I wonder if the devastation in western NC will have any effect on the election as far as voter turnout. I think it would be a much bigger factor if the election were only a week or two away, but still. There's a good amount of time to get the recovery process going but it sounds and looks really, really bad out there. Western NC does tend to be Republican, except for the county where Asheville is located.
Nate is coming back around to Kamala...
“A lot of polling since our last update, and the model mostly liked it for Harris — especially the national polls, which show her lead expanding to an even 3 points,” Silver wrote in the post published.
“Forecast still in toss-up range, but we’re at a point where you’d probably rather have Harris’s hand to play,” Silver continued.
In a post on the social platform X, Silver wrote that “positive revisions to economic data booster our economic index quite a bit,” and “that helps Harris too.”
Not that I'm taking this to the bank for the entire country, but I don't know if I've ever seen the CFS have such widespread dryness in the CONUS. This is bananas.