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Midwest Snowfall Contest for the Winter of 2015-16


Geos

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  • 2 weeks later...

The total seasonal snow fall here in Grand Rapids is still at  30.0” one this this week’s snow could do is end any chance of GR ending this winter with a top ten in the lowest snow fall department here is a list of the top ten lowest seasonal snow falls here at Grand Rapids

 

1. 1905/06 20”
2. 1906/07 30.1”
3. 1948/49 33.2”
4. 1936/37 34.3”
5. 1920/21 35.6”
6. 1943/44 35.7”
7. 1982/83 35.9”
8. 1908/09 37.4”
9. 1927/28 37.5”
10. 1952/53 39.7”

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Here is an updated list of snowfall thus far this season.  By far, parts of NE/IA/SD have been above normal in the snowfall dept this season.  It'll be interesting to see how much we can add to it going forward into March.

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/Screen_Shot_2016_02_23_at_6_28_20_AM.png

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I am about 75 miles Southwest of Grand Island in Central Nebraska.  I would say that 31 inch number is fairly close for my location.  18 inches of that was the Feb.1-2 Groundhog Day Storm.  Still hoping for one more 6+ inch storm.  In this area I could really live with 40 inches.  Not alot compared to other places but good for us.

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  • 2 weeks later...

If anyone still cares as of today the official seasonal snow fall total here at Grand Rapids is now 51.7”.  Of that amount 10.1” has fall in March.  My guess back on November 7th for GRR was 57.5” At Detroit the seasonal total is now at 34.0” At Milwaukee the total is now 33.3” and Chicago its now at 30.1” BTW my November 7th guesses for Milwaukee was 42.5” and for Chicago it was for 28.5”

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  • 3 weeks later...

Some updated seasonal snowfall totals...

 

 

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/Screen_Shot_2016_04_05_at_5_31_20_AM.png

 

 

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/Screen_Shot_2016_04_05_at_6_17_21_AM.png

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Some updated seasonal snowfall totals...

 

 

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/Screen_Shot_2016_04_05_at_5_31_20_AM.png

 

 

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/Screen_Shot_2016_04_05_at_6_17_21_AM.png

LOTS of have nots.... El nino won

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Just a few selected area won. El Niño's usually do focus the snowfall surplus in a few areas. This being one of them and definitely from James's area out towards Sioux Falls.

 

Northern areas of the sub forum aren't quite done with snow including MI.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Will be updating at the end of the week as the new numbers are loaded. 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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As it looks of now, the snow is done for the season.

 

 

I compiled the remaining information for the contest and there is a clear winner. Maxim. He was within 5% of the total snowfall tally between all the cities combined. He also picked 9 snowfall totals that were close to the actually tallies.

How I graded this was is I took each person's city pick for snowfall and compared it against the actual value. Person that was closest to that snowfall total got the credit/point.

Nobody was really tied at the end, but both Okwx2k4 and CentralNebWeather both had two locations close to being right.

 

WestMJim was in 2nd place. He was closest on all three tiebreakers with being really close on #1 and #3.

3rd place I would give to CentralNebweather - OKWx2k4 was close behind him. CNW was closer on 2 out of the 3 tiebreakers and was at 127% of the total snowfall city tally.

 

Special mention to Tom, he nailed the seasonal total for Sioux Falls!

 

post-7-0-09379100-1461024510_thumb.jpg

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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As it looks of now, the snow is done for the season.

 

 

I compiled the remaining information for the contest and there is a clear winner. Maxim. He was within 5% of the total snowfall tally between all the cities combined. He also picked 8 snowfall totals that were close to the actually tallies.

How I graded this was is I took each person's city pick for snowfall and compared it against the actual value. Person that was closest to that snowfall total got the credit/point.

Nobody was really tied at the end, but both Okwx2k4 and CentralNebWeather both had two locations close to being right.

 

WestMJim was in 2nd place. He was closest on all three tiebreakers with being really close on #1 and #3.

3rd place I would give to CentralNebweather - OKWx2k4 was close behind him. CNW was closer on 2 out of the 3 tiebreakers and was at 127% of the total snowfall city tally.

 

Special mention to Tom, he nailed the seasonal total for Sioux Falls!

 

attachicon.gifsnowfallcontestresults.jpg

Good work Geo, that was fun will have to do it again next year! I was off pretty bad in the midwest, I figured they would be in the sweet spot with snow....special mention to Tom for being last, ha!!! 

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Doh!  The storms were plentiful but the cold was just to marginal all season long.  Till next year boys!

 

It's Ironic that the guy who hates the snow and cold the most won the contest.  Let's all hope next year's La Nina makes up for the lousy Winter we just had.

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Yeah that was fun.

 

I think I underestimated the el Niño and its warmth. I figured December was going to be a bit colder than it was - that was a downfall.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Nice job on this GEOS, and congrats to the top (3) "pickers"!  I don't get into these contests but I made a call for SMI and a pretty bold one actually. Went out on a limb that mby in Marshall over to Lake Michigan would be 150% or better for the season. Not surprisingly, that call busted (mby sits at 115%), but one county to my north on up through the Thumb region actually did get to that threshold so my idea was good, just missed the "target zone".  Interesting strong el-Nino, first in my lifetime where I ended up with above avg totals for snow! Crappy as it was, that's something noteworthy! Oh, and NEMI really did well with this pattern too. Alpena had their snowiest winter in many years. 

 

Amazing after all the summer heat over the weekend, just north of Lk. Huron there's 30+ inches OTG!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Nice job on this GEOS, and congrats to the top (3) "pickers"!  I don't get into these contests but I made a call for SMI and a pretty bold one actually. Went out on a limb that mby in Marshall over to Lake Michigan would be 150% or better for the season. Not surprisingly, that call busted (mby sits at 115%), but one county to my north on up through the Thumb region actually did get to that threshold so my idea was good, just missed the "target zone".  Interesting strong el-Nino, fist in my lifetime where I ended up with above avg totals for snow! Crappy as it was, that's something noteworthy! Oh, and NEMI really did well with this pattern too. Alpena had their snowiest winter in many years. 

 

Amazing after all the summer heat over the weekend, just north of Lk. Huron there's 30+ inches OTG!

 

You can see how the lake help refrigerate northern and western Ontario. It acts as a buffer between the warmth and the snow pack.

The Sudbury and North Bay areas are usually the last to melt out. I saw patches of snow up by Wawa before in early May, while it was around 20°C.

 

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Doh!  The storms were plentiful but the cold was just to marginal all season long.  Till next year boys!

 

It's Ironic that the guy who hates the snow and cold the most won the contest.  Let's all hope next year's La Nina makes up for the lousy Winter we just had.

Maxim was rewarded for riding climatology it seems

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Correction: Maxim has credit for 9 close to being right. ORD he was 0.5" closer.

 

If the EURO is correct the snow may not be done for a few locations.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Local met posted that Waterloo finished with 46.0"

 

And just down the road, in Cedar Rapids, we only had 20.0", and I think only 10-15" fell in part of southeast Iowa.  It was a very sharp gradient across Iowa from nw to southeast.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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