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  1. Gary Lezak and the LRC claims that this year's pattern is 46 days. 46 days ago was Feb. 14th, we were smack dab in the middle of record cold. Plus, starting on the 14th and ending on the 17th, KC had cloudy skies for 4 days, 2-4 inches of snow with (3) separate snow events. It snowed on the 14th, the 15th, which had a nice ULL that tracked nicely for KC(snowed for 10 hours that day) and then again on Feb. 17th. Hell, I think Clinton that week had much more snow then KC. 46 days later, we had 75-80 degree weather on Monday,(46 days before Monday, we had a high around 4) no storms i
  2. Warm April? GFS showing multiple freezes after April 2nd and a chilly looking pattern. Been flashing this for the last few days. KSHB's Jeff Penner, also a LRC partner mentioned that the part of the pattern that occurred FEB. 5th to the 19th will cycle back through. Only problem with that statement is that it goes against their 46 day pattern they have been saying all winter long. IF the Feb. 5th to 19th pattern had returned on time, it would have shown up today. March 23rd minus 46 days puts us right around the beginning of that incredible cold stretch(FEB 5th) So, I'
  3. @Tom We are actually really wet here in KC. Since Dec. 29th, parts of the city have seen 4.25 to 5.6 inches of moisture, above average for the winter season. Crazy dry for months prior to that, we were actually under a D1 drought headline prior to Jan. 1, it has since been knocked out. We never dried out any of that 1.25 inches of rain that fell on Dec. 29th as the pattern stayed active for several weeks after that. Now, we have warmer temps and the frost line is melting,(never got that deep as the snow cover the last two weeks prevented the deep cold from getting to the soil). Matter o
  4. Here in KC, we are still struggling to get above freezing for a high, getting close though. Its been 14 days since we have been above 32 degrees. The FEB. sun angle is still going to work on the snow pack. Plenty of melting going on and we should be snow free by sometime later this weekend or for sure on Monday. What a beautiful run of winter weather, likely the best I have seen in KC ever or at least in a long while. Heck, all lakes in MO froze over shore to shore, I don;t think that has happened in 10+ years. Maybe longer... Here in KC, the coldest temp I recorded was -18 and I to
  5. @Clinton I see the ULL on the satellite radar run, I see the spin. It looks to be a on a good track. Radar echoes are increasing in south central KS, we'll see how this plays out. You certainly stand a better chance then KC, but, we just might have a snowy afternoon. Looking over some snow reports in Texas, some 10"+ amounts down there from this storm. Parts of KC are only at 7-9 inches for the whole winter. I'm okay each winter with Iowa and Nebraska beating us with snow totals, but TEXAS???? BTW, how cold is it. Some of my fleet has froze up on us this morning as we treat par
  6. Well, KC managed to be the big LOSER again....only a dusting here in my part of KC yesterday. It was so bad that even the sun came out for awhile yesterday afternoon just for fun. I have never been so let down by the model promises of accumulating snow over the last 8 days. Congrats to all that are scoring big with this storm, it's quite impressive what it is doing that far south. After today, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky and northern Louisiana will have recorded more snowfall this winter then KC. (I just threw up) Nonetheless, what an impressive cold snap this has been.
  7. This looks to be a very weak event for KC....again. Tuesday into Wednesday looks weak to for KC also. Barley snowing here and radar is thinning out. Maybe it will pulse up...NAM suggests we see an uptick in snow tonight through 2pm tomorrow but doesn't have much support from the other models. ( I guess I shouldn't pay too much attention to the model data as it showed inches and inches of snow all of last week for KC and we received ZERO!) Only snow we received was last weekend. Good luck to all the ones that score big here. Happy snow day!!!
  8. My bad, the 12Z GFSv16 has 24 inches in KC by next weekend. Disregard all of my complaining. KC is a lock for getting burried! I simply forgot to look at that model.
  9. GFS loses this beautiful cold pattern one week from Saturday. It is showing 70's in the Plains by Feb. 25th. WOW! I believe that as this has been a very warm pattern(outside of this 2 week cold snap) and it will return. We must score here in the next 10 days! Come on baby!! I think winter will be over after this record breaking cold snap. KC is going for the record of consecutive days below 20 degrees for highs. 13 is the record, today will be #6 and the forecast has 8-9 more days below 20 degrees.
  10. Man ole man have the models been wrong for KC. Starting last Saturday, they had 1-3 inches for KC, we received around an 1 inch. They showed from Sunday to Friday a wide range of 4-13 inches. Multiple chances of snow throughout the week. I ended up on the NE side of KC with 2.5 inches. It has not snowed since Monday(very light snow at that time) Now, the once promising Friday storm into Saturday is fading for KC. The two big storms late in the weekend through next week look very questionable as far as KC getting anything from them as the trend is south on most models. Maybe t
  11. 2 inches of snow here on the NE side of KC. Had around 1.3 yesterday and another good dusting this morning. Looks to be several more small disturbances to go as we finish today and start Monday. Maybe another 1-2 inches in KC before we get into possible some bigger snows later this week through early next week. BTW....NICE CALL TOM! I asked two weeks ago on the idea of winter weather making a run on KC and you said right around Feb. 5th. Boy did winter show up in a big way. I'm thankful for snow we have received but I sure would like to see those big piles that CentralNebwe
  12. @Clinton I'm not so sure on that dry outlook, I think this pattern is much more active then what Lezak thought it was going to be. After today and Saturday's event, I will be above average on moisture for the entire winter's total with 7 weeks to go. Since Dec. 29th, this pattern has been super wet around our area with storm after storm. It appears we have more storms to come. You might be right, we'll see. BTW, snowing its butt off here in KC right now, already coated the grass. We were at 45 degrees 1.5 hours ago and now it is 31 and snowing heavily. This band won't l
  13. @Clinton The formation of the storm forecasted on the NAM looks like a summer time MCS rolling out of Nebraska. Could really get after it on the snowfall rates but be a short duration of snowfall. Glad to see the NAM finally show this solution as up until this 12Z run, it had 40's on Saturday and no snow.
  14. GFSv16...12Z This model is my best friend right now. Beautiful snow totals for KC and other areas.
  15. UKIE....12Z Still likes KC somewhat.... 3 inches of snow on this run We just need a strong enough disturbance, won't need much moisture in 10-15 degree air to produce a good 2-4 inch snow. I really feel KC needs to score here in the next 2-3 weeks with all this cold air in the pattern. COME ON BABY!
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