MIKEKC

7 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Beautiful weather today but windy.  Maybe pull in a thunderstorm tonight. 

We need to pull in a lot of thunderstorms!!! Very dry pattern continues for KC. Less than 2 inches of moisture in 71 days. A lot of dry air masses to go with that. 

It's April, time to get wet as the the vegetation will be using it much faster.

Tonight's rain chances look fast and not that much...maybe I'll catch a good storm.

1 hour ago, Tom said:

The LR is looking mighty fine out here in the 4 corners region as the storm parade will continue well into April providing ample moisture and eventually runoff for the farmers out here in the desert SW.  Gosh, I love it when nature proves to be an answer and wipe away all the FEAR that was driven by politicians/media into signing stupid agreements. I gotta feeling some of these arrangements will be reversed and there will be an abundance of water as this part of the country will benefit largely due to the reversal in the Long Range cyclical nature of the weather patterns.

CFSv2...extended Snow season in the West...

Tom, I hear ya loud and clear on those silly agreements!!!!

Anyway,  it appears the middle of the nation has a shot at a cooler and wetter April??? We really need moisture, last 60 days I have only seen 1.56 inches of rain and 1.2 of that came in 30 minutes. Lots of dry air masses and wind has really dried us out. 

How bout Minneapolis?? Didn't you get blasted by snow, turn over to rain for 24 hours or so and now, wind and heavy snow on the backside of the same storm? Incredible. According to radar, it looks like it's ripping up there and temps have have dropped.

12 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Some pics. 

HELL YEAH! Good ole fashion blizzard! Lucky you. 

Here in KC I received .009 inches of moisture. We are dry!!

Beautiful Blizzard for some of you. Some got the shaft on snow and rain...yep, KC got the shaft too. I only recorded .004 from yesterday's rain and the 50mph winds dried that up quickly. I was hoping to see some more as we are quite dry here. Spring started fast here, but, with limited moisture and now some cold air, spring is on pause. 

Maybe we see a line of storms later today and tomorrow morning could be interesting here as data is showing a good chance of some snow with the ULL. 

70's by Friday!!

3 hours ago, Clinton said:

Models showing hardly any precip in my area with most showing under a 1/4 inch.

YEP! Not looking good for us, is it? We got a gully washer last Wednesday evening, but, it came so fast that most ran off. Very dry air masses after that caused that to dry up by the weekend. Our moderate drought looks to continue. The storms next week look good at times but now appears to be hit and miss for our area again. 

1 hour ago, Tom said:

I saw there was a possible report of Thundersnow near MDW earlier today...my sister sent me a video of her in the city proper and it was ripping pretty good.  Sadly, she also was driving through all the tents set up with migrants everywhere.  Some parts of Chicago are really turning into a freakin' ghetto!  Sad sad sad...anyway, congrats on the snow today...#statpadding

Yep. Tom, it's happening in KC too. The homeless or migrant tents have tripled in #'s the last few years in certain parts of the city... My business  is getting beat up with the heavy cost of operations. The idea that costs have come down is a joke! We tried to hand down the cost and lost a lot of clients. (which is okay since we weren't making money at the previous prices, so, why have them) The biggest hit is our builders, we work for 7 of them in KC and they have gone to a crawl in giving us installs. I'm 25% less busy this year on contracts and landing large scale landscape installs are hard to find. Plus, the pay is very slow and some not paying at all. Folks are simply out of money. I employ 70 people too, we've hung on for 3 years without layoffs, but, they are likely coming this year. I've worked the streets in sales in the landscape industry for 30 years, since the age of 15. I know when people are out of money. The street doesn't lie... I have employees taking loans out against their 401 K's to survive. 

We have struggled to staff for 3 years now, but, this year, crazy amount of staff has become available to us. We ask them all where they are coming from and many have said they were laid off or their employer shut up shop. We had more interviews in the last month then we had in 3 years total!!! We finally have the staff we wanted and now, we don't have the work we need. 

#Weneedchange!!!

WOW! That band of snow in Iowa near Cedar Rapids and Iowa City was crazy looking on radar. Has to be some surprise amounts from that....Winter Storm Warning was issued quickly. Forecasting on the fly!!!

Surprise snow amounts are the best. 

Interesting weather pattern setting up for almost all of us. KC could see all forms of weather, some spring temps, some heavy rain, some sleet, maybe accumulating snow, more freezes. It must be March!!

On 3/17/2024 at 8:33 AM, Clinton said:

Below normal temps the next couple of days for the first time this month.  The hard freeze which should be no big deal this time of year will likely damage the fruit trees that are flowering and or leafed out atm.  Hopefully next weekends storm will be a good rain producer.

I can't believe the NWS did not have freeze warnings for MO last night. We're literally in full bloom in KC....dropped to 21 degrees in parts of the city this morning. I'm wondering if that knocked out our spring color on the perennial flowering trees and plants. We'll know here soon. 

More cold to come it appears...

Had a big supercell thunderstorm hit the heart of the city yesterday evening between 7-9pm, large hail SW of my house, but the hail core weakened once it arrived. We had very heavy rain which all fell in about 30 minutes, so, it was a runner, not a soaker. Our biggest rain by far in the last 52 days as I saw 1.57 inches. North side counties of KC have entered back into the moderate drought headline. So, last nights rain was good but we'll need much more as we are in full swing with growing. Plants/grass will be using the moisture much faster. 

Maybe 25 degrees here Monday morning. That just might nip some of the color on the blooming trees. 

Hopefully we miss the deep cold the last 7 days of March. Again, we are too far into bloom for long duration cold nights. 

