Here is our 3-category ENSO-based probabilistic MAM severe convective storm activity forecast using the DJF ONI (released today) of -0.7. Methodology by @lapiccolaflo and @JTAllen3 in https://t.co/h8Z5FN5TCY pic.twitter.com/cI6AGUr56y

— Michael Tippett (@mkTippett) March 3, 2023