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Everything posted by TT-SEA
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I really like rain after the first real warm spell of spring... kicks the vegetation into a higher gear. As long as its not 38-degree lumpy rain.
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And PDX is at 77 on the hour... warmest day of this stretch now.
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3rd straight 76 at PDX. Only 66 at SEA today... 72 in North Bend.
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PDX at 72 on the hour... easily locking up their 4th 70+ day in a row
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Luckily what people root for is completely irrelevant to nature.
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He will probably be sticking around this summer with a Nina incoming... or his break might be pretty short.
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SEA at 64 on the hour and its 68 now in North Bend. ECMWF/EPS are going to end up too cool again today. They showed 67 the last two days at SEA and reality was 74 and 71.
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Much cooler today and it's still 64 in North Bend and an absolutely gorgeous day. SEA is 61 now which is the high for the day per the ECMWF and EPS. Cool bias has been back recently.
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No frosty nights on the ECMWF and EPS. Looks generally close to climo... just a little cooler than average.
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12Z GFS keeps the rain mostly offshore in the Wed - Fri period... there is a little rain but not much. And it shows its still around 60ish on Friday. Pretty gentle ridge break down.
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AI version is pretty volatile though... but at least there is some hope.
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Saw article online that the cherry blossons in DC are peaking and its the second earliest ever there. So that reminded me to check out the cherry blossoms at UW in Seattle... and wow they are early too. They say they will peak in March this year and they look like they are getting close already.
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I see PDX had a post 5 p.m. high temp at 76 yesterday... equaling the Saturday high temp.
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Phil has me thinking there is hope for cold neutral or a week Nina. The Nino will be gone soon but that doesn't necessarily mean it will continue to crash hard all the way to a strong Nina.
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Looking at the 850mb temp loop from the EPS over the next 9 or 10 days you can see the coldest air just sort of goes around us... but still plenty cold for mountain snow.
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Also... the EPS and GEFS show more snow across the upper Midwest in the next 2 weeks than they have seen all winter. And lots of snow for the entire northern US.
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Hopefully it does not last all of April and May like it did in 2022. But its only mid-March so that is par for the course. And that does show it staying above freezing so that would be good.
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Amazing that it looks that green at that elevation in mid-March... and yet Andrew lives 2,500 feet lower and might be 10-12 weeks away from things coming to life. Like another entire season away.