Esquimalt

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea they tend pop up around neah bay

Sometimes off the northern tip of vancouver island too. 

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

We have a mole. . Little chance that first system does much of anything north of Bellingham 

I'm thinking even if the precipitation shield extends towards the duncan area as I think it might, it will not be heavy enough to overcome the dry air. 

How is the total snow looking after the snow is done? 

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

I don't think weathermodels has the 6z/18z for the EPS, but have you guys seen the control? Over 16 inches by Saturday with temps in the 20s. 

What's it like for southern vancouver island? 

UKMET coming in SOUTH

Gfs showing a Monday snowstorm now for Seattle and north.  Appears quite marginal thou

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This has a Vancouver island landfall all over it. Just looks fake watching the low suddenly steer SE.

Just yesteday you were saying a Salem landfall lol. I think a southern Washington landfall is the most realistsc

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

Light snow with the first one. Big time over running event to follow

Have you seen the RGEM this morning. Develops a surface low off the top of Vancouver island, showing 10-15 cm over the south island on Thursday evening. Looks like the snow doesn’t stop before the new system comes in

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

A small notch north.  

Yeah looked bigger at first. I’m thinking our big chance here is on Friday night Saturday morning 

12z gfs coming in way north. Oh yeah!

What did the 6Z eps snow map look like?

4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

00z EPS snowfall mean through Saturday morning is less than both the 18z and 12z runs but still respectable. 

Too warm or drier does it look like?

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This reminds me of February 2017 so much

That is a totally different pattern. Look at that river of moisture coming from the south west 

3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

By Sunday morning, the wealth has been spread to many.

What does the kuchera look like? 

1 minute ago, nwsnow said:

Ok UKMET we get it...

Keeps going

Why do the totals stop increasing in Victoria? Too warm or the system is too south?

GEM goes way north with the second low.  So different. 

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

GEFS pretty similar to mid-thursday. Then shows broader snow and less sleet/ice for PDX a few hours later.

Precip shield much further north tonight.  Good news. 

Just now, BLI snowman said:

You seemed to get a lot of snow with the event last year. Of course that was a biproduct of the airmass stalling and missing 85% of us.

Yes.  Just saying the euro or the gem run seems much better for evyerone.  I would love to see Oregon folks and BC folks score and that's what the euro was showing earlier. 

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

Could be wrong but it looks like it brings down more arctic air as it passes to our south 

I really don't care about arctic air.  Just care about huge snowfalls.  This dry pattern is really not doing it for me lol.

Icon goes really weird later in the run

It’ll trend north

3 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Looks similar here, just a trade of dry snow covering the roofs and some other surfaces. Currently 34F with a 27F dewpoint and surprisingly still completely windless.

What are you thinking for this week coming up here in Victoria? 

Sorry everyone. The RGEM is a bit south of the 6Z run. Still looks a bit mild for PDx but the gorge might help. 

ICON looking like the euro this morning and 12Z RGEM looks to be coming in further north even than the 06Z

And the NAM is way north.  At this rate it’ll be a port hardy snowstorm