Abbotsford_wx

The WRF has been much closer to the GFS ensembles than the operational. Any idea why that is? I thought the WRF was specially designed to handle the terrain in this area, which I would think gives it some weight over the operational and lends some credibility to the ensembles.

I'd actually be ecstatic with a foot. That's about 4" more than anything I've had since 2008. My yard still has between 2" and 4" with the front yard being the deeper of the two... but the yards across the street from me are completely bare (they get full sunlight for about 6-8 hours a day).

I'll settle for the 12.6" it shows for me.

The 12z GFS is as cold for me this weekend as anything I've seen this winter... maybe colder. By the way, I picked up about 10" of snow over the last three days up here. There is currently just over 6" on the ground, but some areas near me have over 12". Very crisp and clear, gorgeous morning with strong outflow... had a gust to 32 mph not long ago. Current temperature is 36F but it feels deceivingly chilly with the low dew point and strong winds... everything is dry and crisp.

Outflow not going to kick in for a while. Flow is still weak southerly in the Fraser Canyon.

I just measured 1.1" up here. The temperature is already up to 33F, so it's going to be tough to get more accumulations; I doubt we see more than 2" total today. Environment Canada did a good job forecasting this even though they were a bit late to the party. I'm still pretty skeptical of the ECMWF for tomorrow, but I don't buy the GFS either. I would maybe split the difference... some outflow but not enough to keep us too dry for snow.

Looks good for NW WA Somehow the snow miraculously avoids my area... it's been that kind of winter.

I would give this winter a tentative D up here. We normally average 20-25" of snow and we've had less than 6" this winter. The only reason it's not an F is because we did manage two arctic outbreaks, though neither was that cold and there was no snow on the ground either time. I could still bump it to a C- or even a C if we get some snow in the next week, or if we luck out in March. There's no disputing that this was a great winter south of Olympia, though.

00z NAM: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_nam/images_d2/slp.30.0000.gif 00z GFS: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/slp.30.0000.gif I'd probably trust the GFS more... windy but nothing too extreme; minimal damage.

Yeah, the last several runs of the GFS have shown the same thing on Saturday. We should be talking about that instead of the weaker and further north Sunday system.