Stormgeek

Looks like up to 3 inches of wintry precipitation possibly falling around here, not guessing much will stick around. Going to be quite the wake up call to winter. Cold, snowy, and all around rather raw conditions. Driving in the morning might be a fun one since people seemingly lose any ability to drive with the first snows around here.

MSP afternoon AFD a pretty standard discussion for these earlier systems; not sure on temperature gradients and how quickly the atmosphere will be able to chill enough to change p-type. Sounds like they have a general idea of track, citing that the euro shifted east just a tiny bit, so they shadowed that. So, it basically all comes down to temps and timing which is quite typical of early season systems. Heard on the radio on my way home that a ski resort may be trying to make snow in these next couple chilly days and could open as soon as next Monday! Crazy weather we are having.

I have a hard time thinking this would ever happen with the this system, but man that statistic shows just how bad last winter was. Not getting more than 4 inches in a 24 hour period... Ouch.

MSP not too excited either about snow chances, saying the eastern forecast area will be too warm for much if I am reading it correctly.

Liking the looks of this system so far. The low flying overhead might cause some small issues, but nonetheless it looks like I may see flakes flying. What an incredible difference from last year. It would also appear that this will be the beginning off south Canada building up snowcover.

Brrrrr. Somebody woke up Old Man Winter and apparently on the wrong side of the bed. Looking forward to it!

Man, if that doesn't put "the winter" of the recent decade ('13 '14) in the talk I am not sure what will. That snow cover (forecast) is eerily similar for southern Canada much like what happened in 13. I know better than to be optimistic about winter around here, but man that makes it difficult...

Seeing all this precipitation falling to my south is a bit concerning. Although we did get a nice long rain a week or 2 back, it would seem that since then everything is targeting to the south of MN. Not sure if this is due to the new pattern taking hold, or if it is just a coincidence. Either way I am still looking forward to more white than years past.

Let's go with "no" on that. I am not mentally prepared for another winter like that.

About as dreary as they come today. This morning I had fog in my area that was easily the densest I have ever seen; it made driving all sorts of fun... After that cleared off it stayed cloudy and is now raining lightly. It would appear our St. Paul member is getting a nice soaking rain as well.

Man, I am not sure it is going to ever stop raining here. The rain gauge was reading around 6 inches as of 6 this morning and it is still lightly raining.

I was looking at that... Sitting just north of the cities, so might be in for quite the night if that pans out. Edit: Current trends seem to be setting up that way with this initial band.

It appears the flash flood watch has been expanded to include the Twin Cities. Going to be a fun night ahead.

I hate to jump on this train so early, but I could not help myself given recent trends. Is it possible that this year could be the exact opposite of last year with models? Last year it consistently seemed that as things drew nearer they basically fell apart. However, though these are long range models and thus have much greater variability, is it possible that these "positive flips" lend themselves even better heading into the heart of winter? I know this is premature, but I had to post something to get myself ready for the season!

Winds have picked up a bit here and as of about 4pm the temperature was 93 with a dewpoint of 73. This yields heat indices around 103... Talk about a blast of summer. Living in a dryer right now...

Had a few storms roll through this morning. Was hoping they might leave cloud cover to dampen heating, but no such luck. It is getting warm and humid out fast with the sun beating down. Can't say I really wanted July weather again in September LOL.

I am quite honestly at a loss of words. An already category 5, historic hurricane, is making its way through what seems to be bath water on a collision course with terrifying consequences. It is incredible to watch grow, but man have mercy on the souls in its path. Supposed to be attending a wedding in St. Pete in October.

I was thinking the same thing. These storms are coming in a bit ahead of what the models were hitting at. Looks the the first direct hit to MSP of a large storm in quite a long time.

Might have an interesting little situation develop in my neck of the woods tomorrow. Looking forward to it, the grass is getting fried with the lack of precip over the last little while.

The top of one of these cells just broke 60,000 feet. That is insanity.

Today looks like it could be one heck of a day. Everyone with a camera and a bicycle will be out chasing. Hopefully everyone stays safe, but man when I see that pink for tornadoes with a significant hatching I get the shivers.I do not know where our posters from down that way are, but please stay safe.

Even if I am not going to get crushed it is still fun seeing what the system does in relation to what the models predict. Even better would be that they get it wrong by 50 miles

Looks like the low pressure is tracking as modeled so far. Guess that means I can officially lose hope of the models missing something. Congrats Saints.

I give up on winter in this D**n state. My towel is currently reaching escape velocity.

You know how I said if we extrapolated 12z that I would get nothing on the next run? Well would you look at that. Might as well completely get rid of it if that verifies, no point in having 2 inches of snow LOL. HOWEVER, with things still a bit fuzzy I might still be in the game (?)