westcoastexpat

It's nearly 400 hours out, but the GFS shows a subfreezing day in the long long range.

It will suck. I'm not looking forward to it. The continental cold really isn't that bad until the winds kick in. It was below -5F for most of the middle of the week last week here but I could barely tell with the calm winds. Of course, once you take your gloves off and your hands start to feel pain, you know it's cold... but I've never felt as cold out East as I do out west. The humid cold is just bone chilling. You just shiver in the dampness.

+30 F departures (temp anomaly) expected for Whitehorse, Yukon this week

For clarification, I meant the end of the range for the NAM, and the long range for the GFS up until 250 hours. It's difficult to source the accuracy of a model over a long period of time. It's just something you pick up on. The Euro has been pretty awful this winter. It jumps around from run to run and many storm tracks have been totally blown, particularly in the midwest. The GFS has been very good this winter, and the NAM has also been quite good considering it is my least favorite model by far, it has nailed some storm tracks better than the Euro has lately. They have done quite a bit of tweaking on the Euro which has resulted in more inaccuracy in the medium range from what I've seen.

The NAM and GFS have (surprisingly) done better than the Euro and GEM this winter in terms of long range patterns, so I would put more stock in those models right now in terms of what to expect. Anything more than 250 hours out I wouldn't really bother with (personally), although it makes for something worth talking about.

Thank you very much!! I was not even responding to Brennan and I still get treated poorly. The bullying by some posters is really getting out of hand.

I was referring to the post above me made by DJ Droppin on the 12Z Euro at the end of the run. The cold air pool skims by. I don't even know how you can think it was in response to Brennan. I think an apology is in order.

It looks like a crummy skim job right now. I am doubtful due to climo but this is at least worth monitoring.

? This has been a very dry winter so far. Much sunnier than normal. That's a huge positive. Sure, there hasn't been much snowfall, but the cold in December was better and longer lasting than anything we saw last year. Last year had a pitiful amount of snow too, but no cold air longevity. This winter > last winter. That's quite positive. Not sure how you see anything trollish in stating that. I think rooting for dreary rain in the long range would be trollish.

I'm loving how dry the long range looks. This has been a VERY good winter for non-dreary weather. It really has been very good. A bit embarrassing that most posters in this sub-forum may not even crack 4" this winter for total snowfall. I'd still say it beats last winter, though. Less dreary.

Wow. Something's gotta give.

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