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PNW February 2022 - Winters Last Stand


The Blob

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All of you getting snow right nowdead to me whatever GIF

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Home Weather Station Stats (starting Dec. 25 2021)

High - 90.7 (some data missing)

Lowest High - 23.6

Low - 15.6

Sub 40 highs - 13

Sub-freezing highs - 5

Lows below 25 - 6

Lows below 20 - 1

2021-2022 Snowfall - 10.9''

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2 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

All of you getting snow right nowdead to me whatever GIF

LOL!  I'm guessing you are in the screw zone.  These events are hard for me up in Bellingham, I just have to keep reminding myself that there have been times where we get the goods and every one else....well except @MossMan ...is in the screw zone.  He is NEVER in the screw zone.  If I could swing it I would definitely be actively trying to become his neighbor!

 

Down to 26.6/DP 9.6

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5 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

LOL!  I'm guessing you are in the screw zone.  These events are hard for me up in Bellingham, I just have to keep reminding myself that there have been times where we get the goods and every one else....well except @MossMan ...is in the screw zone.  He is NEVER in the screw zone.  If I could swing it I would definitely be actively trying to become his neighbor!

 

Down to 26.6/DP 9.6

Heck I moved FROM Stanwood so I know how you feel. Although south Camano was the big winner this am. I'd rather not live on SC though because it's an hour just to get to I-5 and you lose power every time a light breeze ripples.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Stats:

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

Last Sub freezing Day: 11/29/23 (2nd)

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Very pleased to be going into this with snow. That was the biggest concern. Also pleasantly surprised by the high of 35 today. The airmass isn't really THAT cold yet, and this time of year a couple of sunbreaks can easily pop us into the upper 30s on a day like this. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... it seems to be related to moisture coming in from the east being enhanced by northerly flow through the Sound.     It was drying out well here this afternoon and then it just exploded.    Very unusual way to get snow with an arctic front.  

I've been puzzled all evening about the origin of this precip, but I think this is a good analysis. Moisture retrograding around the low to our east w/ low level convergent arctic outflow between cascade gap outflow and fraser northerlies. Extremely unusual! Sat and radar trying to get something done over the Seattle area now. Would be awesome to get some surprise flakes out of this, just like what the Euro showed. Honestly I thought it was a resolution fluke and that it would stay in the cascades. Not so!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 16

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Getting closer... here is I-5 and Hwy 18.

 

005vc14205 (2).jpg

Snowing at @Jginmartinis place so it’s not far from here 35 with a DP of 26 here. Just very weird to see decent bands of snow coming off the cascades moving SW. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Tonight’s set up is really bizarre. But looks like more people than expected are scoring out of it. 

Very bizzare.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 16

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

I've been puzzled all evening about the origin of this precip, but I think this is a good analysis. Moisture retrograding around the low to our east w/ low level convergent arctic outflow between cascade gap outflow and fraser northerlies. Extremely unusual! Sat and radar trying to get something done over the Seattle area now. Would be awesome to get some surprise flakes out of this, just like what the Euro showed. Honestly I thought it was a resolution fluke and that it would stay in the cascades. Not so!

Jim’s probably going to end up with atleast an inch! Pretty interesting. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

Jim’s probably going to end up with atleast an inch! Pretty interesting. 

Tim will stay below freezing all day tomorrow with deep snowcover and Arctic reinforcement. Jim was borderline at best before his surprise snow, but now it's very possible he does too! Hopefully my area can get some in the coming few hours as the last bit of moisture rotates around the area. :)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 16

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trend-gfs-2022022200-f060.500h_anom.na.gif

As for Thursday's system, the westward trend on the GFS is very real and very significant. Caving to the Euro...again.... Could mean for more snow in the region if this trend continues. As @MR.SNOWMIZER said earlier, with Arctic air comes unexpected surprises; especially when liquid precip errors of 0.1" can mean an unexpected 0.5-2" of snowfall!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 16

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Tim will stay below freezing all day tomorrow with deep snowcover and Arctic reinforcement. Jim was borderline at best before his surprise snow, but now it's very possible he does too! Hopefully my area can get some in the coming few hours as the last bit of moisture rotates around the area. :)

Very surprised at how healthy the radar looks south of Seattle, normally you’d figure this type of set up would be pretty anemic. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like I'm over an inch now.  Nice surprise snowfall!

Looks like the heaviest precip is NE of here over in federal way Des Moines area. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Just now, Deweydog said:

Did you vacuum them up when you were done?

Bruh UPS guy showed up and parked in front of our house. Wife and I were like ohhhh it’s time!!! And then he left after about 5 minutes. We got a message saying our package was damaged and delayed several days and sorry for the inconvenience. 

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4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Bruh UPS guy showed up and parked in front of our house. Wife and I were like ohhhh it’s time!!! And then he left after about 5 minutes. We got a message saying our package was damaged and delayed several days and sorry for the inconvenience. 

That’s just plain mean. He knew exactly what he was doing.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Just now, Jginmartini said:

I’m just enjoying with drink in hand.  Streetlamp looks lovely tonight :) 

Looked like theres some snow on the ground at the highway 18 I-5 junction in federal way. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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35F and cloudy. I doubt we get much colder than this.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 41F (Nov 21, 2023)
  • Coldest low: 22F (Nov 25, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Nov 29, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) *1 sub-freezing high since Jan 14, 2017 (fewest on record during 6 year span)*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

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Kind of a meh GFS run.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Classic March anafront in lala land. Nice to see. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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34.5.

KOMO radar showing a cell sliding down towards me, but it isn't picked up by UW radar. Hopefully we can squeeze a few flakes out before I go to sleep. 

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Home Weather Station Stats (starting Dec. 25 2021)

High - 90.7 (some data missing)

Lowest High - 23.6

Low - 15.6

Sub 40 highs - 13

Sub-freezing highs - 5

Lows below 25 - 6

Lows below 20 - 1

2021-2022 Snowfall - 10.9''

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Down to 30 under mostly clear skies. Will be interesting to see how low we go by morning. Either way, probably an 11:59p low tomorrow. HRRR has dewpoints falling to around 10F here by 7am tomorrow, the 3K NAM has it closer to 0, not sure which one is usually more accurate as it is not something I typically follow. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Dewpoint now down to -1 at Spokane. 

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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GFS ensembles appear to be improved. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Because winter has been over for a while for folks below 1000' (Except Mossman and flurries notwithstanding.), it's never to early to look ahead. 

cansips_T2ma_us_11.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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