OmahaSnowFan

My parents are sitting in the sandbox in their backyard Meanwhile it’s jumped to 73.1 IMBY after a slow start to the warming this morning with high clouds.

No sarcasm here. That’s the first chance of potentially a lot of snow for us here and if it holds could be a big one. Unfortunately it is 384 hours away but stranger things have happened

Here we go. Could be our first big snowstorm here and even some thunderstorms in front of it too.

Never had black ice before? You're right though, being within a degree or two of a record high is irrelevant. My bad. Record lows will only be posted going forward. Definitely not near record lows either.

I'll wait until it's winter down here to post about current observations. Of course if we only posted winter stuff, this forum would be dead, but after all this is a winter weather forum, so I apologize for making you upset. Just make sure you apply the same rules to everyone else. Tom did say he wanted "balance". Funny, how when we had our first hard freeze this fall, I posted about that. Or when we had our first flakes I posted about that too. Any other rules I'm breaking moderator?

Yep it’s all relative. Well above normal temps and the water is still partially freezing over in the middle of November bc it’s still getting cold. Shocking indeed.

Yikes https://www.denverpost.com/2021/11/15/denver-weather-snow-records-likely-to-fall/amp/

Quite the humorous weather graphic put out by Omaha NWS No precip for the next 7 days gives you some extra time!

Might take the afternoon off and enjoy it!

Surely some political hack was fired at the CPC ammirite?!

We’re stuck under some high cirrus clouds and a light east breeze

384 hour snowfall on the GFS.

0Z Euro from last night refusing to allow the cold come down into the US. I end up averaging +4.5 degrees for the run.

So the Central US breaking records is now MW/GL's? #MovingTheGoalposts Tom- you put your neck out there making forecasts which is more than I do, but I'm just saying you can't claim to be right this whole time when clearly you haven't been is the point I'm making.

Duluth MN: +3.9 degrees PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: DULUTH MONTH: NOVEMBER YEAR: 2021 LATITUDE: 46 49 N LONGITUDE: 92 11 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 41 30 36 -1 29 0 T 0.5 0 12.7 21 290 M M 8 18 30 290 2 38 27 33 -3 32 0 0.00 0.0 T 9.2 17 300 M M 8 27 310 3 42 28 35 -1 30 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.6 14 270 M M 6 20 260 4 47 26 37 2 28 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.6 17 210 M M 2 18 23 220 5 54 34 44 9 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 14.2 23 210 M M 3 33 190 6 64 41 53 19 12 0 0.11 0.0 0 12.9 23 260 M M 3 18 31 280 7 56 39 48 14 17 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.3 14 190 M M 2 1 17 190 8 52 31 42 8 23 0 0.00 0.0 M 8.5 16 310 M M 1 1 23 310 9 54 28 41 8 24 0 0.00 0.0 M 7.9 18 290 M M 0 8 25 280 10 47 26 37 5 28 0 0.41 0.0 0 12.6 26 100 M M 6 18 36 90 11 42 33 38 6 27 0 1.05 0.6 0 14.2 24 90 M M 10 1 35 90 12 36 30 33 1 32 0 0.02 0.4 T 11.2 24 340 M M 10 1 35 350 13 32 27 30 -1 35 0 0.18 3.0 T 7.1 20 350 M M 10 128 31 20 14 29 17 23 -7 42 0 0.02 0.4 3 9.1 17 340 M M 8 26 350 ================================================================================ SM 634 417 380 0 1.79 4.9 138.1 M 77 ================================================================================ AV 45.3 29.8 9.9 FASTST M M 6 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> 26 100 36 90 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: DULUTH MONTH: NOVEMBER YEAR: 2021 LATITUDE: 46 49 N LONGITUDE: 92 11 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 37.5 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 1.79 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 3.9 DPTR FM NORMAL: 0.80 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY HIGHEST: 64 ON 6 GRTST 24HR 1.44 ON 10-11 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS LOWEST: 17 ON 14 3 = THUNDER

My apologies that I forgot about the person near Detroit. I guess the central US breaking records and it being Novemberrrrr, is including only eastern Michigan in the central US and -.2 degrees being record breaking.

Splitting hairs here aren't we? It was just a couple of days ago. Get back to me on Wednesday after the 60s and 70s today and tomorrow.

I’m referencing the records and cold you basically said would dominate this month (Novemberrrrrr) with the CENTRAL US breaking records and “bountiful chances of snow.” It’s the middle of the month and there’s been nothing abnormally winter like, nor extreme. I’m 4 degrees above normal this month and have had no snow. Everywhere I checked in the rest of the forum shows 3-5 degrees above normal too. The veteran’s day storm was mainly wind and even claimed a dud by the posters on this forum up north that were hit. None of this is way abnormally seasonably late or anything, but I’d say not having things really change until the 22nd-23rd of November when compared to your earlier forecasts, is moving the goalposts. And at this point, who even knows how the last week of the month is going to turn out. It looks more like cold than snow right now. I believe you said there will be a pullback too the end of the month and beginning of December. Never mind August when summer was going to end early, and September and October when fall/winter would start early. #ImJustSayin

#MoveTheGoalposts

Bumped up to a high of 70 now in my grids! Short lived warmth before it falls back into the mid 40s on Wednesday

Same with the Euro. November is going to be another flop too.

not the ones freaking out and pissed off at Big Bird?

That's funny bc when I go through the 0Z maps for at least my location, it shows the average of the temps for the next 10 days comes out to .8 degrees above average. Now that's less than the 4.2 degrees above average we've been the first 11 days of the month, but it's not wiping it out or putting us below average. In fact we're still going to average above average for the next 10 days if you take the brutally cold Euro.

Had some sleet pellets earlier but looks like has switched over to a few flurries. The best part is the strong wind is taking off all my leaves on my tree in the front yard AND blowing them down the street so no raking for me!

My grids keep getting warmer for Tuesday. Now up to 67 for the forecast high.