChris said:

Highly active with sports in high school, Pole Vaulting especially, but didn't realize problems until years after and hurt myself on the job, it came and went for many years before I started to lose feeling in my legs a few months before surgery in 2018.  I graduated HS in 1996.  It was inevitable according to my doctors.

Jeez man I had no idea. I hope you're not having many issues now. It's almost like being physically active and doing sports isn't as fun as it sounds considering it led to many injuries for me too.

12z GFS in 2 hours 5 minutes

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34 and cloudy this morning. Yesterday was a solidly cool 38/32. Overall the models are pretty boring right now.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Found the exact same perspective from a couple of summers ago! I'm such a nerd haha🤓

433599699_ScreenShot2022-02-02at8_41_41AM.thumb.png.026b9004ac4e29581f3e77f8345a1e2c.png

I almost like the summer picture as much as the snow picture. The clouds look incredible.

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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NWS Spokane placed my county and my zone in a Winter Weather Advisory with the old stand by prediction of 1-3 inches  from 4pm-4am which surprised me a bit.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Sad that Timmy in KY is going to miss this snowstorm.      

Phil - you could travel west this time!    No ocean to screw up the snow.  😀

ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-total_snow_kuchera-4105600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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You have to wonder why our weather always sucks. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Sad that Timmy in KY is going to miss this snowstorm.      

Phil - you could travel west this time!    No ocean to screw up the snow.  😀

ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-total_snow_kuchera-4105600.png

Yep, PHIL you need to take another one for the team! I will chip in $5 for another tire. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Couple stray snowflakes on frozen surfaces here with a low of 29F.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

ecmwf-deterministic-ecentus-frzr_total-4105600.png

Hmmmm... Looks fun. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, GHweatherChris said:

Light flurry currently!

Nice! Back any better today?

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, FroYoBro said:

GFS thinks we may have another week long dry stretch down here. Pray for Joshua.

I wish it was only a week. More like an indefinite one. If the GFS verifies, we will have gone 40 days in winter with about 1” of rain. Only one day with more than .15”. Hard to even fathom, yet I am confident it will happen. There are zero indications of a pattern change back to wet. Like I joked about before, maybe our summer pattern started in January this year. It started in March last year, so why not?

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6 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

I wish it was only a week. More like an indefinite one. If the GFS verifies, we will have gone 40 days in winter with about 1” of rain. Only one day with more than .15”. Hard to even fathom, yet I am confident it will happen. There are zero indications of a pattern change back to wet. Like I joked about before, maybe our summer pattern started in January this year. It started in March last year, so why not?

Pretty incredible. I don't even know what to say at this point. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Minor ensemble improvement. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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41 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

I wish it was only a week. More like an indefinite one. If the GFS verifies, we will have gone 40 days in winter with about 1” of rain. Only one day with more than .15”. Hard to even fathom, yet I am confident it will happen. There are zero indications of a pattern change back to wet. Like I joked about before, maybe our summer pattern started in January this year. It started in March last year, so why not?

We are almost Guaranteed to go 50 days with 0" pretty amazing but it seems to happen every winter now since 2011. 

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