BZN literally just posted a +9.2 anomaly last month lol. WYS was probably similar, but the local SNOTEL hasn't been reporting temps consistently.

Snow has let up here. We ended up with about 8 inches. I made a note of the 12z runs this morning to compare against - RAP was the closest with 7.4" modeled. RDPS, HRDPS, and ICON were about 1.5" off on the low side while the WRF models were about 1.5" off on the high side. All other models (HRRRR, NAM, FV3, GFS, ECMWF) were further off on the low side. RRFS was easily the worst with only showing 2.8 inches. Absolutely blew it's forecast so badly. Going to be tough to trust that model going forward. I will say, this marks 2/3 storms this season that the ECMWF has been among the more poor performing models with totals. A bit uncharacteristic for the King.

That 6+ bulls-eye stripe from Marshalltown to CR/IC on the CAMs has vanished. For now, the HRRR is hanging onto 3-5 across east-central Iowa. It does not help that our snow just began, but the back edge is already moving into central Iowa.

-ENSO and -PDO have historically correlated very strongly to our summer temperatures. Until recently.

March 2012, June/July 2012, and December 2021 at a bare minimum were absolutely black swan warm weather events on a large scale in the U.S. Maybe put the same energy into researching the thousands of records shattered from those as you do into these run-of-the-mill cold spells?