Leaderboard

Long time lurker, first time poster. Figured it was a good time to jump in. I also bought a snow blower last week. ((live in E WA by way of CA and previously the east coast (SC,TN, GA and NH) and no not military before you ask, just a nomad by choice)) so you can blame me for the torch-y ness lately Anyway here for the mood swings, model hugging, know it alls, dry humorists, and over all wx dorkiness. Hoping to get buried (in Dec and Jan) cheers

Snowing here (finally!) and 23 degrees currently. About 3" so far.

Christmas display with a few flurries

I know I said I wasn't ready for cold weather yet, but there is still something magical about December snow......

Just wanted to put in my two cents here.... Sharing 925mb/850mb temp maps like gospel-defining voices for lowland snow doesn't convey the full picture. Sure they're great parameters to have on your side but in terms of these thermodynamics they are purely arbitrary... Look at this sounding from the 00z GFS sampled for DT Seattle at 18z (10am) Monday. Thermal profile shows a freezing level near 500-1000' AGL, with an isothermic layer immediately above it, and a brief period of warming in a mixed layer beneath the boundary layer, so slowly as to harbor negative lapse rates. This is a column which is supportive of snowfall down to sea level. The idea behind wanting 925mb thermals to be colder is completely dependent on the column warming at the moist adiabatic rate below (and potentially through) it, giving an extrapolated freezing level at X elevation. But in this case, it is not warming very significantly at all below 925mb, meaning the actual freezing level is closer to the surface. Another aspect of this profile which muddies the waters is the lowered existing atmospheric pressure, which literally lowers the physical altitude of the 925mb/850mb layers, bringing the freezing level even closer to the surface. In reality the models aren't going to force snowfall where it is physically impossible/unsupported by the column, unless there is some glitchy boundary layer where certain airmasses meet (this is more relevant in the great plains where there is no terrain to restrain unmodified airmasses from meeting.) Sure, it might poorly account for local terrain features or mishandle the lateral movement of airmasses to produce an incorrect sounding, but with the profile it produces (whether accurate or not), it will generally model the correct precipitation type.

He sent me an email, he is fine. He forgot his password. For folks with password problems, of which from the logs there are a a few of you, remember to update your saved Chrome/Firefox/Safari passwords when you change it. Remember that you sign in with the display name, not with your email.

Freezing level got fairly low last night in the Fraser Valley.

Alright, now it’s permitted to snow. Finished just in time for the 00z GFS to initialize...

Longtime lurker (literally every winter for the past decade or so, lol), but just wanted to hop in to say I don't think the models look *terrible.* But then, my standard is not a massive lowland snowstorm or arctic blast, but getting the ski resorts open...across the entire West... Thank you all for providing great insight and perspective over the years. I hope you know the reach of these threads is much wider than just those who are posting here.

Rare photo of me not covered in grease and my beautiful lady.

Gorgeous rainbow right over the school at dismissal today.

Earlier today Redondo. Waves were rolling along the windows in the one shot…..just crazy stuff!

4500ft in the cascades. Up by government meadows.

I saw snow today!! Made it up to Anderson Mt before work to peep the lower snow levels. Mixed precip at about 1,600' and full on winter wonderland above 2,500'.

There is nothing better than waking up the kids for this.

Amazing sunset. This phone camera warms the colors and I haven’t figured out how to fix it. The real colors are even better than the photo shows.

Beautiful day South Sound although I noticed what looked to be a nice CZ north of me. 50/40 and currently sitting at my low for the day at the moment. Fun note the Orcas spent the whole day in Commencement Bay and just not a few! Everywhere I looked from Point Defiance to the shipping port “there be whales”! I have no idea the number but pretty sure I will never witness anything like this again. Need and actual camera to do any justice to what I saw. iPhone sucks in this case

I figure he has his own thing going in life. I always gave him a bit of leeway because we all have our moments, but there was just a bunch of stuff that got out of hand. That said, I'd appreciate if people didn't use his real name if they know him or his family personally. With Link, Jesse, and a few others, I think they can hold their own in real life. Sometimes something like a community that is pretty emotionally driven and isn't tied to your online existence like Facebook or Twitter, you can let emotions get the best. I don't know if their accounts were hacked, if screenshots were faked, if their buddy took their phone at the bar and posted on their behalf. What I do know is that some people have repeated patterns of behavior that quickly become caustic and a subset of that population become infamous around the wider community. With Jesse, the bits that I saw on Facebook that one time I had Facebook, showed he seemed to be a pretty decent and passionate guy. I think he is doing just fine out there and probably has signed up with a different account at this point to lurk. I also know that something here just seemed to set him off one way or another and it came with reputation that made him the only person on this forum aside from K-Mart to have a first name rep with local mets. Seriously, some people said they didn't like to participate because of what he was like to them on Mark's Blog, or when it was WesternWx or even under the "new" name. So I really want to leave it at this. Jesse is 99.999% likely a good person in real life. Personally, I appreciated his love for cold, being north of 45º, and willingness to call out our gentried North Bend poster on their low rent cloud map trolling. Jesse has had a lot of very forum public and some behind the scenes moments where the situation degraded rapidly from "This guy is kind of rude" to "this guy is harassing me and I don't want to be here anymore." This wasn't a once or twice situation, this is a hundreds of times situation. This has lead to people leaving, people demanding that their account be deleted, and people saying they don't feel safe here. Those people are not "special snowflakes that should grow a pair", they're meteorologists and longtimers from the FA days. Jesse knew that one more extreme moment was going to result in at least a short term ban. When he escalated an issue to a personal attack that ended up with yet another long time member leaving, Jesse knew the risks. I am not going to unban him, not if there is a 1950 type situation, a hurricane, the Cascadia earthquake, or any other kind of event that might get covered here. As far as I am concerned, his time participating on the forum is at an end. I understand that a few people have issues with this, Jesse included. There is no habeas corpus here, I am judge, jury, and executioner. I try to keep things loose in that there are dozens of other Facebook groups, collections on Twitter, and a handful of forums that someone can be on. If you strongly feel that I was in the wrong here, I would encourage you to let me know over a DM. If you feel like I have crossed a line and want Jesse back, then please join him on another forum. Maybe he is have better luck elsewhere. As stated before in another post, I really draw the line at harrassment, politics, and spam. If someone gets banned, its because of one of those three.

