None of the northern suburban schools closed yet. My guess is that my school will probably have another late arrival. No way the roads would be completely cleared by early tomorrow morning.
I just measured 4.1 here in Buffalo Grove. Flake size is really tiny, but it has been accumulating very nicely. The winds are already really gusting. I can't imagine what it will be like later...
RC, who is one of the forecasters at the NWS Chicago, said on Americanwx that he thinks LOT will issue a blizzard warning for tomorrow. This would definitely be the right decision if the 40 mph+ gusts come to fruition.
Has anybody noticed how the low is 4 mb or so stronger as it goes through southern Illinois on the GFS? I wonder why there is such a discrepancy in strength right before the storm. Also the added strength produces 45+ mph gusts in some spots for northern Illinois. If that verified a blizzard warning would definitely be needed.
I'm reconsidering driving to my friends super bowl party if the 12Z GFS comes to fruition. Rates over an inch per hour with gusts over 40 mph would make driving nearly impossible. I warned all of my friends to be careful if they go. This is definitely really bad timing since a lot of people will be on the road driving to their super bowl parties.
I doubt they're and I think you can breath a sigh of relief. Water vapor imagery already looks great and you can tell that a significant drying trend isn't going to happen. Also, the track is completely set and the snow swath is so wide that any shifts won't really matter. The wait is finally over for this boards significant snow storm.
00Z NAM BUFKIT shows 14.6 inches for ORD. Usually it ends up being a bit overdone because it tends to overestimate the snow ratios. I think a general 8-12 inches across the Chicago metro with the best chances of a foot plus south of I-88 seems like a good call.