rsktkr

I. Am. So. F*cking. Confused.

Zero clue what's going to happen this week.

Yet, I am totally fine with it.

Is that a -22 on Dec. 9th?

There's another member around -14 around the same time and another around -10.

Are we seeing hints of something epic about to start showing up?

Considering the really obvious percentages, shouldn't a major pullback always be the expected outcome when cold/snow starts showing up in the models?

Shouldn't the pullback be planned for every single time so when the 1 out of 50 actually hits it's a pleasant surprise?

I know that when I start seeing the juicy post nowadays I only wonder one thing.....when will it pullback?

It doesn't always bust of course and my 1 in 50 number is an exaggeration but models are almost always off and sometimes they are off by a lot when talking about anything beyond day three.

I am starting to think that constant letdowns brought on by the near constant model pullbacks are somehow enjoyable for some. Is that the case? Is that what is happening?

I am not talking specifically about the currently anticipated winter weather for next week but more in general as I see the exact same pattern of excitement/letdown, excitement/letdown year after year....it never changes.

Maybe I am misreading this and everyone really does know that most every setup is going to pullback and they are actually fine with it. The thrill is in the chase type of thing maybe?

2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

The only thing worse than a snowless winter is reading ignorant takes about soccer from Americans. 
 

We have the very important 18z to worry about now anyways. 

There is a reason why soccer is ignored in this country. You can call it ignorant but that won't change anything.

29 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

One of the big reasons why soccer isn’t fun in my opinion is things like stoppage time. Just stop the clock when it goes out of bounds and count down from 45 minutes a half. It would make for a far more compelling finish to pretty much any game. The lack of that is pretty unfortunate and is one of the big reasons why Americans won’t ever find it compelling to the general public. An anti-climactic ending to every single game is boring.

I worked with this Romanian dude and I would tell him that if the World Cup games were played in the backyard of my house I still wouldn't watch. Pissed him off good.

3.5 hours.....final score....1-0.

That happens a lot. No thanks.

19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It will take some time for things to settle.  I think some people will go back on there now that censoring leftists don't run it.

Musk has inserted himself as the decider of the information you and everyone else gets to see on Twitter.....you're OK with that? If you are, are you OK with that simply because you share his world views? Everything is cool now because it is now censoring rightists running the show? 

31 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

I don't think I have ever started a monthly thread. Maybe I should give it a shot for December and will be good luck. I'm already thinking of some potential titles like "We are all going to die December". 

How about...."La Nina is the new El Nino December"

39 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

What he posts provides an excellent perspective on just how absurd this historic period of heat and drought has been. I for one find the posts to be instructive and valuable. If you don't like them, simply move on or block him. Trying to control someone else's behavior to suit your preferences rarely works out well for anyone.

As you try to control my behavior to suit your preferences. 

37 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Through the first half of October, Portland is running 3.3 degrees warmer than the average June, 2.4 degrees warmer than the average September, 2.3 degrees cooler than the average July, and 2.6 degrees cooler than the average August.

Our weather this month has been closer to a normal July than any other month. Drier than a normal July to this point too. 

Dude. More espresso, less depresso.

Grab a coffee and chill.

Your posts are always such a buzz kill.

Maybe you can ease up on some of the doom and gloom? Just a little?

I mean geesh.... we're drowning here and you're describing the water.

Now that it appears this big pattern shift is dying what's next? 

Feels like we are entering uncharted territory and we could be looking at something truly remarkable and awful.

All-time record warm/dry fall and winter type stuff and then right back to all-time record warm/dry spring and summer 2023.

At the very least I think it's a valid concern at this point. Seems super ominous and a cause for concern if you as me.

Are you ready to be buried in snow up to your eyeballs all winter starting next month and stretching all the way to April?

If not, you better get ready because it's coming!

Science.....

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/polar-vortex-winter-weather-snow-cover-influence-forecast-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

10 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

How long after you were bit did you develop a fever and infection?

3-4 days. Took a while.

1 hour ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Dude, no bueno.  We have a couple of cats, one of whom goes through periodic bouts of not being able to keep food down.  I have to shove a pill down her throat, and if I miss, it is very bitter so it turns her into a foaming drooling mess.  Last time I did it, I missed with the pill and tried to fish it out.  She clamped down on my finger hard, felt her fang on my bone and she bruised my fingernail.  I cleaned it up really good, and waited until the next day to call my doctor.  I got quite a MAJOR lecture from my doctor (who is very chill) and a couple of different nurses.  They were all pissed that I waited as long as I did.  They had me go straight to urgent care and put me on some very potent antibiotics.  They said people have had to have fingers/limbs amputated from cat bites.  The Urgent care doc said "I don't know what it is about cats, but their saliva is NASTY, and their bites, especially deep ones, almost always lead to nasty infections.  That was after getting a lecture from her as well.

If you start getting red streaks up your arm or if the bite location gets really swollen and warm, get to the ER or Urgent care ASAP. Mine got really red, swollen and numb, and really didn't start to improve until the last couple of days of antibiotics.  It took about 2-3 weeks to heal.

 

Same. Got bit and scratched by our loveable house cat. Horrible infection set in. Happened during the first peak of Covid so I didn't want to go in. Finally went in after fever hit hard. Gruesome and painful. Very sick for 2-3 weeks. None fun.

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Clown range be clownin’  

If this showed the opposite I would be far more worried.

Very early signs of a MASSIVE pattern shift to show up in the models starting in the next 48 hours or so.

3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

This guy beat me into the office this morning. We also had ice fog along the Truckee River which was neat to see. 

Tahoe seems like such an awesome place to live.

I have visited countless times.

I am seriously considering a south shore cabin purchase so I can work from home there every winter.

Very early signs of a MASSIVE pattern shift to show up in the models starting in the next 48 hours or so.

6 minutes ago, rsktkr said:

I dig these warm/dry early falls.

Not because I enjoy them, I don't.

I dig them because when we have a cold/wet fall I always feel like it will lead to a warm/dry late fall and early winter.

This is not science. This is how my mind works. 

Maybe I spoke too soon?

8 days from today we have a front approaching from the west and then it's game on....supposedly.

I dig these warm/dry early falls.

Not because I enjoy them, I don't.

I dig them because when we have a cold/wet fall I always feel like it will lead to a warm/dry late fall and winter.

This is not science. This is how my mind works. 

2 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

MBG!

Hour: 1608 maps are always a lock.

It's the Hour: 1700 maps that are unreliable.

Long-term signal looking nice and juicy! 

Saw this today on a sub reddit I frequent....

3 hours ago, Jakewestsalem said:

Getting ready to head out to McMinnville to watch the USAF Thunderbirds fly today.

Marine deck has lifted and it should be perfect conditions

I live here in Mac and watched the whole thing from my deck.....it was awesome! 

Next year we get the Blue Angels!