luvssnow_spokane

Great time for some crab fishing!

How about some wind surfing or parasailing? BRING IT!!

EPS ensemble member p23 says the real winter starts in mid-Feb.

 

If you look closely, the swamp is clearly shadowed by the Olympics.    It will verify!  DON’t tell me it won’t as I got this From Professor Busters meteorological contact. Truth!

looks like my early February prediction is right on cue.

nite shift?!!?  

Seattle Public Schools already cancel school for the week with this one.

 

 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_56.png

This will not verify until there is a well defined snowless donut hole directly over the swamp. After you see that in the models you can lock it in. It is close as it is about the only place with a giant blob of 33 degree rain over it.     

The end of the 0z GFS is gold for sure!  A lot of colder GFS ensemble members showing up as well.  The plot thickens.

 

The key is going to be how those pieces of high pressure shown during week 2 come together.  The EPS has been picking on this also.

<_ src="%7B___base_url___%7D/uploads/emoticons/default_huh.png" alt=":huh:"> Oh brother! Really?!  Lol

I got up to 58 today! Spring like!

Remember way back when the snow fall maps used to look like this in January? Those were the days!     

sn10_acc.us_city_sea.png

When does that snow occur?

MAJOR ENSEMBLE IMPROVEMENT

 

just for old time’s sake...

To soon!   

Warm night here in the swamp.

mixed snow and rain here in Tukwila

This entire event has sucked for Olympia.  Got maybe an inch of snow Monday and it rapidly switched to rain here today already.  Usually, we do ok in these things.  Not this one....

I feel your frustration. Pretty much a non-event for a good portion of south sounders down to Portland. A week ago there was so much promise in model run, after model run, and we basically end up with scraps. 

In Tukwila it is nearly dead calm, and no snow to be seen. Currently 39/40 degrees. 

Temp down to 31, color me impressed!

Evaporated cooling. It is very temporary. Sadly!

Too bad that bad boy wasn’t coming onshore at the Wa Or border.

that could have been epic!

To bad, this could not be one of those events where that massive low pressure system pulled in more cold air while throwing moisture (snow) over the top. That would have been fun. This slow moving northern offshore path just sucks!!

Ugh, the worst. When the radar shows it’s snowing, but it’s as dry as a bone out. d**n east wind.

The SWAMP is the first so show rain. LOL!! classic... This is why we call it the "swamp"!

Radar is looking much better.  Filling in around the south end now.

The southern side stuff will mostly dissipate before it gets here. True phantom snow.

I hate snow to as I’m standing at the window at 1:30 am looking at a streetlamp 

^^^^ DITTO!

Snowing hard again.

Okay... we get it. You live in the best and most snowiest place ever 

Olympics are gonna eat it all up for Central/South sound.

^^^ THIS.... TRUTH!

There is more moisture on radar than what was modeled at this point.

AND it is all pretty much heading north/central. The outcome is sadly the same for down here. I hate snow anyways, so who cares.

the Wrf has snow for the south sound

There is a nice big swath of moisture off the coast that wants to head my way.... The last two days when these show up the dissipate around Olympia... If I were a betting man I would say exactly the same thing will occur as before. 

Boise is great for a medium sized city. Spent a week with my kids there in 2018 and it is a great pace for families. Really clean for a city of its size. If I was moving to Idaho however, I would go to the Panhandle or way out east towards Soda Springs. 

That is where I am looking... North Idaho