gosaints

Wow. If someone gets under..... 1. Fronto number 1 2. Fronto number 2 3. The pivot 4. Could be very impressive for the Midwest.

Seems to me it would be today's lead wave and where it sets up the battle zone is what the NAM is either getting correct or struggling with

The whole thing could definitely bust north of many areas but the NAM is the last model I would trust in this set up

Stay the course

My bet now would be go but the 1st wave is a wildcard to me. Not much wind in the 1st wave so will probably hold out and see where it looks to develop late tomorrow afternoon.

Wife is working in msp this week. 30 hours to decide if I stay or go....

The 1st fronto band will be narrower than modeled and a major nowcast. These usually end being 2-3 county wide jack zones. Honestly 12z tomorrow is when I will have any confidence in where that sets up

With that lead wave tomorrow still to come through the NAM and other meso's are gonna struggle. MSP right now looks solid to continue an impressive winter.

I would recommend giving the NAM about 36 hours. Not in it's wheelhouse.

Doing solid. 2 part storm.... Part 1 maybe somewhat locked in. Part 2 plenty of time to reel...

Oh I am being serious. I am to.

Reel it harder Money.

Secondary lows are the worst. Like a 1 out of 10 proposition.

My thoughts are high end advisories totals around here to MSP.

Fronto bands suck to predict

RGEM way different

For sure at least so far. A more organized storm further north and east it seams at 0z so far

The NAM again hits MSP with it's magnet it seems

Nothing like analyzing 48 hour run of the HRRR....

Fun looking storm out in Nebraska.

solid model at the 500 mb level

Gonna be grass showing lots of places after this torch. Msp probably reloads after it's done

What's your dew point?

Yes. It's usa vs the world up there. Both Canadians are 12+

It's amazing how far apart some of these models as it relates to sensible weather with this system