weatherfan2012

We seem to be between an all out wash out in the eastern shore and coaster sections to thunderstorms in the mountains and northwest pa.

Like clockwork, 18z GFS goes nuclear in the clown range yet again, with great ensemble agreement. The EPS/GGEM ensembles are crazy looking, as well. All this going occurring right before/during a major transition (globally) in the AAM budget, so there's credence to the idea of an anomalous and dynamic pattern occurring in the middle of June and beyond.

This has the vibes of something significant.

going to be interesting to see how this all transpires over the next few weeks.could be some wild times coming up if the data is anywhere close to correct,

A batch of heavey rains and storms coming up from the south as peace of energey from what was our weak tropical storm bonnie moves across our reagion

Wish we had a saved radar image from both the 83 and 89 severe thunderstorm events back then.

The 80s had some amazing down draft producing thunderstorms 83 I beleave was the storm episode that lighting hit the neighbors tree in the back.wild stuff back then for sure.

Pretty potent cell crossing over the bay south of Annapolis which is severe warned.

Interesting to that the storms are coming from the northeast direction instead of south to north or southwest to northeast or west to east and or from the northwest direction likey still being influence by the coaster low of this past weekend dragging it impulses around it.also been some hailers as well in York pa.

So far, this is the second coldest May on record here. If BWI sees one more high below 60 degrees, they'll set the all-time monthly record for sub-60 highs. We're definitely going the 1973/1983/1988/1995 route this year, as opposed to the 1998/2007/2010 route.

This general theme doesn't look to change over the next 7 days, either. Omega block up north, cutoff low spinning along the coast.

that may well be this weekend with the late spring nor easter hey if we are going to suck mines well do it in a historic since lol

Looks like 1-3" of snow has fallen in the WV/MD mountains:

that crazy and in December we couldn't even by winter like temperatures.

Nice pictures phil that line completely fell apart before going over 95 so only left with one lone cell in southern Maryland now.

No thunder or lighting here eather just a little wind at the on set and moderate rain over all pretty weak those the cloud motion was pretty neat.

Was it expecting thunderstorms tonight some good elevated stuff tonight.

Robert Filex posted a new update on the solar drop http://iceagenow.info/official-april-sunspots-continue-massive-downturn/

Agreed 100 percent

Watch it go from cool straight to summer hot hazy and humied June July and August into september which is usually how it works around here.

We have a winter like coaster storm now taking shape off the coast lol this pattern stinks for may standers.

First picture is DC proper, second picture is La Plata. Got these off Twitter:

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impressive shots and impressive storm that hit down there you can tell by the structure of it that it was a supercell in nature.

Quite a blob of heavey rains and thunder moving in.as you said not severe but at least we got a practice drill for the upcoming summer convection that is to come.also the heaviest rain perhaps since March tonight in the reagion

Yeah my lighting dectectors are consistently beebing.quite a lighting show tonight at the very least tonight.

Classic sharp boundary in our reagion from big thunderstorms in west Virginia to the Ohio vally reagion to bring stuck in a cool marine layer east of the mountains these marine type set ups can be very stubborn and hard to dislodge doing the spring months it not until June when things become more favorable for thunderstorms in our reagion with less marine influence.July could be an active month in our reagion severe weather wise from some of the analogs

It will be interesting Robert filex and others do have interesting ideas only time will tell how it all plays out and how deep and low cycles 25 and 26 ultimately are.it will be a big test for both sides

Today was always suspect for the reasons you stated good news is the pattern looks to get quite active as we go into may so things may start to become more favorable as we get deeper into may and june.

I'm not sold on significant blocking next winter, and am leaning towards a 98-99/07-08/11-12 look (-PNA/+EPO/+NAM) overall, with the potential for a brief/potent midwinter -NAM/Arctic blast somewhere, followed by a relatively quick return to the background pattern.

the following winter 2017-2018 should be a much better blocking -nam type winter with a positive qbo likey in place with a possable moderate La nina still in place then.things start to get interesting as we end this decade and go into the 2020s as we really start getting into our on coming solar minimum.how the winters and weather patterns behave in the 2020s and beowed has alot to do with how cycles 25 and 26 play out and how severe of a solar minimum this turns out being.

You may think this is to warm now just wrait until July August into september when we add the 70s 80 dewpoints humidity into it so let tonight warm temperature be a warm up to way worse this summer.

Andie did you get hit with any of those Monster Hail storms the other day there?