Meatyorologist

Which Hallmark movie is this?

Minneapolis could be dipping down to -15F or even -20F Friday morning with a polar lobe driving through Minnesota. Sub 474dam thickness contours for the Superior NF. Would have been fun to see

Solar nerds can correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm pretty sure 1968-69 had both a Niño and a strong sun to contend with. I've said it before, IMO solar correlations are overblown

Speaking of snowless months in 1985... December 1985 the following winter, while continuing the somewhat limitless cold theme from that black swan November, brought only 0.05" of precip after the first week of the month. Paradise saw only 4" of snow in that timeframe. The end of December 1985 was also the site of one of the most prolific inversion setups in the modern (modernish now) era. Paradise notched a pair of 60F highs, while SeaTac airport actually fogged their way into a subfreezing high of 32F on the 27th... Jim would probably ascend to a higher plane of serenity, free from the shackles of AI generated shareholder profit margin zonal flow samsara, if we repeated that Nov/Dec sequence today

They prayed for winters like these in the pioneer days.

Hang in there... I'm sorry to hear

Nov-mid Dec 2006, late Dec-Jan 1968-69, Feb 2019 redux all stitched together. book it

Whatever. It was fun to hold out hope as long as 15% of the EPS camp would allow me to.

At least every snow event will be a surprise lol

EPS caving is pretty much the do all end all. That's the one worst sign you could have. Obviously nature doesn't really care what we think but this looks like a textbook miss. Rapidly spiraling toward a new low bar winter. Such a sad thing for a non super Niño. Neutral leaning winters are known to be boom or bust, but even this is outrageous. Especially for a borderline Niña.

Wooof EPS might have just put in the dagger

Maybe not even then. Even if trends improve this could get iced 36 hours out. Border huggers are finicky. Absolutely no reason to attach to any outcome yet

I wouldn't get your hopes too riled up... Looks like continued mid range waffling amidst a fundamentally similar large scale picture. Arctic outflow makes it down to the Olympic peninsula.

Yeah it looks a little worse