Madtown Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 well thinkin everything is a bit over amped like every storm this year at this time frame. Still think a 7-10" storm looks good, but 17-20"...I dunno Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Pretty whopping North shift for the Monday wave here. I still think 6-9" for event total is a pretty decent bet. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Bellona said: Also not surprised DMX didn't mention it as they seem to be very cautious with ice wording and the worst icing does look to occur, if it even does, to the east/SE of their counties. 0z Euro suggesting that ICE your mentioning... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 0z Euro....2nd wave looks rather potent... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Tom said: 0z Euro....2nd wave looks rather potent... So cedar falls gets 7 inches and wloo zilch lol. It's happened before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bellona said: So cedar falls gets 7 inches and wloo zilch lol. It's happened before. I've been seeing this band show up on some of the models with the stronger wave on Tuesday...looks like a nail-biter near you and @james1976... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 looks like I'm on the southern edge of the heavier band tomorrow. hoping this trend reverses a bit. GB office saying north on Monday and south in Tuesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Unless the trend reverses, this looks like central MN gets the bullseye on this storm, but still looking pretty good here. Finally something that isnt 5 degrees and windy. Edit: NWS saying 1-2" for the first wave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MKEstorm Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Watching for ice here Monday night and Tuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Looksnlike its headed way north on GFS bubye Monday snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 HRRR says "lol what Twin Cities storm?" Holds it wayyyyyy north. Lets hope it is wrong. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 257 PM CST Sun Feb 20 2022 MNZ045-052-053-060>063-210500- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0002.220221T0900Z-220223T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.W.0002.220221T1200Z-220223T0000Z/ Kanabec-Isanti-Chisago-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington- Including the cities of Mora, Cambridge, Center City, Minneapolis, Blaine, St Paul, and Stillwater 257 PM CST Sun Feb 20 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 14 inches. Locally higher amounts are likely, particularly in northern counties. * WHERE...Portions of east central Minnesota. * WHEN...From 6 AM Monday to 6 PM CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will make for difficult travel. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. 2 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Yeah... HRRR is not good. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Hrrr hasn't been close on any stlrm since the first clipper back in dec up hete Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Sums up my forecast office. lol only place without a wwa in all of wi 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted February 20, 2022 Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 Good grief. We have everything from snow to thunderstorms to high wind and fire risks. Just about anything for everyone. I just don’t want anything in the 20’s for very long. 1 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Madtown said: Sums up my forecast office. lol only place without a wwa in all of wi Walworth's WWA is just for freezing rain and sleet, with ice accumulations up to .25in. There is going to be some massive damage. No mention of snow with this storm. If we get that much ice it's going to be national news probably. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 0Z HRRR is South by about 2 inches. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 NAM 12KM gives me 4". NEST gives me 9" Oh, the humanity. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Yep, looks like NAM caved north as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Anyone have the 18z euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Madtown said: Anyone have the 18z euro? 18z Euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Well its accuweather, but don't think I've ever seen this before. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 hours ago, Madtown said: Well its accuweather, but don't think I've ever seen this before. 0z Euro agrees...you guys will do good up there... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Radar is verifying wayyyy north. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 First wave is a bust north here. The second wave being a bust to the south would be par for the course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 All the Hires stuff showing i get missed to the north today. .Nice flakes falling now see how long we can hold on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 And main band lifted north. Depressing, but kinda expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Wave 1 has been modeled to be north of the metro for days, so no surprises there. Wave 2 coming in pretty hot on the 12z runs so far this morning. Tomorrow’s snow is the money maker. Liking the trends to be honest. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 WWA down here an inch of snow and some ice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Can someone explain why this is happening with the storm, please? Portage Wisconsin (near the Dells) forecast has low going into the day as 18, high that day of 22, then low of 5 but they are calling for snow and sleet, why would there be sleet with those temps? They are still calling for 1-3in of snow, and it doesn't look like there's wrap around snow on NAM, looks like all sleet. It usually seems like there's a very clear cut off between snow and rain but this has a bigger blob of sleet then I'm used to seeing. I understand that sleet is snow that melts as it falls then freezes again, but what maps on tropicaltidbits show that it'd be warm enough to become sleet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, gimmesnow said: Can someone explain why this is happening with the storm, please? Portage Wisconsin (near the Dells) forecast has low going into the day as 18, high that day of 22, then low of 5 but they are calling for snow and sleet, why would there be sleet with those temps? They are still calling for 1-3in of snow, and it doesn't look like there's wrap around snow on NAM, looks like all sleet. It usually seems like there's a very clear cut off between snow and rain but this has a bigger blob of sleet then I'm used to seeing. I understand that sleet is snow that melts as it falls then freezes again, but what maps on tropicaltidbits show that it'd be warm enough to become sleet? Look at the 850’s… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 In John Dee I trust 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 15z RAP now with double digit totals from the mid metro on north. I’d say at least 5” looking pretty good. Anything more is bonus. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 16"-17" down today in the Bayfield Peninsula! Pictures on Duluth NWS facebook 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 looks like totals are being lowered around here for tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 Local Mets still saying 10" locally here 4-8 south and 12+ northwest who knows i guess. anyone have the 18z euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 21, 2022 Report Share Posted February 21, 2022 well after a lack last Forecast disco they come out with this map. Maybe not all hope is lost Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 22, 2022 Report Share Posted February 22, 2022 I think MPX is pretty close with its 4-7" on the grid, I might go a bit higher than that. One thing is for sure: This is a horrible storm for Kuchera. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 22, 2022 Report Share Posted February 22, 2022 Well whaddya know, dry air is winning on radar right now. 1 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.