James Jones

If the 66 at PDX holds it will be the coldest July high temp in a decade. Regime change????

Today's really overachieving, though maybe the high clouds coming in will cap things a bit. Feels pretty nasty out there.

This is now the 5th wettest June on record at PDX at 3.49", moving ahead of 1981 (a hottttt summer). Could move into 4th ahead of 1954 (a very coldddddd summer) if we get another tenth of an inch with the trough this weekend. 

Totals to the north and south on the I5 corridor aren't particularly noteworthy. Seattle could even end the month with below average precip.

Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

That station was comically overexposed. This is Seattle from the same month

This absurd trolling is almost as annoying as seeing everyone get their panties in a bunch over a typical rainy pattern. Almost.

 

Truth is you live almost 3,000 miles way and no one really cares what you think our weather should be doing.

Personally I'm hoping we get somebody from Fargo to join the board so they can spend the entire winter telling us about how awful continental air is and how we shouldn't be rooting for anything other than endless SW flow. That would be extremely interesting and highly relevant.

Hopefully this wet June is setting us up for another summer without choking in fire smoke. Last summer was so nice in that aspect after the disgusting air quality and milk white skies of 2017 and 2018.

In a matter of months!

 

We scored with those kicking in nicely back in 2011. The average high peaking at 82 for the first time at PDX seemed absurd for such a temperate summer. Little did we know...

Here's the raw unsmoothed averages for 1991-2020 so far. The NWS average might be 84/60 for late July.

Strawman bullsh*t again.    

 

The June 20 - July 20 period in 1954 was actually warmer and drier than the same period in 2019 in this area.   That is a fact.    And the 1954 period was not that great either.   The entire summer was not like 1954... but that period was in fact nicer in 1954.     And that is all that was said.  

 

Side note... troughing in the summer can be very nice as well.  And some marine layer days are perfectly normal and expected.

LOL

Even that cherry picked period was much warmer than 1954. Maybe more total precip in 2019 but definitely less gloomy.

Beautiful day outside!

 

Now the next goal is to get into the 80s. Hopefully before the month ends.

Let's try really hard guys. If we give it our best effort we can do it!

John Wayne Airport has had 7 days in 2020 so far with negative temperature departures.

 

Out of 95.

The very idea that the temperature could fall below 50 anywhere on the planet is deeply disturbing to him.

April monthly record low for PDX is 29°F, which is kind of pathetic considering May’s is also 29°F. Pretty unlikely we actually break it but it looks like we could get somewhat close in the next several days. If there’s any setup that can, it’s a blocky one like this.

I've always considered April's record low to be the weakest of any PDX monthly record. Even with today's UHI and warmer climate it's beatable. 

If I get bored enough during the pandemic I might make a thread on the weakest and strongest monthly records for major PNW stations.

Sticking to everything here, even some slushy accumulation on the roads. 

Jim wished this thing into existence. 

The 18z GFS delivers some legit continental cold before day 10.  Still liking the chances of challenging the post March 10 benchmark for cold in the Western Lowlands in at least the past 50 years and possibly much further back than that.

It's almost as if you're looking at different models than everybody else. You're setting yourself up to be massively dissapointed. Verbatim the Euro operational looks solidly chilly but not remotely close to historic, and that's the coldest solution any model is showing right now. It's also been getting pushed back and watered down the last few days which has been the theme all winter.

Yeah I mean I barely have some of the best food and beer on the west coast within walking distance, bars for any type of personality imaginable, a terrific bookstore, people are very friendly, but on the other hand I did see a story on local news about some homeless people here!

Sometimes you see a pink haired college hipster/feminist say some annoying stuff too. ******* awful unlivable liberal cesspool. I'd much rather live in backwoods Oklahoma. 

*High solar* in tandem with +QBO/neutral/-ENSO is a very strong conduit to blocking as well. I know all about that winter. A modern day analog to it would be 2013/14.

 

That doesn’t mean high solar winters are as blocky as low solar winters in the long run (when accounting for multidecadal variability of boundary conditions driving the teleconnections).

 

Low solar winters have more conduits to blocking than high solar winters. Both have conduits to failure.

What mechanism is there that could cause any meaningful difference in atmospheric blocking? The difference between solar minimum and solar max is absolutely trivial in terms of total solar irradiance at about .1%.

So the teens are added and the 80s have been dropped already?

These are the actual raw averages of the 2000s compared to the 2010s.

The 10s were probably pretty in line with the previous two decades, at least in the winter, but losing the 80s will push everything up. 

At OLM the 2010s were significantly warmer than the 2000s. Every month was at least a little bit warmer.

Jan: +0.9 over 2000s

Feb: +0.3

Mar: +0.9

Apr: +1.0

May: +1.1

Jun: +0.6

Jul: +0.4

Aug: +2.1

Sep: +1.3

Oct: +0.8

Nov: +0.2

Dec: +0.6

PDX has been at 39 or 40 degrees for 24 hours straight. Seems notable.

Bro, I dropped out of high school as a senior, went back and got my GED, then went to community college for an associate’s degree before transferring to UMD the BS/MS (which I’m still working on). You’re already better off than I was at your age. Oh, and I got put on academic probation during my first semester at college. So I’ve been through it all.

 

But seriously..f**king Los Angeles? Do you want your passion for weather to die completely? Go somewhere that will enable your passions, not kill them. LA sucks. And so do liberal arts schools.

It's unbelievable that we ration out economic success to people based on their grades as idiot adolescents well before their brains are even done developing. That being said, the idea many teenagers have that you need to get into a high end college right out of High School in order to live a successful life is untrue, especially if you have a support system around you.

Hoping to see some flakes before I go to bed tonight but the Coast Range has been completely owning all of the precip. Sad.

Apparently Tim was suspended.

 

He wanted me to let everyone know his post about Bellingham's snow and the arctic air was meant to be sarcastic and that he got distracted from editing it by the Seahawks game getting more interesting.

 

I do hope that he is let back soon.

 

Snowing again here! :-)

 

 

I wouldn't want him to be permabanned but he was absolutely begging for a suspension. His posts were making the forum almost unreadable.

High of 8 at PDX on the 16th????

Move over January 1888.

Are there any analogs for the kind of evolution shown on the 18z? Seems hard to believe we could go into the deep freeze before heights even get above ~543dm over Anchorage.

Super mild out right now, 57 at PDX. Hoping the AR comes in slightly farther south than the 00z shows because some heavy rain sounds awesome right now after such an inactive fall/early winter.