WeatherArchive

The inside of my house right now is 2 degrees warmer than the high temp today.   We have spent lots of time in the house over the last 6 months.   We sleep in here as well.  I am not sweating right now and don't normally sweat inside my house.  I am very comfortable.  It seems that this is a good temperature for the human body.   I am 100% acclimated to 70-degree weather.  I can handle it when it comes again!    

people in Juneau get in their tank tops when it goes above 50F after weeks of highs in the 30s or 20s threatening rain or snow (often both). To us it will seem cold but to them it's warm.  Depends in their local climate and airmass.  From Northern Cali you are used to 90s and a lot of 100Fs so going to 80F you will literally start to feel cold at first. 

For here (I mean Oregon) 70 degrees in the summer time comes from a colder airmass from the NW usually and it does have a "sting" to it but if protected from NW breezes it feels pleasant where in the shoulder seasons (Spring and Fall) those temps come from a WARM source from the SE or SW usually which is humid in nature.  Our natural climate is generally MP (Maritime Polar) with small variations and in the summer a hint of Mediterranean more so south of Portland. The diving line seems to be between Kelso and Olympia where you are saying it from the side of your cheek.

The 70F readings in winter will definitely come from a Maritime Tropical Airmass modified (a little) by the time it reaches here but still has characteristics that are notably different then whatever airmass we have had before.  Maritime tropical airmasses are most noted at night. 

in shorts  70F in summer will feel a lot different then 70F in winter. I prefer the former.

I don't know what it is, but I've been overheating all day. I guess my body isn't acclimated to decent weather yet. Wasn't expecting such a warm one. 68 felt like 78 and I was overdressed and sweaty. Oh well, still loved it.

have it for a few days to a week then it will feel good as we get adjusted but as long as we are on a roller coaster ride like AeroSmith's Rock n Roller Coaster we will never get to that point and just be miserable when it does get warm that odd day.   3............2............1.............GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!! (Imitates ride countdown voice)https://youtu.be/cYBP9A6P2t0?t=6m19s

NWS calling for a lot of well below normal highs next week.

Calling on what? Their megaphone on top of the NWS weather van?

Sometimes it can happen that way. Our transition from winter —> summer does occur more quickly than the transition from summer —> winter, which takes forever.

 

On occasion, we’ll just skip spring altogether and flip right into summer. Nothing sucks more than transitioning from highs in the 40s/50s to highs in the 80s/90s over just a period of 3-4 weeks.

 So it's from the heater to the air?

I can’t believe it, but I’m actually rooting for some spring warmth now. This never-ending winter stuff is becoming very redundant.

 

(OT) NYC Central Park observed 5.5” of snow on 4/2, and they might see another 4-8” on 4/7. Or, it slides south and nails us instead. Either way..lol. Then possibly a third storm arrives the following week. Lordy.

Doesn't NYC and places north of the Philadelphia line get winter till May usually then hot all at once?

Balmy in the nifty fifties!  Highs in the mid 60s and now stuck at 52F. Great year though!

Shouldn't some (most) of these posts be in the gardening thread?......... where ever that is!

Lol. Will probably run more like a hybrid this time.

do you have to pedal backwards and watch everything slide away instead of going forwards?  The fringes of the front arrived here in the valley part of OR. 0.35 of rain out of it and temps in low 40s. 

What are the coldest springs you know of for the PNW from least to best to look up during those months as a whole?  Do colder springs also mean lower snow levels or are they usually too dry when it is cold enough for snow below 4,000 thus not really effecting pass travel?  Does it happen very often having snow tire season extended?

Not to be rude, but that’s largely a myth. It really depends on the season, and type of block. A west based NAO (of either sign) exerts much greater influence on the PNW/BC than an east based one. Then there’s the question of seasonality and other peripheral forcings.

 

For instance, in JFM, a -NAO tends to correlate with cooler and drier weather across BC/PNW overall, while a +NAO tends to correlate with warmer/wetter conditions during that timeframe.

 

However, in OND, there is no long term correlation between the NAO and PNW/BC temperatures or precipitation. At least nothing consistent. However, in more recent decades, the +NAO favors wetter conditions, while the -NAO favors drier conditions. Still no temperature correlation that I can find.

 

In JAS, the precipitation tendencies reverse, w/ a -NAO correlating to cooler/wetter conditions across BC/PNW, while a +NAO usually features warm/dry conditions. In recent decades, west-based summer -NAO blocks have almost always corresponded to PNW/BC troughing.

 

During AMJ, there is no long term correlation between BC/PNW precipitation and the NAO, however a -NAO during this timeframe usually features cooler temperatures regionally, while a +NAO usually features warmer temperatures.

So usually we have more westerly flow during summers under west based -NAO's then +?  Is the summers during the 2008-12 periods a west based -NAO dominance for the majority?  It makes sense that west based ones would do it as it's closer to the USA jet stream patterns to influence where east based ones I think would effect the UK/Europe weather patterns more.

In the cavern under North Falls.

There is actually a bad road that goes to Shelburg Falls open only in summer for obvious reasons so I wonder if he goes back there or lives back there and has a permit/pass,

Sorry for bumping this but I was serious in my reply.   I was wondering if he lived on that. We actually went on it once to the backside of the falls and it was hell but worth the scenery..  It was back in the 09 thru 11 trend whichever was the wettest  Spring that had unusual low snow.  

Here comes the head fake. Or, the start of it, expedited by the Niño-esque short term tropical forcing constructively interfering with the downwelling OKW/heat release.

 

 

Complications are afoot, though. Starting in the middle of April the tropical forcing returns to a Niña state, which depending on the amplitude/period of the wave, could significantly dampen the OKW and accelerate the heat release/backcycle.

Is the backcycle an electric,manual or a hybrid?

Dials 1-8-0-0 SPRING (Answering machine)  'I'm sorry but Spring cannot come right now. Please voice your concerns at the end of the tone...........booooooooooooooooooooooooooooop!

He lives at 1,600’.

Near the pull off viewpoint or more back in?

This report just came out...WOW.

 

http://www.oregonlive.com/pacific-northAwest-news/index.ssf/2018/03/hart_family_deadly_crash_speed.html#incart_big-photo

Always beware of Deadman's Curve. Don't mess around. 

Going to end March with only one low above 36.

? Only one? I am sure you had more then that?  The night before last was pretty warm around midnight.  Actually the last two nights was 33F.  One of the nights recently though it was pretty mild and cloudy most of it.

Usually -NAO on the east coast is either warm and dry or warm n wet for the PNW. (depending on other factors).  Not this kind of cool wave.

12Z EPS blended 5-day mean for 850mb temps... where has the cold air gone?    

 

You can't have cold air if it doesn't exist.  The models are only as good as the input from human operators which is crap since it relies on old analogs pre 2010.  Until they account for a lot of things you are going to get funky results showing stuff that's there but isn't.

Done!   Non-refundable ticket purchased.  

Here's your train ticket! Enjoy the round trip!  https://youtu.be/TsC276gUztE?t=25s

Only 0.56” so far this month here, most fell on the 1st.

Don't forget you live higher up then most so your rainfall average doubles. Silver Falls Park is borderline rainforest. I think it may be one. That's pretty impressive only being that low in totals at this stage in the month.

it's now Feb and warmer then ever.

geez I wonder why...........

I agree that you should do a blog Phil as you can kick out the weirdos who post crap or whatever and those who respect you will actually learn from you.  You are very good with east coast weather you just suck at summarizing things.   

Things are looking better on the 12z. Everything shifting west.

Just TEN DAYS away!   Book your flights!

Wha happens when you go all in?

Better out then in right?