Paulie21

Agree, 4km NAM looked favorable up to the end if its period, however, i think given the larger grid size of the GFS and Euro, they have a better idea of the energy the vorts can get outside the NAM grid since there's more that comes into play. It's anyone's call really, but until the GFS, Euro, or GGEM bring it back north, I don't think i'll favor the NAM quite yet.

Yeah, sad to admit but the NAM is an outlier at the point. Every other model is weaker and south. This has tons of potential with the baraclinic zone, the moisture transport could be more optimal with a negatively tilted trough. The only thing that is keeping me from giving up is that the NAM had 2 runs in a row of that and the WRF looks like a major hit for ORD too.