A couple runs of the HRRR have been putting a massive updraft helicity swath through here. This is a bit north of where the better tornado parameters are progged though.
I have a better shot than you, and areas south of here have a better shot than me.
The 12z HRRR has very little break in the storms around Chicagoland tomorrow afternoon, limiting recovery, so the better severe parameters end up staying fairly far south of Chicago. But we're going to have to monitor how things are unfolding on an hourly basis. A 2 hour break vs a 4 hour break could make a big difference in how far north the better severe threat can get.
Do you still think we’re too far north? I feel like you have a better shot than I do at getting in on the crazy tornado action.
you also beat me to it on that writeup!! That’s the most intense AFD I think I’ve ever read in my life. The tornado parameters aren’t even real atp!!!