lowlandsnow

Why is the 00z Euro done running at 10:07?

Nice mountain snow

This pattern unfortunately came too late. As much as I hope otherwise I don't think there will be any widespread accumulation below 500 ft.

Just now, Skagit Weather said:

Paradise picked up 44" that day so it's certainly possible, but it just seems so strange that it would get so much more. I mean honestly, I'm just skeptical of most snow measurements. It's so hard to measure snowfall whether it's from compaction or drifting or too frequent of measurements.

The National Center for Environmental Information, which maintains the US weather records acknowledges that this reading is a bit suspect so they also list a 52" one day reading from Winthrop on 1/21/35.

52" at Winthrop also seems suspect

38 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

This storm is going to be one of the more impressive ones I've seen in the mountains over the last couple years. At least 31" of new snow at Mt. Baker in the last 24 hours and 40" in the last 30 hours. Should probably pick up another 18-24" by morning.

The Washington State 24 hour record is supposedly 65" at Crystal Mountain on 2/24/94, but I find that hard to believe considering how little snow Crystal normally sees. But maybe the pattern was perfect. Paradise has an unofficial record of 70" in 24 hours from 11/26/55 which is a location I'd be more inclined to believe has the record, but that may just be in the record books as a result of not being able to clear off the snowboard one day. 

I bet the top of Baker got over 65 inches in 24 hours from this storm. Temps have probably been in the lower teens there given the temps at Camp Muir and I wound assume they received the same amount of precip if not more.

25 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Can’t wait to see the webcam in the morning 

The snowfall rate is over 3 inches an hour right now the snow depth has went from 44-50 inches in the last 2 hours

19 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

this blob has been sitting on me for 3 hours… if only it was snow…

Hurricane Ridge is getting a ton of snow https://nwac.us/weatherdata/map/#/4.

Huge changes on the ECMWF 

6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Current general pattern continues on the entire euro run.

Yeah no real chance of accumulating lowland snow though. Great for the mountains.

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

GFS is great.

GEM is not.

GEM is really good for mountain snow though

3 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

51 degres and sunny currently, low of 23. Was a great drive back to Oregon today, i know cascadiawx will downvote this but i think this weather is great! Went to Mt Baker yesterday for the first time in years, had a great climb despite the DISGUSTINGLY low snowpack, which left more open crevasses than I've ever seen up there in winter, you'd think it was late November with the current snowpack.

Snowpack is really abysmal going to be a tough year for the glaciers

For WA I don't see what was so great about the GFS and GEM less mountain snow and less lowland snow.

58 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Sub40 high probability change

Actually sub 40 probabilities are much lower that's the probability the min temp in that 6-hour range is below 40

This is really a horrible winter like 2014-2015. Only bright spot was the cold snap. Snowpack is crazy low, and the glaciers will likely suffer another terrible year but unlike the last 3 the snowpack to begin is terrible. 

Here's a really interesting website with a lot of photos of old glaciers on the West Coast. Crazy how much some glaciers have retreated. 

Glaciers of Washington | Glaciers of the American West

This Jan cold snap was really impressive for the coldest inhabited place in WA, Mazama. They reached -29. Only 3 winters have recorded a temp below -29 68-69, 83-84 and 78-79.

Some people are acting like it's March. It's only January 20th and long-range forecasts have terrible accuracy. Way too early to write off February. 

The great thaw of 2024 to be followed by a 2019 style February 

1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Last year my low was minus 26. For ten years the warmest low max has been minus 8. That area just gets cold and I believe the true state record was probably up in that area in 1948 but there just wasn't any meters.

I am guessing the coldest part of the state is in some valley near Remmel Mountain

2024 joins 1950, 1955, 1964, 1968, 1969, 1989, and 1990 as the only years to have a high of 22 or lower at SeaTac

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My son has told me the best snow conditions are at 28 degrees or lower.   Getting surprisingly close up there.   

He just told me they are in the warmest place in WA state and it happens to be at 7.000 feet.    Pretty interesting.  

That's insane just 10 miles or so away at Chinook Pass it is -15

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

KSEA is not gonna hit the single digits at this rate. Bummer.

I thought it had a chance when it quickly dropped to 15 but not anymore, 16 currently

Coldest daily high at Bellingham since 1964