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I like the 06Z GFS

Here in my yard I received 2” of new snowfall overnight and now have 7” on the ground. Some weather history for December 13th 1962 — A severe Florida freeze occurred. Morning lows reached 35 degrees at Miami, 18 degrees at Tampa, and 12 degrees at Jacksonville. It was the coldest December weather of the 20th century and caused millions of dollars damage to crops and foliage. In Georgia, the morning low of 9 degrees below zero at Blairsville established a state record for the month of December. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) and in 1989 — Strong northwesterly winds, ushering bitterly cold arctic air into the central U.S., produced squalls with heavy snow in the Great Lakes Region. Snowfall totals in Upper Michigan ranged up to 24 inches at Manistique. Nine cities in Arkansas and Texas reported record low temperatures for the date, including Calico Rock AR with a reading of 4 degrees above zero. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 28/24 there was 0.06” of precipitation the fell as 0.9” of snow. There was 6” of snow on the ground. For today the average H/L is 37/25 the record high of 61 was in2015 the coldest high of 15 was in 1943 the record low of -6 was in 1958 the warmest low of 48 was in 1920. The wettest was 0.81” in 1975 the most snowfall of 6.8” was in 1973 the most on the ground was 15” in 1970. After a cold weekend it still looks like a good warm up coming next week. Detailed Forecast For Grand Rapids Today A slight chance of snow showers between 1pm and 4pm. Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 12 by 4pm. Wind chill values as low as -3. West northwest wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight A chance of snow showers between 7pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6. Wind chill values as low as -4. West northwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday A slight chance of snow showers between 7am and 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 22. Wind chill values as low as -3. West northwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Monday A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. South southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Tuesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Wednesday Night Showers likely after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Thursday Rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 30.

Just got done putting the kids to bed. What’d I miss

I was looking to see were all the coldest air is and saw this city in Russia. It maybe be 51 below zero but the Dew Point is negative 58 degrees talk about being dry There is some like cold air in Canada, I hope that comes our way for a visit and brings some wintry precipitation 🌨

F*ck it. Get ready for the rug push.

6z has snow hitting W WA by next Sunday/Monday. this week coming up will be telling.

East winds cranking with system moving in from the west

BITTER air just north of us. Argh. Still might get there

Swing and a miss. We're back to where we were 36 hours ago. I don't think we're gonna be seeing anything until Christmastime or the New Year. That STJ just won't stop blowing our blocks away from the bottom up

Is the heat wave for Christmas Day still possible ? I can't find any reference to support it. 59 degrees IMBY does seem unusual.

06z GFS Day 7 4 Run Trend

06z GFS Day 6 4 Run Trend

06z GFS Day 5 4 Run Trend

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06z GFS Day 1 4 Run Trend

06z GFS Init 4 Run Trend

Agreed.

Couple of dawgs

I think if we don’t see something show up on the euro in the next week then we might be looking to hit the reset button in hopes of January delivering.

The GFS leads the way from time to time.

Runs may be subject to change beyond a certain hour.

Hopefully we see more meaningful improvement with the Euro tomorrow. Night Shift 6z GFS in 50 minutes