Cascadia_Wx

18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Is it?  All I can say is the last 5 winters have been worlds better than the first five winters of this century.

No question the climate is warming you can look at literally any chart and it shows our annual average temperature creeping up over the decades. Hard to understand how anyone could still deny this, how many record or near record warm years have PDX and SEA seen in the last ten? Or Record or near record warm months vs record cool. Looking at the whole picture not just isolated winter weather events 

12z EPS is out to hour 240 or so

Interestingly the ensembles are way wetter than even the operational for the period centered around 3/1

Euro and GEM continues to show much more precip for Salem south than the GFS for next week 

Wind kept up most the night here, barely touched 32 just after midnight 

Clouding up, breezy and 37 now 

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Will need to see how quickly we leave La Niña, and how the West-Pacific Warm Pool evolves, but statistically I think a warm summer is favored, with warmer anomalies focused later in the season, as opposed to last year.

But anything from a 2015-like blowtorch, to a more 2019-like mild/wet regime, is possible assuming La Niña/-ENSO base state doesn’t hold on (and I don’t think it will).

Thoughts on the sun coming up tomorrow ?

Euro coming in very wet kind of interesting to see the typical mid winter progression of continental air followed by an AR in late Feb/early March 

18z ensembles looking decent. Some cool troughing following the upcoming wet period. Could be a signal for another wet period showing up for the second week of March too 

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS is pretty trash... Also obscenely wet for Seattle on Monday.

Nice mountain snow totals on this run through day 10

Nice day 47/21 here and sunny pretty good diurnal spread probably one more cold night tonight with DPs still in the mid-20s. Looking forward to the rain coming back this weekend 

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

EPS was poop. stays east. cold delayed. funky butt lovin.

A lot of ensemble spread in the long range but the mean stays below average 

1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

Doesn’t say what location that even is but most models show a good pattern for mountain snow in the mid and long range 

The first true soaker in almost two months followed by a troughy mtn snow pattern definitely beats a perma-ridge 

42 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Even 20 this morning. Looks like 24 at PDX, one away from their record.

Also their coldest temp of the winter, 25 was the best they could do back on January 1st

Low of 21 here, coldest of this event and of the winter

Still a skiff of snow from yesterday morning in shaded areas

39/27 day here about 3/4” morning snow giving way to mostly sunny skies by afternoon. Third consecutive sub-40 high here could be heading for a cold one tonight with light winds and clear skies

1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

Looks like a sixth below average March in a row may be in the cards. Pretty interesting how Feb and March cooled in the 1991-20 averages compared to 1981-10, while every other month warmed. Have to wonder whether it’s just weird luck or if our climo is trending towards later winters.

It’s Feb 24. Looks like Corvallis put up a 42/25 today after a 39/20 yesterday pretty nice late season airmass did you get any snow this morning 

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

You had just about as much snow as I did this winter not bad glad it worked out for you! 

Close to double what we got here!

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Possibly, but I'm not sure. We got close to -10 850s and I don't think we've been colder than that since Jan 2017. Feb 2018 is possible. It's pretty tough to get to -10 850s here in any scenario.

Yeah -10c is relatively rare for anywhere west of the mountains maybe until you get up to Whatcom county or so 

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

The reverse jinx works a lot here, esp in terms of snow. It's still the coldest airmass we've seen in over 5 years.

Sure it does id have to check on that their might have been comparable airmasses down there at 850mb that just weren’t as good for radiational cooling 

Tonight should be pretty cold again for many areas if it clears out 

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

That was last night.

Oh I see thought you meant your low for the winter 

Two lows in the teens pretty good considering you were thinking you wouldn’t go below 35 for this event 

14 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Still coming down. What a fantastic winter. Got down to 19F and then a light snow surprise!!

Remembered your thermometer pic showing 17F

Still coming down lightly here even though there is not much on radar ended up with a little over 1/2”

Big northward shift of the Monday/Tuesday precip on the 12z GFS Washington back in the bullseye 

This bumps my season total close to 6” there were so many little snowfalls the last week of December it was hard to keep track biggest events were 1.5” with the anafront on 12/18-19 and 2” on 12/28

Looks like about a half inch of snow out there and still coming down light to moderate, 28 degrees