joelgombiner

1 hour ago, Cjmessling said:

I’ll take one for the team and be at lake cushman tomorrow through Sunday. Will be at roughly 1000 ft elevation. Pure luck I’m going up there with this set up potentially happening. Shoveling on Sunday is going to be brutal lol. I’ll take pictures

 

Last time I was up there was early January 2022 when it dumped around 10”. Heaviest snow I’ve ever seen at it’s peak

Lake Cushman is an awesome spot. 

50! 

For Seattle... GFS has 925's bottoming at 4 AM Friday morning to -3 C with some light precip. 

12 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

That was a once in a decade lightning storm, though. 

True, but I feel like the last few years have been particularly dull in terms of T-storms. 

e.g. two years after 2,000 strikes we get: 

5 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Anyone else ready to start tracking thunderstorms? Although real storms are just as difficult as snow around here. Missing a warm muggy evening with nocturnal storms! 

Absolutely. I feel like the last good one in Seattle was in 2019 or 2018... it was the one that made headlines for 100's of lightning strikes. 

googled it... Sept. 7, 2019. More than 2,000 lightning strikes. https://seattlemag.com/best-of-seattle/best-2019-seattles-september-lighting-storm/

15 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

The gfs shows a major snow event for the hood canal and most of the kitsap peninsula Friday night and Saturday.  I'm trying to wrap my head around what I'm looking at. Could be huge amounts with this. Flow is offshore and there is a bunch of upslope snow. Might be insane.

Now if only that H was in BC. 

20 minutes ago, gusky said:

Has anyone here learned Ncar command language (or the python version) and have insight on how hard it is/how long it would take to learn? Trying to dive into data analysis a little more

No but I need to learn python. It's supposed to be pretty easy. 

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I could maybe see living in Santa Barbara, although I would miss the snow and the fall color and I’m certain the endless sunny dry days would get monotonous. But LA? No way, not for me.

A lot of people I've talked to say LA is better than they expected. I think it has a lot of cool neighborhoods. Personally I've never been there. Also a plus that you can grow citrus and avocado trees down there. 

NWS should write an algorithm to detect stations reporting obviously bogus data and take them off their maps. I spot 2 crappy sensors on this map: guessing it's not 22 in Monroe, nor is it 71 in West Seattle. 

1 minute ago, lowlandsnow said:

What is the precip type in the South Sound currently?

Most of the stations are reporting rain... which was predicted by NWS, but they think it changes to snow later overnight. 

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I think you are in one of those places that has fallen through the cracks this winter.

Seattle has had a ton of snow and cold, but a lot of it has been wet and/or light. Still a great winter in my book. 

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

oof NWS Spokane has fallen victim to the "Graphic"

 

 

Oof. Though according to the recent post by mjreich, the NBM should be performing better now than it did last week, because we are not in the midst of a major pattern switch but have had a similar pattern for a little while now. 

One thing that is pretty easy to Nowcast is comparing where a low center is modeled to be vs. where it actually is. You can figure out where it is based on surface winds, sea-level pressure readings, or, when it's offshore, where it looks like the clouds are spinning around. 

12 minutes ago, gusky said:

Anyone have tips for nowcasting this? Don't have much experience with analyzing sat imagery for stuff like this.

I used to think you could extrapolate based on precip moving on the radar, but then I realized it almost always dissipates before hitting me, especially when snow is involved... Now I just look at the forum and am even more confused. 

Working outside all day I got to experience snow, rain, and snow pellets. Pretty nice day actually. 

16 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

 

Euro 

Sun here, but dark, towering clouds to the north and south. 

4 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

Seattle now has more snow than Everett this winter. If things end like that that might be the first time I’ve ever seen that happen gross

I bet Everett gets nailed with a CZ that drops 6" sometime in the next 2 weeks. 

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Radar is starting to look interesting, C-zone firing up in the north sound. Looks like some precip is about to move in as well. Shelton getting hit by a heavy shower and is reporting 35 and snow. 

Good stuff! Sun breaks helping to destabilize the atmosphere too. 

4 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

NAM like the idea of a CZ later

Makes sense. Strong westerly flow and unstable air offshore. 

8 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Doesn’t look like it’ll take too long for the quilayute airport to switch over. 35 DP 33…getting closer. 

There it is. Light snow, 35/33. 

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Puts my stock to shame lol! 

Wow, puts my stocks to shame. 

23 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

The NWS clearly reads the forum because they posted that map an hour after I suggested they should. You’re welcome. (It wouldn’t surprise me if some of them actually did lurk on here, we know Jaya used to post on here pretty frequently which was awesome)

Congrats! You're now the lead forecaster.