Eugene-5SW

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We’re at the stage where all the Oregon posters are realizing they are screwed and all the Washington folks still think they are in the sweet spot. I’m sure Randy will get 3-4’.

LOL, nailed it. I was just looking up the current top analog of January 1998 for Eugene and found that the coldest day was a 37/30.

Would like to see fewer ensemble members taking a hard left into torch (relatively speaking) territory from that "inflection point" on the 12th. Seems to me that focusing on small trends in the ensemble mean isn't really useful when the spread is so wide.

17 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It's all good. I don't take this stuff as seriously as Phil. He's called people much worse than "dummy".

Yeah, he called me "not the brightest bulb of the bunch." I was a bit chapped about that for a while.

11 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Ahh yes. December 21 i believe.

Here is the morning of 12/30/21 from 216 hours out on the Euro showing a low of -5º for EUG. Actual low temperature that day: 32º.

20 minutes ago, roadtonowhere08 said:

The truth is always somewhere in the middle.  Those on the far left are rabid over D**n near everything.  Having said this, European colonialism wreaked havoc on pretty much every continent on Earth and we are still seeing immense fallout from that period and will continue to do so for a very long time.  That is an unavoidable fact.

This is my position as well. I thought it was obvious I was satirizing Andrew's rather sloppily sentimental post, but evidently it went over at least 4 people's heads, including Andrew's.

Feel better soon!

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Our history is so much more shameful than that of Germany, Russia, Japan, or the Aztecs. Come on. I agree we should be better to our environment.

You served up a fat pitch and I felt obliged to take a rhetorical swing at it. Like it or not, the perspective is equally as valid as your own, and it's what the left believes.

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Our country has an amazing and unique history. We took nothing and made a beautiful city on a hill. Now the left wants to tear it down!

Our country has a shameful and unique history. Rich white men ravaged a pristine environment to build a soulless, mechanized wasteland on the backs of oppressed immigrants, slaves, and women. Now the right wants to glorify and perpetuate it!

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

 

Good one! For me this perfectly captures the fundamentally inane, vacuous, nonsensical, counterproductive nature of the far left’s identity politics fetish, expressed in language so over the top in clichéd jangle and jargon as to come across almost as self-parody.

Now to be fair, let’s see you post one from the far right, like something about child sex slavery rings or Jewish space lasers.

14 hours ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Do you think homosexuality is a choice?

Of course. Just like autism.

I’m sure Marine Layer’s trusted source for the truth about homosexuality also knows for a fact that terms like “autism,” “Asperger’s syndrome,” and “the spectrum” were invented by Marxist leftists in an effort to normalize what is clearly just an aberrant, unhealthy lifestyle choice. Pretty sure it’s in the Bible somewhere.

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

 if you really can't help letting them get to you, then yeah, logging off is probably the best choice. 

That’s what I did. I couldn’t stand the heat, so I got out of the kitchen. I wasn't trying to control other people's behavior, which I can't, but my reaction to it, which it's my responsibility to control, but I couldn't.

Seems sad to me, though, that even an endeavor so ostensibly innocent and harmless as a forum for weather enthusiasts has to devolve into a Darwinian “Survivor” arena where only the thickest-skinned alpha-dog types can feel comfortable to participate, and even sadder that this state of affairs can correctly be shrugged off simply as “it’s the internet.”

All I can say is, if this is a suppressed, transient, intra-seasonal 4CH, then I'd hate to see what the real thing looks like.

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Add 6F-8F for EUG anymore at this point.

Yeah, we've been on a tear for sure.

Speaking of which... the volume control on this amplifier goes to...

Gigantic roided-up 4CH hardly budges for the entire GFS op run. Like the Great Red Spot.

90-burger #10 for EUG.

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

https://royalsociety.org/topics-policy/projects/climate-change-evidence-causes/question-20/#:~:text=If emissions of CO2,ultimate burial in ocean sediments.

I’ve always thought this was intuitively obvious, but I’ve had a hard time finding any literature in support of it. In fact, this is the first piece I’ve seen. Maybe I just don’t know where to look.

My guess is that many climate scientists agree with this, but feel constrained by the environment of extreme political polarization to go along with the “doomer” scenario. Any attempt to introduce nuance into the discussion would get them branded as “deniers,” with all the “hoax”  implications that go with it. That would be even more scientifically indefensible and unpalatable than backing the “doomers.”  

I’ve said it before, but it’s tragic that climate science has become such a political football since it discourages objective truth-seeking. That’s why I really don’t understand people like Cliff Mass who devote their energies to jeering and throwing brickbats at the “doomers”  — hypocritically using many of the same tactics of exaggeration, misdirection, and cherry-picking of stats that the “doomers” do, I might add — instead of utilizing their considerable resources and expertise to do good science and attempt to enlighten.

And EUG puts up another 89º-burger! Forecast high was 82º.

20 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I see last July wasn't top 5 for either Silverton or Silver Creek Falls. 

I know nitpicking at cherry-picked statistical details is a time-honored method of attempting to undermine a narrative, but looking at the big picture, it's pretty hard to argue that the summers aren't getting significantly warmer at those locations, or that last summer wasn't "top-tier."

11 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

It’s just prepping us for a future state in a decade or two where all troughs are associated with warm anomalies and all ridges are record breaking warmth. 

We're already there.

Eugene has not had a cooler-than-normal day since June 21st, and that looks to continue indefinitely (next Monday or Tuesday could conceivably come in with a -1 or -2 anomaly, but I wouldn't count on it).

The last cooler-than-normal July or August was in 2011.

A rare July sub-50º low of 49º here this morning. Inversion deep enough to put me under the cap, but cloud cover spotty enough to allow radiational cooling.

Euro going with triple digits for the Willamette Valley next weekend.

But Olympia didn't set a record, so I guess it wasn't really all that warm.

Looks like new daily record highs at Hoquiam, Quillayute, Portland, Eugene, and Roseburg.

98º with noticeable smoke/haze at the surface here. Doesn't look like anywhere in the Willamette Valley broke the century mark, although EUG and PDX both reached 99ª (unofficially as yet).

Looks like we cool down to a few degrees above normal for a couple of days before ramping back up to near 90º.

Glad to see that those confident predictions of a suppressed 4CH and a cool CA/SW this summer are working out...

Low of 65º here this morning, while EUG made it down to 55º.

Penalty of living in the foothills. I make up for it in borderline cold onshore snow events, though