OmahaSnowFan

Measured 4.25” at my place. Definitely a disappointment considering all the models were 6-9”. Would have loved to see that amount added on top of our existing base. I realized that I still haven’t seen a 6” snowfall since Christmas Eve 2015. I was out of town last weekend when Omaha finally scored one and now this storm fell short. Hopefully this Saturday will be the one.

3” now. Another 1/2” in the last 1/2 hour. Heavier snow should shut off here in a bit and it’ll be up to whatever redevelops overnight. Would like to hit 6” even though it looked like 7-8” was likely earlier today.

Pretty interesting piece of information on how the models are doing recently

I have the RadarScope app and it’s showing some redevelopment starting on the backside of the current returns. Hopefully will be steady enough to drop another few inches by morning

Just measured 2.5” at my place. Coming down really hard, but sadly even this heavy snow weakened as it was moving in with the majority of the “yellows” disappearing as it moved north into the metro. Probably have about 30-45 more minutes of the real heavy stuff before it lightens up.

It looks like OAX is going with the HRRR/RAP in that it shows things redeveloping and filling back in around 2-3am

Canadian going nuts with huge snowfall amounts in the next week here in Nebraska and Iowa. Has the big storm this Saturday and then the next big storm to follow on Monday and Tuesday next week, the 25-26th. GFS also has this storm.

Serious random screw hole over Omaha right now. A near perfect oval in shape. WTH?!

The heavy stuff from Topeka to just across the Nebraska border is what I was considering the main event based on its intensity and that it should last more than 10 minutes at a time like the current returns. It’s trajectory is going to be very close to Omaha but looks like it would go just east of here if it holds together as is

Had another brief heavy band come through but now it’s back to another break. The main event isn’t supposed to move in until midnight but a little annoying to keep getting these holes in the returns. Also have noticed the 0Z models really focusing on NW Missouri where it looks like it’s raking right now and that would miss us to the east. Might end up closer to 4-6” for the totals

Update from Omaha NWS: Through this evening, snow should efficiently spread from south to north as strong lift overspreads the area. Cross sections and forecast soundings suggest pockets of conditional instability where convective snows could occur for several hours from late evening through early morning. Thus snow rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible. A consensus of model output suggests widespread 5 to 9 inch snowfall amounts are likely, but could see some totals over 10 inches where convective bands set up.

Fat, fluffy flakes here in north Omaha. Visibility maybe 1/2 mile. Hope this is a good preview of what's coming!

18Z GFS another nice hit for eastern Nebraska. 6-12" from eastern Nebraska to central/northern WI 18Z FV3 has definitely shifted southeast. Good runs today...

pretty heavy band to my south that should bring some heavy rates right away. Continues to fill in to it's south as well

Looking at radar trends and the trajectory of the precipitation in Kansas, I’m not too worried here in Omaha. Seems to be making a beeline right towards my part of the state... The stuff down by Wichita is heading in this general direction and even filling in more down in eastern Kansas

Euro even further southeast than the 0Z from last night. I feel pretty good knowing the Euro is in my court as well as the GFS. The FV3 is whacky as we all know.....

6-10" in the grids for tonight along with the "heavy snowfall" wording. Been a LONG time since I've seen that much for me in one forecast period!

Looks like the 0Z Canadian puts down 15-20” and is going to stay southeast like the GFS and like the 12Z runs of each. FV3 was northwest again at 0Z just like 12Z and like the 12Z Euro. So those are the 2 camps at this point. Will be interesting to see if the Euro stays with the FV3 tonight and if this will be the battle this week. All of the models are showing a strong storm regardless of track

Sref plumes just under 7” for Omaha

FV3 brings the low down to 987, the low over Omaha, and 30” of snow near the Nebraska and South Dakota border

0Z GFS looks good for Omaha and Lincoln this weekend. Close though....

Omaha NWS said ratios should be 14-19:1. Fluff that up with .5-.7” of qpf and the higher end of the 5-8” forecast looks pretty likely if not possibly more