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President's Day - Washington's B Day Winter Storm


Tom
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
257 PM CST Sun Feb 20 2022

MNZ045-052-053-060>063-210500-
/O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0002.220221T0900Z-220223T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMPX.WS.W.0002.220221T1200Z-220223T0000Z/
Kanabec-Isanti-Chisago-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Including the cities of Mora, Cambridge, Center City,
Minneapolis, Blaine, St Paul, and Stillwater
257 PM CST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to
  14 inches. Locally higher amounts are likely, particularly in
  northern counties.

* WHERE...Portions of east central Minnesota.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Monday to 6 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce
  visibility. The hazardous conditions will make for difficult
  travel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found
at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.

 

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  • Snow 2

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Yeah... HRRR is not good.

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Good grief. We have everything from snow to thunderstorms to high wind and fire risks.  
Just about anything for everyone. 
I just don’t want anything in the 20’s for very long.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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1 hour ago, Madtown said:

Sums up my forecast office. lol only place without a wwa in all of wi 

Screenshot_20220220-165128_DuckDuckGo.jpg

Walworth's WWA is just for freezing rain and sleet, with ice accumulations up to .25in. There is going to be some massive damage. No mention of snow with this storm. If we get that much ice it's going to be national news probably.

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0Z HRRR is South by about 2 inches.

  • lol 1

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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NAM 12KM gives me 4". NEST gives me 9" Oh, the humanity.

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Radar is verifying wayyyy north.

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Can someone explain why this is happening with the storm, please? Portage Wisconsin (near the Dells) forecast has low going into the day as 18, high that day of 22, then low of 5 but they are calling for snow and sleet, why would there be sleet with those temps?

They are still calling for 1-3in of snow, and it doesn't look like there's wrap around snow on NAM, looks like all sleet. It usually seems like there's a very clear cut off between snow and rain but this has a bigger blob of sleet then I'm used to seeing. I understand that sleet is snow that melts as it falls then freezes again, but what maps on tropicaltidbits show that it'd be warm enough to become sleet?

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4 minutes ago, gimmesnow said:

Can someone explain why this is happening with the storm, please? Portage Wisconsin (near the Dells) forecast has low going into the day as 18, high that day of 22, then low of 5 but they are calling for snow and sleet, why would there be sleet with those temps?

They are still calling for 1-3in of snow, and it doesn't look like there's wrap around snow on NAM, looks like all sleet. It usually seems like there's a very clear cut off between snow and rain but this has a bigger blob of sleet then I'm used to seeing. I understand that sleet is snow that melts as it falls then freezes again, but what maps on tropicaltidbits show that it'd be warm enough to become sleet?

Look at the 850’s…

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I think MPX is pretty close with its 4-7" on the grid, I might go a bit higher than that. One thing is for sure: This is a horrible storm for Kuchera.

  • Snow 1

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Well whaddya know, dry air is winning on radar right now.

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Another overhyped event. Schools are already delaying and canceling activities for tomorrow......forecast for inch or less of snow and a glaze of ice. WOW. What is this.....North Carolina??? When I was a kid sh*t didn't get canceled til the morning of and only if it was a lot of snow and/or ice.

I'll be shocked if it's bad in the morning. Maybe it will be???? But as of right now it doesn't seem to look too bad.

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6 minutes ago, james1976 said:

Another overhyped event. Schools are already delaying and canceling activities for tomorrow......forecast for inch or less of snow and a glaze of ice. WOW. What is this.....North Carolina??? When I was a kid sh*t didn't get canceled til the morning of and only if it was a lot of snow and/or ice.

I'll be shocked if it's bad in the morning. Maybe it will be???? But as of right now it doesn't seem to look too bad.

I don’t drive on ice.  And I really don’t want to drive on ice to take my kid to the high school tomorrow where a bunch of 14 and 15 year olds are driving….

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1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

The “I refuse to snow” winter continuing right now, as we have freezing drizzle/mist with a temp of only 20 degrees🙄

I didn't expect any precip it's been flurrying hard enough to give us a very light dusting. I noticed earlier that temps were falling a bit ahead of schedule. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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19 minutes ago, Madtown said:

outside of the lake enhanced snow in Bayfield/Duluth this as of now is a bust. 6" in Ironwood, where 12-19" was predicted.  Maybe things change today, but I would be surprised to reach 8" total over the 2 days here. 

I'd be surprised if we reach 4 here.

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Radar filling in finally. A dusting on the ground currently, 11*F.

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

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Had a light coating of ice overnight that was causing some serious issues on the roads but thankfully dried up before rush hour. Also had some light snow amounting to maybe 1/4-1/2”. 
Kids were excited to see snow again after 6 weeks of nothing even if it’s nothing they can play in.

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