thickhog

6 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Forget this weekend, all eyes on next weekend? 

Forever and ever, amen

1 minute ago, Christensen87 said:

Hope GFS still brings the goods in the LR. I don’t want to lose hope. 

Hour 352 is gonna be awesome

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Unfortunately GEM is worse for snow for PDX

The beatings shall continue until morale improves

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Total snow per 12Z ECMWF with Saturday front... step back for places south of Seattle compared to 00Z run.

I'm moving to northern Japan

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

WB map of 12Z GEM snow with arctic front.

 

PDX metro might hit the jackpot and get 0.5”!

11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

That 72-96 hour timeframe has proved DEADLY for arctic blasts in recent years.

I need to feel the bitter cold on my bare nipples before believing. 

15 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Nice snowfall on the GFS

 

We’ll take anything we can get!

Is the moisture over for PDX ?

3 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Looks like 00z increased freezing rain totals, and that east wind, wow. 

Please no

Well, biting the bullet and heading to Home Depot to buy an 8000w generator. Too many old trees around, and this ice storm on Friday looks legitimately problematic. 

30 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Can anyone post the latest Euro ice maps for Friday in Portland/Gorge? We're on the verge of canceling our plans.

I haven’t seen the maps, but I think you can safely cancel your Friday plans if they’re near PDX metro. It’s gonna be nasty.

5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

GEM is crazy.

 

 

That'd be nothing less than catastrophic given the east winds out of the gorge

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Or government camp…

Much easier but that didn’t sound as dramatic

Everyone here from PDX should go in on a timeshare in Buffalo.

Happy for my friends in the PS area, but d*mn is it frustrating to feel like Portland will never get a real snowstorm again.

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Montana has almost seemed exempt from AGW. Continental variability is extreme enough to mute its effects on a day-to-day perspective.

Maybe they'll see harsher winters as a result. It's a complex system. 

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

GEM is icy

 

A half inch of ice two days before Christmas is brutal. 

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Daytime highs Thursday. NAM does have PDX at 16 at midnight so that would be the high. Lol

How often are below-freezing 2m temps this much lower than the 850s?

Just now, Prairiedog said:

Just saw Rod Hill's forecast for PDX.  Sheesh.  Pretty puzzled on that one.  Wed is 32/39 dry, Thurs east winds 25/40 dry, Friday 28/40 and as he mentioned, several hours of ZR before it warms up.   

Only even remote possibility of snow was a wintery mix on Tues 22/40 but mostly rain.  Haven't caught up on all the posts and models.  Did I miss something here?  GFS put its foot down again?  Or, he mixed up last weeks GFS models with yesterdays.  I obviously missed something. 

The moisture for us comes on Friday, when the 850s are too warm, which = ZR. The models have consistently shown PDX getting screwed, so nothing has changed in that regard. More low-level cold on Thu/Fri, I guess.

It’s currently 42F in Rufus, OR (just east of the Dalles). 20 miles to the east it’s 25F. 

1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 3.5 850s (4-run trend)

Really need that to keep trending south. Day 4 850s feel like the only trend worth watching on those 12z runs.

18 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Arctic front now into Boardman. Moving westward awfully quick.

A 9 degree drop in 30 min...

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Yesss, extend that cold.

What do the 850s look like in PDX on Thu/Fri? 

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Less than 48 hours out. 

15 degree difference in some places lol what's even the point

9 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Here's what Mark Nelsen has to say, makes a lot more sense in my opinion.

https://twitter.com/MarkNelsenKPTV/status/1604649210607194113

So what we’re rooting for is the upper levels to cool a bit, but that doesn’t seem real likely.