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Some pics on the way up to my property. The ones on the road are 1/4 mile down the road and the gate is the beginning of my 120 acre land.

Beautiful morning in the Blue Mountains of eastern Oregon. It was 12F when I took these pics around 8:30am. Gotta get our winter fix somehow.

That front was a doozy out here this morning as well. Went from 45F at 9am down to 32F in 10min with very heavy snowfall and near zero visibility. Still pouring snow with 2.5" of snow in just the last hour and a half. Currently 26F.

Problem is people look at the models, which of course are not very reliable in the long range, and think that is the only way to predict long term weather, so why bother? There is more to it than that. The SSW is real and happening now, not 384hr from now. Research has shown that when it happens in Siberia, it usually leads to cold in Western North America. May miss your backyard, but it will likely be in the neighborhood. And this is a Nina year with a westerly QBO. Obviously no guarantee, but there is good reason to be optimistic beyond just looking at a long range model

That was awesome!! Came in quick and heavy with huge flakes and added up to a half inch pretty quick before it fizzled out. When I saw the band holding together I got my son excited and we got all snow-ready with Christmas music playing but I was nervous it wasn't going to work out. I'm so glad it delivered! Also had just enough to build a mini snowman and put him next to big pappa snowman. Merry Christmas!

Nobody asked, but here are pictures.

Just got in from busting drifts in the country. This is the kind of site I really don't care what I look like, let her buck!! Gotta like the 91' Twins coat!!!wind driven snow removed one of my contacts, guess is 6.5 - 7"

12Z 0Z same hour

This was from yesterday. Naturally they’ve all gotten out of the trampoline now that I wanted to take a picture. My boy takes after me and insists on being barefoot in the cold.

Wow! I had given up on seeing sticking snow here and then we got clobbered with a brief period of gigantic snowflakes falling at a fairly good rate. Picked up a quick quarter inch.

Doing a charity car repair for the woman who owns the mercantile in Chesaw. She can't afford to fix her geo tracker so I got the parts and I'm headed up to take care of it. Times are tough for a lot of people and I've been more fortunate than others. Feels good to help.

I have been reading about the polar vortex and thought things might be getting interesting. I wanted to say hi and hope y'all are doing well!

New GFS

Hey everyone! I have been loving the life here in Spokane WA. So glad to leave western WA (the swamp) behind. Had numerous snow since living here. Recent storm brought about 5 to 6 inches here in Spokane Valley. I will share more as winter progresses. Been very absent this year, since our move.

Haven’t been able to get online for hours, internet satellite blocked by snow build up. Power has also gone off and on. Finally got 1 bar of cell service to post. Ended up with about 4”. First plow of the season happened tonight!

Wow. Keep in mind this an ensemble MEAN 12 days out. Truly remarkable agreement.

By the way, posting the images, then selecting the previous 8 runs, making a gif, loading the gif, for both views, and to do this here and also in my PDX WX Analysis FB group, it's a bit exhausting almost. I did it as a 'treat' or something I guess to Fred and everyone here in appreciation that we even have this forum.

Merry Christmas. I decided to buy myself a new toy. 2020 gt500. I had it shipped up from Arizona because the 2 that are for sale in Washington the dealers were asking over msrp. Ridiculous.

Merry Christmas

I only took 1 around 10am yesterday when I was leaving for work. About 3-4” around that time.

Some snow pics today from the Solstice Miracle. I made the very best of the low exposure environment.

Snow!!! 33.8!!! And the NW wind is whipping!!

iFred throwing out @DJ Droppin of the conference calls with the NWS for being to positive.

My street around that same time. Jan 2017 was awesome everywhere. House in the picture is a 2 story. My lab is 100lbs for scale. This was at lake level (banana belt)

Hi, I'm new but I've been reading you guys for a long time (several years). Just wanted to pop in and say everything is closed in my town: manufacturing plants, banks, restaurants, even the doctors offices and county courthouse. I'm in Iowa, the top row of counties, third one in from the west, I can be in in Minnesota in 10 minutes, and I am about 20 minutes south of I-90. You guys have taught me a lot and you always have good info about when I need to start watching for storms, as I'm mom to a commuter college student. Also, y'all are very fun to read. Hopefully I didn't just s

Sooo... regionwide event anyone?