Wild day! From earlier… SUV salt bath

About .5” away from the house if I had to guess

Moderate snow here near BLI. Almost an inch. 32* IMG_8342.MOV

This is 3200 ft in the Olympics. Normally there would be 2ft of snow here. We didn't even see snow till about 1600ft. After seeing this today I realized how far off the lowlands were for any type of snowfall. The tracker does awesome in snow. The suspension modifications I did worked well. It flexes really good.

Mossman Monday morning per ECMWF

I don't think anyone is trying to spoil it. People are just calling it for what it is. It's a VERY marginal setup with surface temps likely in the 33-34º range during the event. I think it is wise to keep your expectations low at this point with the event still 4 days out and the models clearly not having a good handle on surface details yet.

Hiked up Mt. Si this morning, got to the peak around dawn. Absolutely gorgeous and quite cold and snowy up at the top. Started at 40°F and got down to 28°F or so at the peak, with lots of fog along the way (got some ice accretion on my hair near the summit); pretty closely following the moist adiabat, which makes sense given PSCZ mixing and near constant fog along a ~3500’ ascent.

Jesse messaged me on MySpace and asked me to downvote this post.

Euro was way off for here with the snow. ~ 2 inches of snow and snowing moderately.

Beautiful day on the middle fork of the Snoqualmie Valley. The deeper we went up the middle fork, the snowier it got. It was about 34°F, so the kids were getting pelted with snow melting off the trees.

Just switched to snow here, 32 degrees. Its very light snow but I'll take it!

Another amazing sunset!!! Nice shot

We average about 125” of snowfall a year and I can honestly say that the snowstorms are still just as special here just without the stress of worrying about forecast busts! I still really enjoy tracking them and staying up late and/or getting up way too early to check on the storm and snowfall totals. Once a weather geek always a weather geek I guess!

You mean this one?? Just a wee bit of drifting

Nice to see a sunset again

I have lights everywhere!! Inside/outside upstairs/downstairs…It’s bright! We are ready for December and snow!

EPS control run still on board...

Hope your Cat is or will be okay! Happy Thanksgiving all. Thanks @iFred for running this awesome forum for weather geeks and geekstresses year after year. Good night all. 12z GFS in 7 hours 55 minutes 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 5 minutes Let's get some good runs tomorrow! C'MON!!!!

Chased the snow for skiing up in Canmore/Banff this week. Of course it snowed 4" back in Bozeman last night but I'll never complain about a trip up here!

Hey everyone! Long time no post. Since moving over to Spokane it has been a glorious transition. We enjoyed snow off and on all day today. A high of 34 and white all day was wonderful. The four season thing here is so perfect for me. I do not ever worry about getting snow, as I know we will. It is just normal and common here and love it. I hope you all can experience and exceptional cold and snowy winter over there.!!

Even the Seahawks couldn’t ruin the sunset.

Many of you aren't car people but I share my pics anyway. Newest addition to the family. 2021 hellcat challenger super stock. Beautiful color. 807hp from tha factory lol. If you drive it easy it'll get 20 mpg. Pretty impressive.

I've never seen a colored halo at sunrise like this, even more subtle than my watermark hahaha

OH MY

Great sunrise on the Olympics this morning.

Since I am home with the kids today since their school is cancelled for a second day, I had time to dig deep into the depths of the old photo albums…Found a pic from that morning! I had just unwrapped a 4wd remote controlled truck. I had so much fun with that thing out in the snow! Had knobby tires and everything! Lasted about 6 months until I accidentally drove it off the dock at the family lake house! Oh and I found a pic of our horse playing with our neighbors horses in the snow, the back had a date stamp of January 1982. And a pic of our dogs in the first round of snow before Christmas in 1990.

When it starts snowing I no longer look at the radar because I don’t want it to end…ever! Leading up to an event I am glued to the radar. We always take take advantage of snowfalls by being outside as much as possible. However there is also something so great about being inside the nice warm house and quietly watching the snow fall outside. I will never forget the magic of the early morning of 12/25/90. I was 14 and was the first one up, I built a fire and sat in the living room and quietly watched the snow fall. Our house had huge living room windows looking out at our wooded 5 acres…It was a good hour or so before anyone else woke up to start the Christmas festivities. My favorite Christmas as a kid. Anyway here are some pics from February!

I have to say I've been having fun on the forum with you all. I'm so busy in the summer it's hard to be on here much.

Found a beautiful waterfall when I was up exploring in the Olympics.

I seriously think if Tim and Chris’s lips touch, the forum will instantly cease to exist and our climate will immediately revert to the mid 19th century.

Some pics from this beautiful morning...