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KMartin

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Posts posted by KMartin

  3. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    Some lightning and some thunder is not surprising with a front like this.

     

    The NWS has been talking about the chance the last two days, and the models have shown the chance, so it was expected.

    That's not the point.  I don't look at NWS , I forecast custom.  I wouldn't know what they or any news outlets say ... And yes, models do show the chance, models are guidance tools ... What I used to forecast thunderstorms up there ... Every forecaster uses models... ... just matters how one interprets them I suppose.

  14. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    LOTS of jobs for entry-level mets coming up with NWS beginning a hiring binge shortly (to fill spots vacated by attrition last several years). Anticipated couple hundred openings with openings at most offices. Also ATC (Air Traffic Control) has issued a rare call for general public applicants (must be under age 31) which is another great career path for meteorologists.

     

    It's actually looking like a decent job market for degreed mets for the next couple years.

    Well that's good for those that are waiting to get in.  However I really enjoy the freedom without a boss to put forecasts out.  It's just what style of work I enjoy doing but some don't so that's good news for those who have been waiting.  NWS has over 400 positions they haven't filled yet.  Some offices are understaffed, in fact most are ... That's why I offer my custom alerts to my clients and viewers.  I can help fill those gaps in because I don't need a major budget to inform them. 

     

     

  16. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    I won't argue about my field of work in the private or commercial industry.  Those who got degrees, that is good ... But I started my own venture because I saw how saturated the field would be.  I know ones with met degrees who still work at fast food joints.  It's a saturated business and with the predictive models today, more are going in because it's EASIER than in the 90s.  So I do my own forecasting for clients and also full time on my site, which equals a full-time income.   You don't need a degree to have a brain in this field.  Many on this forum I've seen are just as good if not smarter than those who hold a degree.  Degrees are for people whom want to get hired ... Not for people who want to own their own business in this field... 

    See Bill Gates ...

  17. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    Here is the PVA thought.  I used the 500mb vort on the COD website.  This is the RAP.  You can see the upper divergence by the spread in heights on and ahead of the trough axis.  But there is something else.  Notice the blue/purple over Western WA.  That's low vorticity.  Three hours later on the right image you can see its now red, or higher vorticity.  This change from low to high values is called POSITIVE vorticity advection (PVA) ... The positive vorticity numbers are 'advecting' or advancing inward.  This sharp move from low to high like that signifies some pretty nice upper dynamics in play.  

     

    http://www.theweatherspace.com/floaters/forum15.jpg

  18. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    Now let's do a mature conversation and go back and forth on why you think thunderstorms won't be possible and why I do.  No one is right ... no one is wrong ... But I will listen to reasoning and when it happens it'll be a learning experience for the person who was wrong ... No harm done.

    • Like 3

  19. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    And do you blame me?  I take things to PM when being harassed.  I don't visually open in on the forum like before.  You posting a PM clearly means you don't understand the defnition of personal message.  You had TWO posts.  Your first post was against me.  Clearly you are one of those envious failed weather people who need to focus on building your own career in weather like I hae an a little less time following those who are more successful than you just to troll. 

    I'm not going to open fire on you in the public forum, but I will state what I think of you trolls over PM.  It's simple ... Do not address me online with BS where I need to defend myself.  I'm too old for this crap and have been doing it for 18 years.

  20. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    Dynamics don't support thunderstorms while we're socked in with clouds and moderate rain.  So again, how do you get thunderstorms let alone severe?   Oh by the way, calling names basically means you just lost.  

    See now you are acting more where I'll engage in a conversation with you.  I'll ask you why you don't think thunderstorms will hit even at the coast ... You have strong upper divergence moving in with the trough axis, drying above 18,000 feet so that with saturated 700mb levels will throw some instability in the mix and also in that mix -26C average temp in the cold pool so cold air aloft ...  PVA is also very impressive with the vort coming in with the trough axis ...

     

    Your turn ...

  21. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    You should come up here for a winter storm.    Its much less enjoyable and much more miserable than our summer storms.    Think soaking wet and cold with very dark skies.   

    I bet.  Been wanting to take a drive to experience both a winter and a wind storm up there.  Better than what we have down here that's for sure.

  22. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    How how did you get the title "professional met"?  Because you aren't one.

    Yeah, I kinda am.  Professional Met is someone who makes a living off of forecast the weather and I make a living with my site, my clients, and different media outlets who use my forecasts on a contract basis. 

     

    You also have two posts, you just signed up ... Do not start trouble with me ... Mods need to ban you unless you decide to play nice, kid.  Like I say all the time ... i NEVER start fights first ... I defend myself against trolls like you.  Post more and don't just sign-up on here to belittle ME

  23. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    We could see 60 mph winds today! Let the storm begin !

    My question is ... with the wind storms in the PAC NW and a squall-line with thunderstorms moving through ... wouldn't that count as a severe thunderstorm for those that get it... probably mainly coast of WA and NW OR where storms will be.

  24. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    I labeled the trough axis with the red line ... Also the pink box would be the location of the 'sweep' of upper divergence on this axis ... which is where the better thunderstorm dynamics would be if there was such a thing as a 'thunderstorm watch box' up there.  I know I have them for down here but that's about the box location for later on -

     

    http://www.theweatherspace.com/floaters/forum14.jpg

  25. February 2014 in the PNW

    in West of the Rockies

    Posted

    This evening could get interesting with the lifted index dropping to around zero and a nice cold pool behind the front. This could easily produce a fairly vigorous squall near the back edge of the front with gusty winds and hail. This certainly looks more interesting that the other fronts this week due to the cold air entering the region.

     

    Also worth noting some places could flirt with some wet snow tomorrow morning. A front will quickly overrun the resident cold air mass.

    Def along my thoughts last night here - http://www.theweatherspace.com/2014/02/15/three-wind-storms-to-affect-the-pacific-northwest-starting-saturday-as-atmospheric-river-hits/

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