It had to come sometime. I had the 1st snowfall of over one inch overnight and there is 3.5” of snow on the ground here in MBY at the current time it is 26 with light snow falling. He official H/L yesterday at GR was 34/28 there was 0.4” of snowfall. There was no sunshine the highest wind gust was 28 MPH out of the NW. For today the average H/L is 41/29 the record high of 65 was in 1998 the coldest high of 11 was in 1929. The record low of 6 was in 1929. The wettest was 1.19” in 1919 the most snowfall of 4.5” was in 1960 the most on the ground was 7” in 1940.

6Z GEFS

Can we avoid a phase 6 MJO? Models have trended towards the MJO stalling out in phase 5 ( which is cold in a la nina) then moving into the null phase. The stormy part of the pattern will return around Christmas so avoiding phase 6 is important unless you like brown. Phase 5 MJO

Models yesterday were taking most of the moisture with the clipper off to my east. This morning some seem to be bringing it back.

Areas to our north have torched so long by that time any airmass that gets to use will be so moderated it will just bring average temps (see 00z euro)