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Little photo dump of the new kid. He is currently in 9-12 month clothing even tho he is only 5 months lol

Made it to the summit of Mt. Seymour on the last day of the last weekend of astronomical summer. Could definitely feel a weather system was coming in as I got close to the trailhead on the return trip; it was getting quite chilly.

Just got back from a week romping through the desert in far west Texas and New Mexico. Looks like I didn't miss too much up here aside from the storms in the SW Portland metro last weekend. Checked out three more national parks (Guadalupe, Carlsbad Caverns, and White Sands) and even caught a weak ~35mph dust devil yesterday just north of Albuquerque. ABQ set a daily record yesterday with 97, and temps were over 100 for a couple of my days further south, very hot for this late in the season even down there.

2.76 inches of rain showing for September my place although I haven’t been there much. In fact I’m still not there ! Hope you’re all doing well and looks like a parade of storms paid you all a visit! C-zone must be active as my nest cam is showing buildup to the north but blue skies overhead. I’m still in the SW exploring but unfortunately monsoons have been none existent where I’ve been. Just lots O Sun! Fossil Creek (spring) has the pretty water and cool cave. Camelback hike where you see the boulder field….it’s a scramble hike down here in Scottsdale and beautiful sunset last night here in Estrella Az.

Last "hike" of summer this morning...beautiful fall colors, sunshine and elk bugling. Doesn't get much better!

Nice snowfall at Anthony Lakes in Baker County yesterday.

The aurora came out last night between about 8 and 11 pm!

Seeing some amazing bolts of lightning right now

Hiked up Mount Baldy on Saturday into the smoke. My legs still hurt 3 days later.

This is actually me.

Meant to post some pics of Indian Heaven last weekend. One of my favorite times of year to get up there, and fairly quiet for Labor Day weekend. This was last Saturday, so even had some light rain and distant rumbles of thunder for a period in the afternoon. Good huckleberry crop this year too.

My wife snapped this last night.

This guy is hanging out on the deck soaking up some sun. I gave him a nudge and he was ready to rumble.

Finally had a low below 40 this morning (39.1) so I thought I would add my fist post of the fall season. A beautiful morning.

I just took a selfie

Got up in the San Juan’s yesterday morning. Was mostly cloudy and foggy on the water but ended up getting into the low 70s and sunny yesterday afternoon. Little bit of rain this morning but it’s already passed through and it’s cloudy and cool. Has been great so far. Caught a picture of a part albino deer as well which I’ve never seen in the times I’ve been here.

Gorgeous day on the river. I had the most fish, but my brother scored a nice one out on the Willamette.

A windy October afternoon in Coos Bay some 6 decades ago.

I like to remind everyone, just because we are in an El Nino season, doesn't mean we won't have unusual weather events. I've lived in the PNW all my life (I'm 56 as of September 6th) and have seen my fair share of El Nino seasons. They are never alike. I still think we could see some wind with the storm coming in Sunday and Monday. The reason why I think this could happen is when there is a very deep low pressure system out in the Pacific (which it will be close to the PNW) it has a chance to spin up secondary lows which could be close enough to impact the Interior. I've been seeing a secondary low forming on the GFS model. It's not really that strong at the moment (probably because it's to far out for the models to pick it up). I thought I would pass this along because I've seen this happen before. Just my thoughts on the upcoming weather event 🌧🌬

Didn’t get a chance to post this picture last night because it was at the beginning of a “many beers” outing but caught an amazing sunset on the waterfront at Huntington Beach.

Drove back from Boise to Everett today. A pleasant drive made for great fun when I took Deadman at 70mph and also managed to see Mt Adams from Pendleton. Made it across 410, saw the ice crystals being blown off of a very close Rainer from Tipsoo and even got a chance to visit my old stomping grounds in Buckley and Bonney Lake. The weather was perfect.

Finally some fresh snow lower on Rainier. Probably will be just above Paradise by the time this week is done.

Just thought I would post a wide view of the Pacific to show everyone what's coming towards us. Looks amazing 🌧🌬

Too tired to hit the forum last night but had a spectacular day out in San Juan Island yesterday, capped off by an incredible sunset!

Overall this Autumn's seasonal transition has been gradual and timely. Nothing too late or too early. Nothing extremely torchy or frigid. Stark contrast to last year and the Spring that followed.

Lovely day in Skykomish earlier.

18z is just a constant stream of moisture

ECMWF is definitely on board now. GFS lead the way.

AR action farther south on the 00Z GFS... main event one week from today

Pretty great sunset though.

Ended up with 0.23”. Mist hugging the landscape this morning.

Good one tonight.

This pattern config anytime after Halloween...

Instead of smoke we have ground fog! Much better!!

UW game starting off with some VIEWS

Here you go, weenies:

Bye summer.

I finally had a chance to really look at the synoptic structure of this one in the models. It looks like the initial front / atmospheric river on Monday is going to be largely a coastal event. That front gets really strung out on Monday afternoon and the easterly-directed pressure gradient through the Cascades will further surpress rainfall. That GEM forecast above has that right. Monday night might be interesting -- both the GFS and Euro have a potent upper-level shortwave wrapping around the southern side of the parent low. I bet the frontal band looks like it will fizzle out on Monday afternoon and then the lift from that shortwave will move in and the front will fire up again overnight Monday into Tuesday. That's the first period that could bring some nice steady rain to the interior. I bet Monday during the day ends up being boring unless you are out on the coast. Then there's even another shortwave on Tuesday night into Wednesday. This looks like the really strong one. The Euro ensemble in particular is really starting to like this wave. The GEFS is still like 50/50 and thinks the initial front/AR on Monday is going to be a whole lot stronger than the Euro. So the total precip between the Euro/GFS looks similar through the end of the week but each one likes one of the waves more than the other. Personally I think the Tues night - Wednesday one promises to be the most fun since it should kick the winds up in addition to the precip rates.

Anyone see how wet the 12z EPS is?

Silver Star sunset yesterday evening. Definite hints of fall color starting to emerge above 3000'.

Since I have been talking about it. Garden update. And one orchard shot.

Lovely morning over here. Currently 65 degrees.

Can't we save the antics for early February when we have gone through a whole season without snow and "Woe is me and the burden of joy as I dig out if my sixth Snowmageddon this year. Please watch this poorly shot sixteen hour youtube video of the tulip trees at my parents house" posts from Dr Phil?

You think a lot about little girls huh

Euro showing a modoki Nino. January through March looks promising. Cold to close out October.

It didn't get as cold here as further south and east of me but still had patchy frost. This phenomenon seems to happen every fall during first frost season. Still, the Rainy River had some cool fog over it this morning. Of course pictures don't do it justice. Canada on the left side, MN on the right, the Baudette Bay(river) in the foreground entering into the Rainy.