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Meichel

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Posts posted by Meichel

  1. 000

    FXUS63 KAPX 120117

    AFDAPX

     

    Area Forecast Discussion

    National Weather Service Gaylord MI

    817 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

     

    .UPDATE...

    Issued at 816 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

     

    The poor, poor Leelanau-Benzie coastline continues to be hit hard

    by the dominant lake effect snow band. Total accums must be

    pushing 2 feet in parts of western Leelanau Co. We keep waiting

    for this band to shift eastward; that shift is already well

    underway with the upstream end of the band over Superior. The

    models continue to slow the eastward shift over nw lower MI, but

    it has to happen (right?), especially as increasing land breezes

    likely spin up some sort of mesolow near Beaver Isl. Grids have

    been adjusted for more snow early tonight where the band is

    presently found, and don`t bring better snow showers into the Gd

    Trav Bay region until closer to 1-2 am.

     

    Seriously? LOL

  2. So I'm up in Traverse City waiting patiently for the lake effect snow that was supposed to start 5 hours ago. Actually changed my work plans according to the (ever changing) forecast in this area, but in reality could have easily finished up and been in Ludington tonight. So I'll have to drive through it tomorrow instead.

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  3. A nice weenie band just blossomed across Kane/DuPage/N Cook which has some nice 20-25dbz returns...big fatty flakes just beginning to fly over here....this just adds to the beautiful wintry scene across Chicagoland....

     

     

    http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/LOT/N0Q/LOT.N0Q.20180210.1446.gif

    Looks like I'm getting clipped by that band, and my flakes just changed from fat and fluffy back to pixie dust.

     

    Edit: had a much smaller 20-25 dbz band that's already dissipated. 

  4. Nice!  How have you been?  Haven't seen you on here in a while.  Glad to hear your cashin' in...btw, what did you end up with yesterday??

    I'm good, thanks.

     

    No official measurement yesterday, as I was out in the storm, but the official Crystal Lake total of 6" seemed accurate. I hate pixie dust. Stuff stacks too well. Shoveling wasn't fun. It was just too wet, air temp rose from around 20F to 25F during the highest snowfall rates. Seems to be why most of the accumulation forecasts ended up low-end.

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