mgeha

I'm sitting here in NW Ohio looking at one of the best storm wide radars i've seen in a long time. It's hard for me to believe we are gonna get 2" out of this. The thing would have to littereally fall to pieces like now. Any thoughts on this?? Is there more phasing going on?

Models all handling the the Hudson Bay Low quite differently. That's a share the wealth look for sure!!

Area Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI948 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2020.UPDATE...The strong surge of leading isentropic ascent moved east of theregion entering late evening after producing snow accumulationgenerally around 1 inch south of the M-59 corridor. The next phase ofthe event brings a round of similarly stronger forcing associatedwith a small but intense mid level wave within the deep SW flow thatmaintains a background of weak isentropic lift. The associated liftis enhanced within a deep layer of low static stability above 850 mbthat has pockets of instability centered around 600 mb and is beingfed by specific humidity around 4 g/kg. Coverage may not be as solidas the early evening surge but areas of snow showers increasing againfrom the SW are expected to be equally productive. An additional 1to 2 inches of accumulation is likely in this phase of the eventbetween about 10 PM and 4 AM. The Winter Weather Advisory remains ineffect with the update including some timing detail going through thelate night.

According to the 18Z GFS, this thing is just getting started with more coming later tomorrow?? Some of the local offices hinting at this actually happening, but has the GFS now confirmed it??

Anyone in NW Ohio and Southern MI concerned about the lack of returns of returns in Indiana?? Seems like something is missing here.

I'm a Sylvania guy as well and this is SO true. I used to think they hated Toledo when I was a kid, LOL. You remember when the Office was out of Toledo Express??

Famous last words....