Everybody when there is model variance

Merry Christmas to all. Here is my family. My daughter is a college sophomore, my son a high school freshman, and my lovely wife is a 5th grade Language Arts teacher. Photo taken in November.

Lovely!! 32.7

My brother found a person who makes custom park signs with the same colors the park use. We had this sign made with our last name to install on our Property. Amazing how good it turned out.

EPS has a stronger ridge, deeper trough, and colder 850s from about day 7 through at least day 10

My wife took it upon herself to create a new WB account for me and paid for an entire year. She said I had set it up for monthly and that is more expensive. I remember thinking I was just going to try it for a few months when I first signed up and then never updated it. So now I cancelled my existing account and switched to the new one. She gave up trying to convince me its not worth it and decided to take matters into her own hands to lower the cost.

The models just haven’t realized the SSW. When it happens a strong ridge of high pressure will set up in the GOA. A strong low will advect down the B.C. with a 1060mb high already in place to the north causing sub-freezing highs in the PNW. As the low rounds the base of the trough heavy snow expand across the Olympics and into the lowlands. The trough tilts negative and moves slowly to the North and East due to the blocking high. Heavy snow bands train over the same areas. Seattle records almost 2 feet of snow. Fresh Arctic air behind low keeps snow on the ground for over a week after the ev

Hopefully this thread is more decorated with snowmaps and pictures than its predecessor. Cautiously optimistic for the second half of the month and into February as the jet retracts and cold air moves around meridionally in response to the ongoing SSW event. It isn't a slam dunk, but there is an opportunity for some more wintry weather in the upcoming timeframe. Cancelling winter is just as irresponsible and unfounded as guaranteeing a cold snap. Perhaps if one is feeling a bit peckish for snowfall this winter, it might be in their best interest to remove themselves from the meteorology-s

Just for fun and to provide a wee bit of comfort for those fearing climate change has stolen winter forever... 5 Climate Predictions for 2020 That Didn't Pan Out 1. In 1987, James Hansen predicted that by 2020, global temperatures would rise by 3C. Instead, they've risen by .5C or less. 2. In 2006, Al Gore predicted that the snows of Kilimanjaro would disappear by 2020. They have not. 3. In 1986, the EPA predicted 2 feet of sea level rise for Florida by 2020. In reality, there has been less than 4". 4. In 2013, some predicted that Arctic sea ice would completely melt o

7" here

2" hour rates at DSM!! KDSM 291854Z 10009KT 1/8SM R31/1400V1600FT SN FZFG VV004 M05/M07 A3013 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1/4 PRESFR SLP217 SNINCR 2/3 P0019 T10501067

Doesn’t get much more spread the wealth in the Midwest.

February 19. Take that MossMan.

Myself on the right. GF's son on left. And this is only 2 hours in. Can't imagine how this will be later!

The view of the neighboring condo's isn't as nice as some of you have it, but that color (as captured by a crappy iPhone Xr camera) is incredible!

I guess I’ll add my sunrise shot as well. 27 here and very crunchy.

It snowed steadily until around 2am then showers after that. I ended up with around 3.5” of very wet snow. It never hit freezing with a low of 32.5.

First flakes here! Big wet flakes started mixing in right at 4:30 and it's mostly wet snow now. There really is no better feeling than those first flakes after spending countless hours tracking and analysing things.

View from my living room.

Latest weeklies look pretty d*mn good to me. Quicker to retrogress the ridge and stronger with the signal as well vs. last week's run.

Gorgeous morning up here, with a nice coating of snow still hanging on. I took a walk through WWU's campus and Sehome Hill--there's a bit more on top (630 feet up or so). The first picture is the view from the top of the watchtower. I've never seen the mountains so clear. In fact, I think I just barely made out a few skyscrapers in Vancouver, which I've never seen before!