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westMJim

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    Grand Rapids, mi
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    some of my main weather interest are record events. and long range weather guessing (forecasting)

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  1. Grand Rapids (along with many other locations) has already see a high of 50 or better. There is a chance that we could get into the 50's once again next week. While very mild for December it is not at all unusual. In the past 30 years it had not reached at least 50 in December only 5 times. The last time was in 2009 with the highest reading that December of 49. The coldest maximum for any December in the last 30 years was in 2000 when the highest for the month was just 37.
  2. Good morning. Yesterday was yet another warmer than average day with an official H/L of 42/36, there was a trace of rain fall but no snow fall and there is no snow on the ground. There was also no sunshine as well. The overnight low both here and at GRR was 31 and the current temperature here in MBY is 32. For today the average H/L is 39/27. The record high was 62 in 1946 and the record low was -4 in 1972 the record snow fall of 7.7” fell in 1909. The rest of the week into the weekend will see a chance for precipitation Thursday evening through Friday. There will be another chance for precipitation Monday. Temperatures will stay fairly steady through this week with highs consistently staying in the upper 30s to low 40s with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. While it looks get much much colder just beyond this period, most of next week looks warm and wet. Currently a fairly strong storm is expected to move through the Great Lakes midweek and we could see well above normal temperatures just ahead of that system. Highs in the 50s are in play. Much colder weather follows this system, and there could be an extended period of lake snows
  3. Good morning. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 42/26 there was no rain or snow fall, and of course there is no snow on the ground. There was 17% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY was 35 and the official low was 36. At the current time it is cloudy and 38 degrees here at my house. At the airport there is drizzle being reported. For today the average H/L is 39/27, The record high of 63 was set in 1951 and the record low of 2 was set in 1964. The record snow fall amount of 7.0” was set in 1919. Over the next several days we'll see low chances for precipitation (mostly rain but possible wintry mix to the north) Tuesday afternoon/evening, then slightly better chances for precipitation will present itself Thursday night into Friday as a stronger system moves though the region. Temperatures will stay fairly steady throughout this week with highs consistently staying in the 30s to low 40s. At this time water level of Lake Michigan and Huron (hydrologically a single lake) has fallen 9” from one year ago. This level now stands at 5” above the Dec average (since 1918). Seasonally, water levels typically drop during the autumn and early winter, when relatively cold air blowing over relatively warm water leads to strong evaporation. Lowest water, on average, occurs in February.
  4. The latest CPC long range outlook is calling for wetter but warmer than average for a good chuck of the rest of December. Here is the latest 6 to 10 day outlook https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php And the latest 8 to 14 day outlook. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php If this plays out it will not be good for all of the snow lovers for a good part of December.
  5. Yesterday was a sunny day with 88% of possible sunshine. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 38/21 and there was no rain or snow fall. The overnight low here in MBY so far for today is the current reading of 25. The official low at the airport so far is a warmer 28. For today the average H/L is 39/27 the record high of 69 was set in 2001. That 69 is the record high for December at Grand Rapids. The record low of +4 was set in 1964 and the record snow fall amount of 7.7” was set in 1991. We'll see a few low chances for precipitation (rain to the south, wintry mix to the north) Monday and Tuesday afternoon/evening. Slightly better chances for precipitation arrive Thursday into Thursday night as a stronger system moves though the region. Temperatures will stay fairly steady through this week with highs consistently staying in the 30s to low 40s.
  6. Congrats to Michigan in their win over Purdue 43/22. As has been the case several times this year the high yesterday was before sunrise when the high of 50 was reached at 4 AM the temperatures fell most of the day and the low of 22 was reached at 11:30 PM. The overnight low here in MBY reached 17 but is now up to 20. For today the average H/L is 40/28 the record high of 65 was recorded in 2012 and the record low of +6 was recorded way back in 1893. The largest snow fall of 5.9” was in 2009. The rest of the week looks ho-hum with temperatures near average and not much rain and very little if any snow.
  7. The next week or so looks to be mild with very little in the way of snow or for that matter rain.
  8. Yesterday was a mild early December day the official high of 51 was not reached until the 10PM reading, the low was 32. There was 0.03” of rain fall and no snow fall and no sunshine. The temperatures stayed in the upper 40’s for most of the night before the cold front came through between 4 and 5 AM there were wind gusts of up to 44MPH with the front. The low so far is the current temperature of 35. For today the average H/L is 40/28 the record high of 65 was recorded in 1912 and the record low of -6 was recorded in 1976 the record snow fall of 4.0” was in 1996. Today will be a blustery day with temperature falling into the 20’s.
  9. We shall see. That would be snow for you and rain for me.
  10. Yesterday’s official H/L at Grand Rapids was 36/26 there was a trace of snow fall, it became sunny in the afternoon and there was a total of 57% of sunshine. The was no snow on the ground. The overnight low here in MBY fell to 32 before rising to the current reading of 38. For today the average H/L is 40/28 the record high of 67 was recorded in 1982 and the record low of -11 was recorded in 1976. The record snow fall amount is 4.8” is 1985. For the next week or so look for an extended period of colder than normal temperatures with near normal precipitation is expected. The normal highs are in the lower to mid-30s north to upper 30s south. The normal lows in the lower 20s north to mid-20s south. The normal precipitation is around a .4” and normal snowfall is around an 3” at Grand Rapids and Muskegon, 2” at Lansing.
  11. That is a very good summery of the start of winter in our parts
  12. Welcome to meteorological winter! Yesterday’s official high of 54 occurred just after midnight and the temperature dropped all day. The low of 26 occurred just before midnight. There was 0.06” of precipitation of that a trace was snow fall. There was no sunshine yesterday. The temperature has held steady overnight and the current temperature here is 27. For today the average H/L is now at 41/28 the record high of 65 was in 1970 and the record low of +6 was in 1976. The record snow fall amount is 5.0” in 2010. This past November had a mean of 40.9 that was a departure of +0.9. the high for the month was 75 and the low was 18 there was 28.0” of snow fall and that is the 2nd most for any November. A brief recap of meteorological autumn. At Grand Rapids the 3-month mean was 51.7. The 30 year mean is 51.6 so at Grand Rapids the temperature was very near average. Note that most other locations in lower Michigan had departures that were warmer than Grand Rapids. The highest reading in fall of 2022 was 85 on September 3rd and the lowest reading was 18 on November 19,20 and 22. There was a total of 7.37” of rain and melted snow fall that was well below the average of 10.55” There was 28.0: of snow fall and that was well above the average of 7.4”
  13. Here is the updated CPC long range outlook for December 2022. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/ Looks on the cold but maybe dry side.
  14. Yesterday was yet another day of well above average temperatures with an official H/L of 54/35 there was 0.28” of rain fall and no snow fall the ground has no snow cover. There was 21% of possible sunshine. For today the high for the day has already been reached at 52 and the current temperature here in MBY is 31. The average H/L for today is 41/29. The record high of 64 was set in 1998 the record low of 6 was in 1958. The record snow fall amount of 6.8” was set in 1940.
  15. That eruption will not have any impact on our weather. The ones that would have any impact would be the major exploding ones that send ash thousands of feet into the air.
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