bainbridgekid

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Well we safely made it to New Orleans and I can’t buy a transit pass for the streetcars on the app because the ticketing part of the app went down right when we got here. My wife can’t walk very far so it was the only way we were gonna be able to get to the French quarter. Just a few blocks away but can’t go. 

Do you not have Uber?

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Unbelievable precip gradient on the 12Z GFS.

That really is crazy. The gods are doing their best to salvage boating opening day in Seattle for me. 50 miles North of that and it would be hard to have any fun.

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Is there some sort of law saying people need to get on their boats that day? We’ve had nothing but long, warm summers lately so I’m sure there will be plenty more opportunities.

It's the official opening day of boating season. Huge event with hundreds of boats all tied to a big log boom they put out in Lake Washington for it. Crew and sailboat races and a big boat parade. They do the same thing for Seafair.

https://visitseattle.org/events/opening-day-of-boating-season/#:~:text=5%2F4%2F2024 | Seattle Yacht Club&text=Opening Day%2C the official opening,Day Boat Parade on Saturday.

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Disgusting.    ECMWF shows 50 in Seattle that day so a little warmer but still stupid cold and definitely not a boating day.

Good news is that the rest of ECMWF run is beautiful so much warmer weather is ahead finally!

Luckily my friends' boats I'll be on have large indoor areas, but there are definitely going to be a lot of unhappy, uncomfortable people out on the water that day. This will be my third opening day I've been too and it's been chilly and cloudy every time.

Has to be overdone, but Saturday is about as cold as a May day could possibly be on the 12z GFS. 

2pm temps of 39 in Longview, 41 in Portland and 42 in Tacoma would be beyond absurd.

Yesterday looking South from Everett I could see a large cumulonimbus cloud just North of Enumclaw. GF who lives there said she saw a couple lightning strikes from it right after I took this photo.

32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Unfortunately ECMWF is going to win.

I'm afraid you're probably right. Would be terrible for opening day of boating season. I'll be out either way, but . . . Gross.

GFS has Saturday in the low 70's in Seattle and Euro has us struggling to get out of the low 50's and rainy.

Dumping in the mountains today. Impressive for nearly May.

Positive splat test on the way to work this morning in Lynnwood. Latest I've ever seen snow in the lowlands.

Just a slight warming trend for opening day of boating season next Saturday on the GFS.

00z last night had us in the mid 40's and 12z this morning has us in the mid 80's.

27 minutes ago, Phil said:

But you’ll see more sunny/70+ wx in SC than you would in WA. So what are you missing? I don’t get it.

If I was missing a 4” snow event here but traveling somewhere where a 12”+ snowstorm was headed, I wouldn’t be salty about “missing” the 4” one. That’s just weird.

Snow at home is just fundamentally different. Never hits the same when you're on vacation.

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... its going to be quite a change from early afternoon to evening.    Pretty unusual.  

I'll be in Whistler and it's supposed to go from near 60 Saturday afternoon to snow near the village Saturday night. Up the hill should go from near 50 to seeing several inches of snow in a few hours.

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows 71 to 58 at SEA between 2 p.m. and 5 p.m.

It delays the rain a couple hours behind the GFS. Still drops to 48 by 8pm, so still an impressive crash.

GFS shows one of the most impressive daytime temp crashes I've ever seen tomorrow. From 71 at 2pm to 49 at 5pm in Tacoma.

On 4/14/2024 at 9:51 PM, Mercurial said:

Went to the local beach on Whitefish Lake today.  People swimming, boating, beaching, and vibing.  In April.  In Montana.  I feel like we're going to pay dearly for this bliss come August. 

My friend was in Missoula yesterday and said it snowed 2" between 10am and Noon. Quite the shift!

Really dynamic evening today.

Everett went from 70 degrees at 4:30pm to 46 with heavy rain just 5.5 hours later at 10:00.

1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

12z CMCE for the eclipse, definitely worse than the 00z.

How did you find that map? I can't find it anywhere with the last four runs and the percentages on it.

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Everyone having a Good Friday??

Gotta be the worst named holiday in history. 

Had a field trip to the Salmon Hatchery in Edmonds and got caught in one of the heaviest downpours I've ever seen as we were getting on the buses. I saw it coming on the radar and hurried everybody to the buses a few minutes early but about half the kids still got absolutely soaked. Truly some of the heaviest rain I've ever seen in Western Washington for about 3 minutes.

Looking at Wunderground stations nearby, the temperature also fell from 52 to 43 in about 10 minutes when the storm hit.

@Phil you're making an entirely different and unrelated point. I don't disagree that the top 1% of people possess an absurdly high proportion of the world's wealth. That is a fact. What I disagree with is that most people on this forum (or someone making 50-60K a year) are in that top 1% (or even 0.5% as you said.) Simple math based on the proportion of people who live in First World Countries with median incomes higher than that shows that can't be true.

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Wait are we switching to household income vs individual income? You edited this post after I replied.

It doesn't matter which metric you use. The world is not so poor that 99% of people are poorer than someone who makes 50-60K. Not even close.

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Top 0.5% in overall wealth. That’s why I said *in the US* since the correlation between annual income and net worth can be very different from country to country.

Income by itself doesn’t tell you much.

If you want to go by wealth, then many people on this forum have a negative overall wealth due to debt, so they definitely aren't in the top 0.5%. Technically they'd have less wealth than a debtless person living in a mud hut.

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2021/07/21/are-you-in-the-global-middle-class-find-out-with-our-income-calculator/

Income ≠ wealth, necessarily, but the big picture is relatively unchanged.

Not sure how this is supposed to support your claim. I'm aware most of the world lives on less money than we do. What I'm disputing is the claims that "members of this forum are in the top 0.5%" and "50-60K a year puts you in the top 1% globally." Both are wrong by at least a factor of 10.

That link you shared says that 60K per year income puts you in the top 11.8% globally. Not close to 1%.

19 minutes ago, Phil said:

You forgot to unskew your distribution, silly.

If you make 50-60K annually in the US, you are very likely within in the top-1%, globally.

Not to mention differences in property values/cost of living. Makes a big difference in terms of net worth (by this metric, Americans are even wealthier compared to income alone).

You really think there's only ~75 million people in the world who make over 50-60k? That's absurd.

The median household income in the US is 75K and we're over 4% of the world's population. Not to mention Western Europe, Japan, and all the wealthy people in China and around the world.