Tornadobrah89
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Everything posted by Tornadobrah89
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The ash valley tornado of 1974
Tornadobrah89 replied to Tornadobrah89's topic in East of the Rockies
Just found out this tornado had 190 mph peak winds but only 114 mph winds at the surface -
The ash valley tornado of 1974
Tornadobrah89 replied to Tornadobrah89's topic in East of the Rockies
It looks a tad smaller than the andover tornado which was an f5. The tornado doesn't look that violent but it's massive and very tall. I'd imagine it would have to have some serious winds to lift that debris so far up. You can't even see the base of the cloud because it's so tall -
The ash valley tornado of 1974
Tornadobrah89 replied to Tornadobrah89's topic in East of the Rockies
Yeah. Apparently it was rated f2 it looks like your typical f4 stovepipe though. It's hard to tell how violent or big it is in the video -
This was one of the most spectacular aND eerie looking tornadoes ever caught on video imo. But what was it rates and what do you think the wind speeds were in it? I heard it was an f2 but also heard it was a landspout tornado. Looked to me like a legit ef4 tornado
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March 7-12th Plains Severe Weather Threat and Heavy Rain events
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
How much lower level shear do we have then? -
March 7-12th Plains Severe Weather Threat and Heavy Rain events
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
It looks like 40-50 knots in Oklahoma. I always thought that was plenty to get some tornados -
March 7-12th Plains Severe Weather Threat and Heavy Rain events
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
I'd still think it should be a low-medium threat giving the dew points in the low 60s, decent shear and isolated super cells in the afternoon. Not saying there is a great chance for tornados but I think it's going to be more favorable than they think. I can see this system over performing based on the nws forecast -
March 7-12th Plains Severe Weather Threat and Heavy Rain events
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
I dont understand why they're saying the tornado probabilities are low when there is going to be super cells with 45-50 knots of shear. Is there something going on that I'm missing? -
March 7-12th Plains Severe Weather Threat and Heavy Rain events
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Do Forbes still has tor con at 4 for Kansas and Oklahoma and we're still 2 days out. I think if there are areas of clearing storms could be worst. Wouldn't be surprised to see tor con a 5 by tomorrow or monday -
February 24th-25th Great Lakes Snowstorm
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
These models are all over the place. Gfs is showing further east and the euro and nam are showing it more northwest. But the nws has issued a huge swath of a 10% chance of 4+ inches even further west. The forecasts are changing every 4 hours with this storm. -
Ground Hog Day Blizzard/Snowstorm Part II
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Nam has supercells all the way up into central and east Missouri -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
I don't think the last mw storm was supposed to go south either or have that much cold air. I'm surprised anyone is putting faith in these models until we are inside 24 hours honestly -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
The Canadian is showing the snow way south. Could it be possible this thing goes much further south? I think it's much easier for them to forecast the severe side of this storm but who knows where the snow is going to set up? Or how far south the snow band will go. -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Dr Forbes mentioned a possible tornado outbreak in southern Missouri and dixie alley. This storm is going to be crazy -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Lol gary is going to be right. This storm is going to weaken a bit and shift south east. Missouri and southern iowa be prepared -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Seems like everyone has a bias for this storm because it's so massive. We won't know until 24 hours out and it still might throw a curve -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Gary lezak saying a 70% chance this storm goes south and hammers kc -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
If they are forecasting severe weather in dixie alley how is the snow going to be all the way up in central Nebraska and northern iowa? I just don't see it happening. The heaviest snow is going to be in northern missouri and southern iowa. There is just too much cold air behind this storm -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Temps are looking colder and colder. I still expect this too move further south -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
The low is going to go through southern Missouri give or take 100 miles. Book it. Most of the models are showing this. It is always colder on the back end of these storms just like the last one. Pretty sure kc and Chicago will get slammed but I would not be surprised to see it further south. Models are already pushing it more south and we're still 7 days out -
GHD III Winter Storm Possibility, Feb. 1st-3rd
Tornadobrah89 replied to Geos's topic in East of the Rockies
Kc news is saying this storm is going to shift way south. I'm pretty sure it will too because winter storms tend to do so. It's always colder on the back end of these storms than forecasted. I think this could shift as far south as central Missouri and into the ozarks