May Grey

With 21.63" of rain since September 1st, This is now the 7th wettest water year on record!

What's your definition of humid? I think even low/mid 80s are gross when dewpoints are in the mid 70s. Instead sweatage.

Interestingly, when I visited Yuma, AZ in July 22nd-July 25th The Dew points would get in the 70's in the morning and it was very windy as well because of the Gulf surge.

July 23nd

https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KNYL/2016/7/23/DailyHistory.html

July 24th

https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KNYL/2016/7/24/DailyHistory.html

July 25th

https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KNYL/2016/7/25/DailyHistory.html

It only went above 90F 3 days last year in Orcutt, CA while in 2015 it went above 90F 14 days.

I think we will see a very weak El Nino this fall. +0.5-+0.6 in the 3 and 4 region.

I have gotten 0.73" of rain today. The rain at times was very heavy, tropical like downpours.

The high temperature today is 82F, it is the 1st 80F+ day of the year and the last time it went at least 80F was back on a November 13th, 2016!

What a beautiful Sunday morning!

I have now gotten 18.43" of rain this water year. The annual average is 13.53" (September 1st-Today)

 

Here is my rainfall totals for every month starting September. Its amazing that every month has seen above average rainfall except for September. I'm already above my monthly average rainfall by 2 inches!

Actual | Avg | % of average

Sept: 0.00" | 0.16" | 0%

Oct: 1.39" | 0.58" | 240%

Nov: 1.40" | 1.36" | 103%

Dec: 2.84" | 2.15" | 132%

Jan: 7.00" | 2.64" | 265%

Feb (So far): 2.92" | 2.75" | 106%

 

 Update: 

Actual | Avg | % of average

Sept: 0.00" | 0.16" | 0%

Oct: 1.39" | 0.58" | 240%

Nov: 1.40" | 1.36" | 103%

Dec: 2.84" | 2.15" | 132%

Jan: 7.00" | 2.64" | 265%

Feb (So far): 5.61" | 2.75" | 204%

Season to date: 18.24"

I had wind gust up to 56 MPH earlier today.

2.11" since 8pm last night

Very weak La Nina

Here is my rainfall totals for every month starting September. Its amazing that every month has seen above average rainfall except for September. I'm already above my monthly average rainfall by 2 inches!

Actual | Avg | % of average

Sept: 0.00" | 0.16" | 0%
Oct: 1.39" | 0.58" | 240%
Nov: 1.40" | 1.36" | 103%
Dec: 2.84" | 2.15" | 132%
Jan: 7.00" | 2.64" | 265%
Feb (So far): 2.92" | 2.75" | 106%

Dam! (Pun intended) Its going to rain at least 7 days in a row!

CPC is likely going off of CFSv2 trends for their monthly outlook for February.  The latest 10 day trend suggesting a colder/wetter overall look for the sub forum.  The model has done fairly well for Dec/Jan trends.  This leads me to believe the storm track will be shunted farther south next month along with other important factors.

 

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/glbz700MonInd1.gif

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usT2mMonInd1.gif

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif

CPC has been wrong all season with the California precip forecast. They had predicted a very dry January for California.

Now having these pop up heavy rain showers

What website is this info from? I like the layout and graphics. 

wunderground.com

The latest JAMSTEC has a weak Nino during the summer months and trends cooler by next Winter...

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/ssta.nino3.4.fcst.2-yr.1jan2017.gif

 

 

Summer months....

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/ssta.glob.JJA2017.1jan2017.gif

 

Autumn...

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/ssta.glob.SON2017.1jan2017.gif

The weakest and shortest El Nino ever? I'm not sure if an El Nino will develop this year?

Forecast looks very cloudy and maybe some snow in Wisconsin next week.

Wow!

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1431475333

Freezing rain, Heavy rain and then snow, that sounds like flooding to me. The CDA-Post Falls area will get crazy weather this week. Especially with that heavy snowpack up there.

Near consistent onshore flow has made it difficult to attain cold minimums this month. Statistically average mean temps actually rise in January [60.6°] making December [59.5°] the coldest month.  

 

How did Santa Maria fare during recent storms? Above normal rainfall?

I'm at 9.47" of rain this water year so far (Sept 1st-Aug 31st) Which is between 150%-200% of average so far. I'm only around 4 inches away from my annual average.

It is a currently a chilly 33F 

More rain will continue after the break.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif