MIKEKC

What the heck is going on here, weird path to the storm and it snows in KC for 24 hours...and many other places too.

GFS in on the ULL and colder solution.....WHO gets the Christmas Miracle.

I know, its the ICON!!!  BUT.....other data runs are getting close to this. 

There is a trend for an upper level low to form and this run is showing Christmas evening for KC. We're in it!! The ole comma head, those can get interesting. Trended colder on this model too. 

Last year here in KC we had a white Christmas. Remember the wicked cold (-50 to-30 windchills) and a few inches of snow blown around a few days before Christmas. We thought that winter just might be winter after this cold outbreak and it turned very warm and pretty much snowless as part of KC only saw 4-6 inches of snow total last winter. We had a great storm track last winter as we finished 250% of normal, just didn't have the cold to go with it. Very frustrating as we had several storms track well and it was 33-35 degrees and raining!!!

The year before that we had 57-60 degrees on Christmas and well on our way to a very warm month(+10 above average) Jan followed colder and snowier. 

Maybe we can do two years ago again as it appears that it may be in the 60's this Christmas again in KC. Let's follow it with a great JAN and FEB of snowy/cold days as it it looks likely it may not snow for many this month. 

WOW! This storm has essential disappeared for KC on most of the data runs this morning, looking to form nearby and quickly move off to the NE. 

After that, same ole same ole, not much cold and not much snow showing up for most on the medium-long range data. 

CHANGE!!! 

I don't know, looks like another warm December unfolding here in KC. GFS has a storm this weekend with borderline snow chances and the Canadian has a big storm with a colder solution. (Cold Bias model) After that, no real cold air locks in and we warm right back up.

Maybe things will trend colder here soon. Lezak not liking the idea of a cold December.

Local forecasters here in KC on KSHB did a winter special last night (Lezak's old station he worked for) and they went warmer and well below average on snow for KC this winter. They thought it would be a wetter winter, however.

I think wetter is a good bet, can we time out the cold or will we have a bunch of what is about to happen tonight in KC, 34 degrees and raining. 

NAM trying to stir up some trouble on the 0z and 06z run....other data has the same storm, but too warm....

I was out of town for the snow event in KC, spent Thanksgiving week in Scottsdale, Az. However, I watched it on radar and it appeared KC was going to get into the heavier stuff, but, in the end, KC had about 2-3 inches for most, maybe a few higher totals. (I only had 2.1 inches at my house and officially KC was a total of 2.2.  Flying back yesterday, you certainly could see the thicker snow cover over south central/eastern KS. areas. 7-10 inches fell. 

It was a beautiful winter scene when I returned. Let's hope we see many more this winter. 

A white Thanksgiving for KC per the 288hr GFS....lock it in!! 

Meanwhile, following some record cold late in October, KC has enjoyed some beautiful fall weather and temps Sunday through Monday Nov. 20th, look to be well above average with highs in the 60-72 degree range. May be a string of 70 degree days next week. I appreciate fall being fall, I'll enjoy it while it lasts. Plenty of winter time to get our snow fix. 

4.63 inches of rain for my backyard her in KC. Some totals in the city hit a bit over 7 inches for the week. The wet week ended with a period of moderate snow yesterday and our first freeze this morning.

Much needed rain and it was widespread in the drought areas of KS and MO.

KC getting close to possible a wintry Sunday?? Let's see what this baby does. CMC and RGEM also show wintry precip. 

Chiefs play in Denver this week where they are expecting 2-4 inches of snow and highs not getting out of the 20's this Sunday. That will be 50 degrees colder than last weeks game in KC. 

@mlgamer....just a bit outside...of the real good stuff. KC was in the sweet spot and we have not been in the sweet spot much of the year. Another storm this weekend that looks quite wet for both us and you look like you have a better chance of wintry precip. 

Even know you missed the big rains, at least we have an active weather pattern since the the new LRC started on Oct. 7th. These storms will act differently as they cycle all winter. This current set-up will likely be a major winter storm later in Dec. when it cycles back through with an arctic outbreak.

3.5 to 6.5 inches of rain in the KC area and still getting pounded this morning. DROUGHT BUSTER!!!

AND....another storm this weekend that just might turn a bit wintry in KC, looking very close to doing so on Sunday morning. 

Come on winter, be stormy and don't forget to be cold while being stormy. 

@mlgamer...look at radar, a huge area of rain just to your SW...I think you are about to go up in the rain totals...very slow moving.

Some reports of 4.5 inches of rain on the SW side of KC. 

 KC is winning! Beautiful rains from this storm and it appears we are in for more. I'm at 1.89 inches near the NE side of KC, but there are totals ranging from 1-4 inches across the city with the heaviest on the south side of KC. We sure needed this.

Now, could we see the back edge produce some sleet/snow by Sunday morning. No freeze in KC yet, flowers are still in full bloom. That may change by Monday/Tuesday morning. We'll see if some of the forecast lows of 25 verify. 

Hey Hey...winter is near, or is it?

Here in KC, it's been a rough weather pattern during the growing season. Very dry April/May/June, wet period between July 4th and August 10th, 10-12 inches of rain. That saved us from a really bad drought. Since the middle of August, back to mostly dry. We went down to a DO headline for our area after the wet mid summer, now we are back to a D1. WE NEED RAIN! The northern side of the city received a line of storms last night, putting down .25-.50...not bad. The next storm looks to mostly miss KC. We'll enjoy mid 80's today and likely 80 tomorrow before some true fall air arrives this weekend. 

After a wet winter and the drought conditions pretty much wiped out for KC, we are now back in some drought headlines and it appears things are not going to get wet anytime soon. Some parts of the city are sitting at around 2.5-3inches of rain since April 1st. Normal is closer to 6-7inhes. 

I hate droughts!!! Hopefully we can find a wet period before summer sets up shop.

Thanks..

Mike

HORRIBLE SPRING WEATHER PATTERN ALERT!

OMG, the long range data is March like with several freeze potentials. The GFS doesn't have a 65 in there after today for the next few weeks, most days land in the 50's, some 40's. for KC. 

NO!!!

80 degrees, thunderstorms and possible snow in KC in a 24 hour window  as an ULL forms and spins....

I love weather!

Spring as Sprung in KC. Trees are fully bloomed and the grass is beautiful green. Had some nice rains on Monday around town, overall, April has been off to a dryer start so far but has been good for getting work done outside. 

Long range data has some possible "cold" days in there with some possible light freezes....

March 31st! KC will finish March with 3-3.5 degrees below average. It was a cold, wet, cloudy month. Just a few warm days, most days were miserable. IT certainly slowed the start of spring as far as the grass, tree blooms and perennial flowers go. Coming out of FEB, I thought spring would be in full bloom by now. We're close, grass is about to take off, plenty of moisture in the ground.

KC looks to go dry for some time which will be a change as we have struggled to get more than 2-3 days of dry weather for the last few months.  We have a slight chance of storms tomorrow and maybe next Wednesday, but, overall a pretty good dry stretch! 

HRRR coming in hot! Heavy snow

5 minutes ago, Tom said:

@Sparky, I was talking with one of the neighbors in the jacuzzi yesterday afternoon and he mentioned that the city of Fountain Hills will be building a brand new astronomy science center.  This will be a 1st class observatory dome where your going to be able to see all sorts of planets, galaxies and stellar objects.  What a pleasant surprise!  The location is right next to me in an empty plot of land that has been fenced off.   I was wondering what they would be building and low and behold it will feature this amazing science facility and the largest telescope in the Valley!

 

https://bramnicklawaz.com/arizona-real-estate/an-18-million-discovery-project-proposed-for-fountain-hills/

 

https://darkskycenter.org/

Tom, per the 06z NAM, the big one is going to hit KC Sunday night!!! LOL

Looks like a snowy stretch of January coming for a lot of folks north of I-70, I mean late march first week of April. 

NOT A WARM PATTERN is all this map above suggests