2 hours ago, Clinton said:

Major changes in the long range showing up on both the 0z runs of the GFS and the Euro Control starting on the 22nd.  This is looking more like an early Spring artic outbreak that has legs to last through the end of the month at least.  Cooler than average temps may return as early as St. Patrick's Day as the ridge builds in the west and the EPO complete tanks.

Snow for some

OH NO! I knew it, with a very warm FEB and start to March, we are in full bloom in KC. Hoping the damaging cold stays north of here. 

On 3/7/2024 at 8:02 AM, Clinton said:

Just hope its wet.  Everyone around here could use a nice hay and corn crop after last year.

Hey Clinton, 

Dang it, the storm yesterday did not deliver the 1-2 inches we desperately needed. 43 straight days of almost no moisture put the north side of KC back in a moderate drought after all headlines were removed following the very wet Nov.-Jan. 20th period. Only .29 at my place. They did much better on the south side of the city, south of 70. 

Any thoughts on the second half of March. I see some flashing signs of potential damaging freezes. I say damaging as we have a lot of stuff blooming in KC right now. Maybe you or Tom can go in depth on a possible late season winter charge. What's you seeing??

1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Roads we drove on this morning were like the lower right picture. 

I love surprise snow storms!!! Do you know what the highest total in NEB. was?? Have fun in the snow. Here in KC the drought is intensifying...we did have rain yesterday, but for my part of KC, it was an under achiever at only .29 inches. The NWS forecast was for 1-2 inches. Hopefully we get wet this month.

And, how much snow ended up falling at your place. I thought you were in the 1-3 inch forecast range. 

19 hours ago, Tom said:

I heard that these fires happened where 80% of cattle ranching is done in NW TX.  Makes you wonder.

It certainly does make you wonder....going to be a bumpy and dangerous year. 

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

Cooler weather for my area today with temps in the upper 50s.  Warm and windy conditions over the past month have really dries things out.  Hopefully the 1-2 inches of rain the models show for Thursday and Friday pan out.

It's been too warm, a lot trees blooming here in KC and grass/weeds are growing. 1-2 inches of rain will likely shoot the grass up a bit. Come this Thursday, it will be 43 days since our last rain. Last rain was Jan. 24th-25th. (.50-.75) VERY DRY AGAIN!! Some indication that post the 15th of March, we just might see some cold in the pattern (cold for March is 30-40 degrees) and maybe some storms. It's been flashing in and out on the data..we'll see. We need this widespread rain to hit Thursday into Friday. 

I hope March turns a bit more stormy here in the the middle part of the country. After a very wet Nov. through Jan. we have been really dry for 5 weeks(only a total of .14) now and obviously well above average on temps. 

More beautiful weather heading in today for KC with highs around 60 and we are heading for 70-80 degree weather both days this weekend. 

2 hours ago, Clinton said:

This February for western MO will go down as the warmest or 2nd warmest in history, currently we are +10.6 above average.  Look at these temps for the next 7 days!  What happens in days 8,9,10 won't look like this.

Yep, she's been a warm one! You know what happened 45 days ago this Thursday, the biggest snow storm of the year for MO on Jan. 8th and 9th. 45 days later(the cycle length according to Lezak)on Feb. 22nd, warm and no snow! The cold and snow didn't cycle!!! Dang it!! Bastardi's forecast is looking less likely too

Now...we just might hit 73,74,75, Monday or Tuesday, BUT, is there a storm lurking with cold air crashing for Wednesday in the nation's midsection? The overnight data is closed to a big one

Just started snowing in KC and temps have fallen to the upper 20's. Radar looks good with some enhanced bands on there, we just might score a 1-2 inch coating and enjoy a winter scene for the rest of the day. 

Spring returns quickly by Sunday and we just might see some 70's mid next week. Grass is very close to growing here. 

Mid-long range models appear very warm and not much winter to speak of. 

GFS/NAM suggest the snow will stay north of KC. 

ICON throwing down a quick 2-3 inch snow for KC Friday morning...the trend yesterday was for it to be north of here, we'll see how the rest of the data trends. 

Yikes! The mid range models continue show a blow torch for the most of the country with maybe one brief cold snap later this week only to be followed by more 60's in KC next week. North of here might score a nice snow event later this week, keep an eye on that to see if it goes a bit farther south. 

I have perennials already coming up in the landscape beds. 2-3 inch heads on tulip bulbs. That crazy early. The cold cycle that we saw in Jan. started around the 5th and carried for about 15-20 days with multiple storms. The "repeat" period would start Monday next week, current data saying warm next week and not cold. 

I'm not giving up yet, BUT, I'm close.

Great SB yesterday, Chiefs are pretty darn good. 

OH CLINTON, that silly NAM trying to fire us up. This is at 84hours and it's in your area and moving into KC. Blinding snow....

It's fooling us again, isn't it? Or maybe the north trend is starting...3-4 days out

@Tom...the SW part of the country has had one heck of run the last 30-45 days or so. Some locations have had their entire annual total of precip. in just a few days. Amazing!!

I'm wondering if the cold and storminess will return to the nations midsection. We started a very active period around Jan. 5th and it lasted through Jan. 22-23rd. Obviously, we had our best winter run here in KC.(record cold for a week) This is due to cycle back through around Feb. 18th-20th with the idea of the 45 day cycle. I wonder if winter will return here because if we don't get cold soon, the grass and plants will be in full bloom come early to mid-March. We are close to the growing season starting very early...

Come on, winter, can't leave me with just that one beautiful 3-week stretch of cold and snow, I need one more run!

@Clinton....ICON back with the storm idea, lets see how the GFS and CMC do